1. Dynamic Rupture Process of the 2023 Mw 7.8 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake (SE Türkiye): Variable Rupture Speed and Implications for Seismic Hazard.
- Author
-
Wang, Zijia, Zhang, Wenqiang, Taymaz, Tuncay, He, Zhongqiu, Xu, Tianhong, and Zhang, Zhenguo
- Subjects
- *
EARTHQUAKES , *GROUND motion , *EARTHQUAKE magnitude , *HAZARD mitigation , *GLOBAL Positioning System , *SPEED - Abstract
We considered various non‐uniformities such as branch faults, rotation of stress field directions, and changes in tectonic environments to simulate the dynamic rupture process of the 6 February 2023 Mw 7.8 Kahramanmaraş earthquake in SE Türkiye. We utilized near‐fault waveform data, GNSS static displacements, and surface rupture to constrain the dynamic model. The results indicate that the high initial stress accumulated in the Kahramanmaraş‐Çelikhan seismic gap leads to the successful triggering of the East Anatolian Fault (EAF) and the supershear rupture in the northeast segment. Due to the complexity of fault geometry, the rupture speed along the southeastern segment of the EAF varied repeatedly between supershear and subshear, which contributed to the unexpectedly strong ground motion. Furthermore, the triggering of the EAF reminds us to be aware of the risk of seismic gaps on major faults being triggered by secondary faults, which is crucial to prevent significant disasters. Plain Language Summary: On 6 February 2023, the south‐central Türkiye was hit by two major earthquakes with magnitudes of Mw 7.8 and Mw 7.6 respectively. Among them, the complex rupture process and unexpected ground motion of the Mw 7.8 event attracted the attention of seismologists. In this paper, the 3D dynamic rupture process of this mainshock is simulated based on complex multi‐fault system and heterogeneous initial stress. And the simulation results are in good agreement with the observations. Our results show that high initial stress is required for the EAF to be triggered. The supershear rupture occurred only in certain fault segments and is unable to sustain itself in a significant area on the fault due to the along‐strike variations in fault geometry and strength. More importantly, the dynamic model suggests that we must be alert to the risk of major fault being triggered by earthquakes on nearby small faults, especially when there are seismic gaps on the major fault. Key Points: The high initial stress accumulated in the seismic gap leads to the successful triggering of the East Anatolian FaultThe change of fault geometry in the southwest segment prevented the sustained supershear ruptureThe risk of earthquake nucleation on the secondary fault triggering the major fault rupture and the related disaster was highlighted [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF