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Background: The prognostic value of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response for efficacy of targeted therapy or immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has not been established. The purpose of this meta-analysis is to elucidate the relationship between AFP response and survival outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who received targeted therapy or ICIs., Methods: The hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to evaluate the relationship between AFP response and overall survival (OS)/progression-free survival (PFS)., Results: Twenty-six articles containing 3056 HCC patients were finally included in the study. The pooled results showed that after targeted therapy or ICIs, patients with decrease in AFP had better prognosis (OS:HR = 0.48, 95%CI:0.40-0.56; PFS:HR = 0.39, 95%CI:0.33-0.46), while patients with increase in AFP had worse prognosis (OS:HR = 2.30, 95%CI:1.82-2.89; PFS:HR = 2.34, 95%CI = 1.69-3.24). Subgroup analysis revealed that compared to AFP decrease >50%, AFP decrease >20% can better predict the prognosis of patients who received targeted therapy (OS:HR = 0.51, 95%CI:0.41-0.62; PFS:HR = 0.39, 95%CI:0.30-0.51) or ICIs treatment (OS:HR = 0.34, 95%CI:0.16-0.71; PFS:HR = 0.22, 95%CI:0.10-0.47), and 8 weeks after targeted therapy may be the appropriate time point for AFP assessment., Conclusion: AFP decrease >20% within 8 weeks may be the appropriate definition for early AFP response which probably works best in predicting the efficacy of therapy., Registration: The review was not registered.

Background: Tenofovir (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) are first-line treatments for patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. However, the effect of TDF versus ETV on the prognosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been fully clarified yet., Research Design and Methods: PubMed, Embase and Web of science were searched up to March, 2021. Meta-analyses were performed for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) to assess the effect of TDF versus ETV on the prognosis of HBV-related HCC., Results: A total of 10 studies comprising 4706 Asian patients were included. The pooled results revealed that TDF was associated with better OS (adjusted HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.40-0.62; I 2  = 36.0%, p  = 0.167) and better RFS/DFS (adjusted HR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.55-0.89, I 2  = 71.9%, p  = 0.002) than ETV in treatment of HBV-related HCC. Subgroup analysis revealed that OS benefit from TDF was generally consistent, except for patients who underwent non-surgical treatment for HCC. Subgroup analysis also indicated that TDF reduces the risk of late recurrence (HR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.18-0.0.93; I 2  = 63.0%, p  = 0.067) rather than early recurrence (HR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.64-1.52; I 2  = 61.3%, p  = 0.076)., Conclusions: Compared with ETV, TDF has the advantage of improving OS and reducing late recurrence of patients with HBV-related HCC patients who underwent resection.