1. An Observational Constraint on Aviation‐Induced Cirrus From the COVID‐19‐Induced Flight Disruption
- Author
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Jason N. S. Cole, Nathan P. Gillett, Adam H. Monahan, and Ruth A. R. Digby
- Subjects
Space Geodetic Surveys ,Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Aviation ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Volcanology ,cirrus ,Atmospheric Composition and Structure ,02 engineering and technology ,Biogeosciences ,01 natural sciences ,Remote Sensing ,Evolution of the Earth ,COVID‐19 ,Research Letter ,Radiative transfer ,Remote Sensing of Volcanoes ,Geodesy and Gravity ,Global Change ,Cirrus cloud ,Biosphere/Atmosphere Interactions ,021101 geological & geomatics engineering ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Evolution of the Atmosphere ,Atmosphere ,business.industry ,Diurnal temperature variation ,Remote Sensing and Disasters ,Radiative forcing ,Tectonophysics ,Geophysics ,diurnal temperature range ,13. Climate action ,Climatology ,Atmospheric Processes ,aviation ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental science ,Satellite ,Cirrus ,The COVID‐19 pandemic: linking health, society and environment ,Hydrology ,business ,Clouds and Aerosols ,Natural Hazards ,Coupled Models of the Climate System - Abstract
Global aviation dropped precipitously during the covid‐19 pandemic, providing an unprecedented opportunity to study aviation‐induced cirrus (AIC). AIC is believed to be responsible for over half of aviation‐related radiative forcing, but until now, its radiative impact has only been estimated from simulations. Here, we show that satellite observations of cirrus cloud do not exhibit a detectable global response to the dramatic aviation reductions of spring 2020. These results indicate that previous model‐based estimates may overestimate AIC. In addition, we find no significant response of diurnal surface air temperature range to the 2020 aviation changes, reinforcing the findings of previous studies. Though aviation influences the climate through multiple pathways, our analysis suggests that its warming effect from cirrus changes may be smaller than previously estimated., Key Points Aviation reductions during COVID‐19 provide an opportunity to test the impact of aviation on cirrus cloud and diurnal temperature rangeNeither variable exhibits a detectable large‐scale response in satellite observationsComparison with previous model analyses of contrail cirrus suggests that warming by aviation‐induced cirrus may have been overestimated
- Published
- 2021
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