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The new version of ISO Guide 34 requires producers of certified reference materials (CRMs) to include contributions of possible instability to the overall CRM uncertainty, to obtain a value for the uncertainty in compliance with the Guide to the Expression of the Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM). A pragmatic approach to estimating the uncertainty of stability is presented. It relies on regression analysis of stability data with subsequent testing of the slope of the regression line for significance. If the slope is found to be statistically insignificant, a shelf life is chosen and the uncertainty connected with this time is estimated via the standard deviation of the slope. This uncertainty is included in the overall uncertainty of the CRM. This approach is explained with examples showing its applicability to matrix CRMs.

Uncertainties of four enzyme-CRMs that have recently been certified in a co-operation between the IRMM and the International Federation for Clinical Chemistry were estimated. Estimation was based on the sum of the uncertainties of characterization, homogeneity and stability. Data from the certification collaborative study were used to estimate laboratory uncertainties, which form the basis for the uncertainty of characterization. Estimations for the uncertainty of homogeneity were derived from classical homogeneity studies. The estimations of uncertainty of stability caused the most difficulties. Realistic uncertainties fitting the needs of customers while being derived from measurement data based on theoretical considerations were obtained.