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Severe adenoviral pneumonia (SAP) can cause post-infectious bronchiolitis obliterans (PIBO) in children. We aimed to investigate the relevant risk factors for PIBO and develop a predictive nomogram for PIBO in children with SAP. This prospective study analysed the clinical data of hospitalised children with SAP and categorised them into the PIBO and non-PIBO groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regressions were applied to variables that exhibited significant intergroup differences. Logistic regression was adopted to analyse the risk factors for PIBO. Additionally, a nomogram was constructed, and its effectiveness was assessed using calibration curves, C-index, and decision curve analysis. A total of 148 hospitalised children with SAP were collected in this study. Among them, 112 achieved favourable recovery, whereas 36 developed PIBO. Multivariable regression after variable selection via LASSO revealed that aged < 1 year (OR, 2.38, 95% CI, 0.82–6.77), admission to PICU (OR, 24.40, 95% CI, 7.16–105.00), long duration of fever (OR, 1.16, 95% CI, 1.04–1.31), and bilateral lung infection (OR, 8.78, 95% CI, 1.32–195.00) were major risk factors for PIBO. The nomogram model included the four risk factors: The C-index of the model was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71–0.99), and the area under the curve was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.78–0.92). The model showed good calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (χ2 = 8.52, P = 0.38) and was useful in clinical settings with decision curve analysis. Conclusion: Age < 1 year, PICU admission, long fever duration, and bilateral lung infection are independent risk factors for PIBO in children with SAP. The nomogram model may aid clinicians in the early diagnosis and intervention of PIBO. What is Known: • Adenoviruses are the most common pathogens associated with PIBO. • Wheezing, tachypnoea, hypoxemia, and mechanical ventilation are the risk factors for PIBO. What is New: • Age < 1 year, admission to PICU, long duration of fever days, and bilateral lung infection are independent risk factors for PIBO in children with SAP. • A prediction model presented as a nomogram may help clinicians in the early diagnosis and intervention of PIBO. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Children with post-infectious bronchiolitis obliterans (PIBO) are frequently hospitalized with acute exacerbation, but clinical differentiation of PIBO exacerbation from acute bronchiolitis is often challenging, which may result in treatment delay and chronic lung function impairment. We aimed to examine whether serum YKL-40 and growth factors could be markers for PIBO exacerbation. Thirty-seven children admitted with acute exacerbation of PIBO were enrolled and studied retrospectively. Diagnosis of PIBO was based on clinical history of acute respiratory infection followed by persistent airway obstruction and characteristic findings in high-resolution computed tomography. Serum levels of YKL-40, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), transforming growth factor (TGF)-β1, and platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF)-BB were measured on admission. The biomarkers were also examined in children admitted with acute bronchiolitis serving as positive controls ( N = 30) and in age-matched controls ( N = 20). Only YKL-40 levels were found to be significantly higher in PIBO patients with exacerbation compared with that in bronchiolitis patients and showed a positive correlation with the severity of disease before diagnosis of PIBO. Conclusion: Our results suggest that measuring serum YKL-40 levels might help distinguish exacerbation of PIBO from acute bronchiolitis in young children. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]