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Aim Wesought to study the association of alcohol consumption with the long-term risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality among adolescent men. Method We included 50 460 men (mean age 18.4 years; SD 0.72) that underwent enlistment for military service during 1968–1969. During this period, alcohol consumption was assessed with questionnaires as part of the enlistment protocol. Questionnaire data was transformed to grams of 100% ethanol/week and categorized as light (1–100 g/week), moderate (101–250 g/week), and high (>250 g/week). Follow-up was done through linkage to the nationwide Swedish patient- and cause of death registries. Risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality during follow-up was calculated with cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for age, conscription year, test centre, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, parental education, intelligence quotient, cardiorespiratory fitness and muscle strength, and baseline comorbidities (diabetes mellitus and hypertension). Results During a median follow-up of 51 years, there were 803 incidentheart failure events (mean age at diagnosis, 61 years) and 6254 deaths (mean age: 55 years). Compared with non-drinkers (0 g/week), the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for light, moderate and high alcohol consumption were 2.34 (1.24–4.40), 2.38 (1.22–4.68), 5.60 (2.68–11.69) for incident heart failure (Figure 1, model 4)and 1.27 (1.04–1.54), 1.66 (1.35–2.05), 2.25 (1.74–2.91) for all-cause mortality,respectively. Conclusion Alcohol consumption in adolescence is strongly associated with heart failure and all-cause mortality in adulthood. Our results suggests that even light alcohol consumption in adolescence is associated with higher long-term risk of heart failure and mortality. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1. *Model 1 adjusted for age at conscription, conscription year, test center, body mass index and baseline comorbidities (diabetes mellitus and hypertension). †Model 2 as model 1 but additionally adjusted for systolic and diastolic blood pressure at baseline. ‡Model 3 as model 2 but additionally adjusted for parental education. #Model 4 as model 3 but additionally adjusted for intelligence quotient, cardiorespiratory fitness and muscle strength.

Background/Introduction Elevated resting heart rate (RHR) is a known risk factor for HF. Whether elevated RHR is also associated with cardiomyopathy (CM), a common cause of heart failure in the young, is unknown. Purpose To investigate the association of resting heart rate (RHR) measured in late adolescence with long term risk of various subtypes of CM with special attention to cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), an important predictor of RHR and myocardial dysfunction. Methods We followed a cohort of Swedish men enrolled for conscription in 1968–2005 (n=1,008,485; mean age=18.3 years) until December 2014. Outcomes of CM were collected from the national inpatient- (IPR), outpatient- (OPR) and cause of death registries and were divided into categories: 1) dilated, 2) hypertrophic, 3) alcohol/drug-induced, and 4) other. Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the longitudinal association between RHR and outcomes while adjusting for potential confounders, including body mass index (BMI), arterial blood pressure and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF). CRF was measured by maximum capacity ergometer testing as part of the enlistment protocol. Results During a mean follow up of 34 years, there were 3500 cases of a first hospitalization for CM (mean age at diagnosis, 50.1 years). Comparing the highest with the lowest quintile of the RHR distribution, we found a positive association between RHR and dilated CM (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.58 [confidence interval (CI) = 1.37–1.82]) after adjustment for BMI, age at conscription, conscription year, test center, and baseline comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, congenital heart disease). There no significant association with alcohol/drug-induced (HR=1.32 [CI=0.94–1.85]) or other categories of CM. Conclusion Adolescent RHR is associated with future risk CM, independently of blood pressure, BMI and CRF. The association was driven by dilated CM. These findings are suggestive of a causal pathway between elevated heart rate and adverse cardiac remodeling that warrants further investigation. Acknowledgement/Funding The Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, the Swedish Research Council, the Swedish Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare

Background Increasing numbers of stroke cases in the young are reported in many countries, potentially at least partly due to rising rates of overweight and obesity. Most data on the effect of obesity on stroke is derived from middle aged populations; there is a comparative lack of information on the effect of excessive body weight in young people. Purpose We aimed to determine whether body mass index (BMI) at age 18 predicted early stroke events among men in Sweden. Methods Population-based Swedish cohort study of conscripts (n=1,668,921; mean age at baseline, 18.3 years) who enlisted during 1968–2005. Follow-up was done through linkage to the nationwide Swedish patient and death registries. Risk of a first hospitalization for stroke (any type) during follow-up (5–46 years) was calculated with Cox proportional hazards models. Objective baseline measures of fitness and cognition were included in the models in a second set of analyses. Results During follow-up there were 12,512 first hospitalizations for stroke (mean age at diagnosis, 48.5 (SD 9.4) years, maximum 64 years). Compared with men with BMI of 18.5 to 20.0 kg/m2, men with BMI 20 to Conclusion We found a rise in risk of early hospitalisation for stroke detectable already at normal levels of body weight at age 18, and rising to more than 3-fold in the highest weight category. Given increasing levels of body weight, and prevalence of overweight, obesity, and severe obesity in young adults, the increased incidence of stroke in the young may potentially partly be explained by rising body weight, with an obvious potential for prevention.

Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality is decreasing in Western countries, including Sweden. However, there are reports of increases in incidence in young people with respect to heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). The magnitude and causes of these changes are only partly known. Aims We investigated secular trends in incidence in CVD outcomes and their attenuation by changes in body mass index (BMI). The outcomes were risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) as well as cardiovascular and all-cause death in a population of Swedish adolescents. Methods We followed a cohort of Swedish men enrolled for military service conscription in 1969–1996 (n=1,326,082; mean age=18.3) until December 2016, collected from the national inpatient (IPR) and outpatient registries (OPR). Cox-proportional hazard models were used to analyse the longitudinal change in incidence by with respect to early (0–21 years) of follow-up for subgroups with conscription 1968–1971, 1971–1976, 1976–1981, 1981–1986, 1986–1991, 1991–1996 (with the group born 1971–1976 as reference). Adjustments for potential confounders including BMI were performed. Results We found that CVD and all-cause mortality and MI decreased progressively during the follow-up with hazard ratios (HR) of 0.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.43–0.62, HR 0.51 CI 0.57–0.62, and 0.60 CI 0.50–0.72, respectively. In contrast, we found increases in the incidence of HF (HR 1.86, CI 1.48–2.33], and AF (HR 8.26, CI 6.87–9.92). Adjustments for changes in BMI partly attenuated the changes in secular trends. Cubic spline models showed where the changes in secular trends were most prominent. Conclusion The incidences of cardiovascular outcomes show diverging secular changes. While MI and cardiovascular mortality are continually decreasing, there is an increase in HF and AF. The associations appear to be partly explained by changes in index BMI over time. Acknowledgement/Funding grants from the Swedish Government and the county councils, the ALF–GBG-719761, ALFGBG-751111, Swedish Stroke Association, Göteborg Medical Society

Background Cardiorespiratory fitness and physical activity have well–known cardio–protective effects. Along with reports on declining levels of physical activity globally, heart failure caused by cardiomyopathy is increasing among young people. Still, it is unknown whether poor fitness in adolescence can be associated with cardiomyopathy in adulthood. Purpose To study a possible link between cardiorespiratory fitness in adolescence and being diagnosed with cardiomyopathy in adulthood. Methods A nationwide register-based prospective cohort study of 1,668,893 young men (mean age 18.3 years, SD 0.7), enlisting for compulsory military service 1969–2005. Body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure were registered at baseline, along with test results for fitness. Values were trichotomized and about 13.5% were classified as having poor cardiorespiratory fitness. Cardiomyopathy diagnoses were identified from the National Hospital Register and Cause of Death Register, during an up to 46-year follow-up, and divided into categories: 1) dilated, 2) hypertrophic, 3) alcohol/drug-induced, and 4) other. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated with Cox proportional hazards models. Results During follow-up (median 27 years; interquartile interval 19–35 years), 4,477 cases of cardiomyopathy were registered, of which 2,631 (59%) were dilated, 673 (15%) were hypertrophic, and 480 (11%) were alcohol/drug-induced. Poor cardiorespiratory fitness was strongly associated with elevated risk of both dilated (HR 1.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38–1.83) and alcohol/drug–induced cardiomyopathy (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.68–3.20), adjusted for BMI, age at conscription, conscription year, test center, and baseline comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, congenital heart disease). Conclusion The present study shows that poor cardiorespiratory fitness in adolescence may be associated with both dilated and alcohol/drug–induced cardiomyopathy in adulthood. This strengthens the evidence of fitness as a cardio–protective factor, and brings further support to the importance of interventions promoting physical activity already in childhood. Acknowledgement/Funding The Swedish Research Council, The Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation

Background To improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention, knowledge of early key risk factors, especially those that are modifiable such as overweight and obesity, is essential. Purpose We aimed to determine whether body mass index (BMI) at age 18 predicted early acute coronary events among men in Sweden. Methods Population-based Swedish cohort study of conscripts (n=1,668,921; mean age at baseline, 18.3 years) who enlisted during 1968–2005. Follow-up was done through linkage to the nationwide Swedish patient- and death registries. Risk of an acute coronary event (hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction or coronary death) during follow-up (5–46 years) was calculated with Cox proportional hazards models. Objective baseline measures of fitness and cognition were included in the models in a second set of analyses. Results During follow-up there were 22,412 acute coronary events (mean age at diagnosis, 50.2 (SD 7.4) years, maximum 64 years). Compared with men with BMI of 18.5 to 20.0 kg/m2, men with BMI 20 to Conclusion We found a rise in risk of an early acute coronary event detectable already at normal levels of body weight at age 18, and rising to more than 3-fold in the highest weight category. Given increasing levels of body weight, and prevalence of overweight and obesity in young adults, the current decrease in coronary heart disease incidence in Sweden may flatten or even reverse in the near future. Acknowledgement/Funding The Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation [2015-0438]; the Swedish Research Council [2013-5187,2013-4236]