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Knowing the pre-collisional extent of the northern Indian Plate margin ('Greater India') is vital to understanding the tectonic evolution of the India–Asia collision and the formation of the Himalayan–Tibetan orogen. However, suitable geological units for palaeomagnetic investigations along the Himalayan belt are limited, which makes it difficult to reconstruct Greater India during the pre-collisional period in Late Cretaceous to Palaeogene. Often the palaeomagnetic results from the Zongpu Formation at Gamba in southern Tibet (∼88.5°E) were used for estimates of Greater India, but their validity was recently questioned. As a contribution to closing the data gap, we performed a palaeomagnetic study of the Palaeocene/Lower Eocene Dibling limestone (DL) in the western Tethyan Himalaya of Zanskar (34.0°N/76.6°E). The results from 27 sites revealed a well grouping (k  = 71.7) syntectonic magnetization with best grouping at 52 per cent unfolding. The remagnetization of the DL was acquired shortly after ∼54 Ma, at the latest at ∼49 Ma, and is probably carried by fine-grained magnetite formed during the early orogenic phase. Assuming proportional tilting of the fold limbs, the corresponding palaeolatitude of 11.8 ± 2.4°N suggests a maximum Greater India extent of 810 ± 420 km and a first continental contact with the southern Eurasian margin at ∼12°N in the western part of the suture zone. The tectonostratigraphic equivalence of the DL with the Zongpu Formation at Gamba and a great similarity in their magnetic properties supports a secondary origin of the Gamba results. Through understanding the mechanism of remagnetization in the DL, an early orogenic remanence acquisition is also indicated for the Zongpu Formation, and thus the Gamba results deserve further credit for Greater India reconstructions. However, we note a large inconsistency of the available Late Cretaceous and Palaeogene palaeolatitude data from the Tethyan Himalaya by up to ∼20°, corresponding to differences of up to ∼2000 km in the size of Greater India. These discrepancies require further palaeomagnetic work in the Tethyan Himalaya, and in particular we recommend comparative studies at same locations and of same units. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing density of geodetic measurements makes it possible to map surface strain rate in many zones of active tectonics with unprecedented spatial resolution. Here we show that the strain tensor rate calculated from GPS in the India–Asia collision zone represents well the strain released in earthquakes. This means that geodetic data in the India–Asia collision zone region can be extrapolated back in time to estimate strain buildup on active faults, or the kinematics of continental deformation. We infer that the geodetic strain rates can be assumed stationary through time on the timescale needed to build up the elastic strain released by larger earthquakes, and that they can be used to estimate the probability of triggering earthquakes. We show that the background seismicity rate correlates with the geodetic strain rate. A good fit is obtained assuming a linear relationship (⁠|$\dot{N} = \lambda \ \cdot \dot{\epsilon }$|⁠ , where |$\dot{N}$| is the density of the rate of M w ≥ 4 earthquakes, |$\dot{\epsilon }$| is strain rate and λ = 2.5 ± 0.1 × 10−3 m−2), as would be expected from a standard Coulomb failure model. However, the fit is significantly better for a non-linear relationship (⁠|$\dot{N} = \gamma _1 \cdot \dot{\epsilon }^{\gamma _2}$| with γ1 = 2.5 ± 0.6 m−2 and γ 2 = 1.42 ± 0.15). The b -value of the Gutenberg–Richter law, which characterize the magnitude–frequency distribution, is found to be insensitive to the strain rate. In the case of a linear correlation between seismicity and strain rate, the maximum magnitude earthquake, derived from the moment conservation principle, is expected to be independent of the strain rate. By contrast, the non-linear case implies that the maximum magnitude earthquake would be larger in zones of low strain rate. We show that within areas of constant strain rate, earthquakes above M w 4 follow a Poisson distribution in time and and are uniformly distributed in space. These findings provide a framework to estimate the probability of occurrence and magnitude of earthquakes as a function of the geodetic strain rate. We describe how the seismicity models derived from this approach can be used as an input for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. This method is easy to automatically update, and can be applied in a consistent manner to any continental zone of active tectonics with sufficient geodetic coverage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Kohistan Island Arc (KIA) occupies the northwestern region of the Himalayan Mountains, sandwiched between Asia and India plates. Its formation, collision with plate boundaries, and evolution has been controversially discussed for a couple of decades. To better understand this, a palaeomagnetic study has been conducted on the Jutal dykes (ca. 75 Ma), intruded in the northeastern part of the KIA. Comprehensive rock magnetic investigations reveal that the magnetic carrier minerals are pyrrhotite and magnetite. An intermediate temperature component (ITC) predominates the natural remanent magnetization and shows good coincidence within-site; it is carried by pyrrhotite and is considered reliable, yielding a mean direction at D g/ I g = 11.5°/39.9° (k g = 28.4, α 95 = 3.5°) before and D s/ I s = 8.6°/12.1° (k s = 5.1, α 95 = 9.1°) after tilt correction. A high-temperature component that is carried by magnetite exhibits random distribution within-site. The fold test for the ITC is negative, indicating a post-folding origin. Scanning electron microscopy combined with energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy indicates that the magnetic carrier minerals were influenced by metamorphism or thermochemical fluids. The comparison of mean palaeolatitude (22.6 ± 3.5°N) of the ITC with the collisional settings and thermal history of the study area implies that the remagnetization occurred at ∼50–35 Ma, consistent with the previous reported palaeomagnetic data of the KIA. We propose a tectonic model that shows the evolution of the Jutal dykes, supporting the concept that India collided with the KIA first, followed by a later collision with Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Surface velocities in parts of the India–Asia collision zone are compared to velocities calculated from equations describing fluid flow driven by topographically produced pressure gradients. A good agreement is found if the viscosity of the crust is ∼1020 Pa s in southern Tibet and ∼1022 Pa s in the area between the Eastern Syntaxis and the Szechwan Basin. The lower boundary condition of the flow changes between these two areas, with a stress-free lower boundary in the area between the Szechwan basin and the Eastern Syntaxis, and a horizontally rigid but vertically deformable boundary where strong Indian lithospheric material underlies southern Tibet. Deformation maps for olivine, diopside and anorthite show our findings to be consistent with laboratory measurements of the rheology of minerals. Gravitationally driven flow is also suggested to be taking place in the Indo–Burman Ranges, with a viscosity of ∼1019–1020 Pa s. Flow in both southern Tibet and the Indo–Burman Ranges provides an explanation for the formation of the geometry of the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis. The majority of the normal faulting earthquakes in the Tibetan Plateau occur in the area of southern Tibet which we model as gravitationally spreading over the Indian shield. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]