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Purpose: The rate of clinical progression of cognitive impairment in subjects with early amyloid deposition is unknown. The primary aim of the study was to follow the rate of cognitive decline over 1 year in patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) by determining amyloid retention levels in terms of standardized uptake value ratios (SUVr) that ranged from 0.85 to 1.57. The secondary objective was to compare the rate of cognitive decline between subjects with and without early amyloid positivity. Methods: Of 66 aMCI subjects evaluated with [18F]florbetaben PET imaging and neuropsychological tests at baseline, 41 completed the 1-year follow-up. Amyloid status was determined with SUVr cut-off values generated from baseline images by visual assessment by three independent certified readers. Repeated-measures ANOVA with amyloid load and neuropsychological scores as the main effects was use to test group, time and group-by-time interactions. The Tukey post-hoc test was used to analyse all significant interactions. Results: Of the 41 aMCI subjects, 38 completed the assessment according to the study protocol. Amyloid-positive (Aβ+) subjects (N = 18, age 75.6 ± 5.8 years, six men, 12 women) showed greater clinical deterioration according to the Mattis Dementia Rating Scale (MDRS) score (p = 0.006). Amyloid-negative (Aβ−) subjects (N = 20, age 72.4 ± 5.8 years, 11 men, 6 women) showed no significant changes in MDRS score over 1 year. MDRS score significantly decreased (MDRS+) in 37% of the aMCI subjects, and remained stable (MDRS−) in the remaining 63%. Among subjects with cognitive deterioration, 86% were Aβ+ and 14% were Aβ−, while 25% of the MDRS− subjects were Aβ+ and 75% were Aβ− (χ2 = 13, P = 0.0003). SUVr above 1.21 identified individuals who would show significant progression over 1 year, with a sensitivity of 67% and a specificity of 90%, as compared to Aβ− subjects. The positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and likelihood ratio were 86% (95% CI 70–94%), 75% (95% CI 58–87%), 7 (95% CI 5–10). Conclusion: This study demonstrated that early amyloid deposition predicts cognitive decline in subjects with aMCI, with a higher rate of decline in those with SUVr above a threshold of 1.21. Detection of early amyloid positivity may help in selecting the target population for preventive therapeutic interventions and in designing treatment trials (Trial number, EudraCT 2015-001184-39). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]