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PurposeWe explored imaging and blood bio-markers for survival prediction in a cohort of patients with metastatic melanoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibition.Materials and Methods94 consecutive metastatic melanoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibition were included into this study. PET/CT imaging was available at baseline (Tp0), 3 months (Tp1) and 6 months (Tp2) after start of immunotherapy. Radiological response at Tp2 was evaluated using iRECIST. Total tumor burden (TB) at each time-point was measured and relative change of TB compared to baseline was calculated. LDH, CRP and S-100B were also analyzed. Cox proportional hazards model and logistic regression were used for survival analysis.ResultsiRECIST at Tp2 was significantly associated with overall survival (OS) with C-index=0.68. TB at baseline was not associated with OS, whereas TB at Tp1 and Tp2 provided similar predictive power with C-index of 0.67 and 0.71, respectively. Appearance of new metastatic lesions during follow-up was an independent prognostic factor (C-index=0.73). Elevated LDH and S-100B ratios at Tp2 were significantly associated with worse OS: C-index=0.73 for LDH and 0.73 for S-100B. Correlation of LDH with TB was weak (r=0.34). A multivariate model including TB change, S-100B, and appearance of new lesions showed the best predictive performance with C-index=0.83.ConclusionOur analysis shows only a weak correlation between LDH and TB. Additionally, baseline TB was not a prognostic factor in our cohort. A multivariate model combining early blood and imaging biomarkers achieved the best predictive power with regard to survival, outperforming iRECIST.

PurposeRadiomics has already been proposed as a prognostic biomarker in head and neck cancer (HNSCC). However, its predictive power in radiotherapy has not yet been studied. Here, we investigated a local radiomics approach to distinguish between tumor sub-volumes with different levels of radiosensitivity as a possible target for radiation dose intensification.Materials and MethodsOf 40 patients (n=28 training and n=12 validation) with biopsy confirmed locally recurrent HNSCC, pretreatment contrast-enhanced CT images were registered with follow-up PET/CT imaging allowing identification of controlled (GTVcontrol) vs non-controlled (GTVrec) tumor sub-volumes on pretreatment imaging. A bi-regional model was built using radiomic features extracted from pretreatment CT in the GTVrec and GTVcontrol to differentiate between those regions. Additionally, concept of local radiomics was implemented to perform detection task. The original tumor volume was divided into sub-volumes with no prior information on the location of recurrence. Radiomic features from those sub-volumes were then used to detect recurrent sub-volumes using multivariable logistic regression.ResultsRadiomic features extracted from non-controlled regions differed significantly from those in controlled regions (training AUC = 0.79 CI 95% 0.66 - 0.91 and validation AUC = 0.88 CI 95% 0.72 – 1.00). Local radiomics analysis allowed efficient detection of non-controlled sub-volumes both in the training AUC = 0.66 (CI 95% 0.56 – 0.75) and validation cohort 0.70 (CI 95% 0.53 – 0.86), however performance of this model was inferior to bi-regional model. Both models indicated that sub-volumes characterized by higher heterogeneity were linked to tumor recurrence.ConclusionLocal radiomics is able to detect sub-volumes with decreased radiosensitivity, associated with location of tumor recurrence in HNSCC in the pre-treatment CT imaging. This proof of concept study, indicates that local CT radiomics can be used as predictive biomarker in radiotherapy and potential target for dose intensification.