1. Improving the predictive power of spatial statistical models of stream macroinvertebrates using weighted autocovariance functions
- Author
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J. Angus Webb, Peter M. Negus, Jennifer C. Frieden, and Erin E. Peterson
- Subjects
Autocovariance ,Environmental Engineering ,Ecological Modeling ,Autocorrelation ,Statistics ,Statistical model ,Spatial variability ,Relative strength ,Scale (map) ,Spatial analysis ,Software ,Spatial heterogeneity - Abstract
Spatial statistical stream-network models are useful for modelling physicochemical data, but to-date have not been fit to macroinvertebrate data. Spatial stream-network models were fit to three macroinvertebrate indices: percent pollution-tolerant taxa, taxa richness and the number of taxalacking out-of-network movement (in-stream dispersers). We explored patterns of spatial autocorrelation in the indices and found that the 1) relative strength of in-stream and Euclidean spatial autocorrelation varied between indices; 2) spatial models outperformed non-spatial models; and 3) the spatial-weighting scheme used to weight tributaries had a substantial impact on model performance for the in-stream dispersers; with weights based on percent stream slope, used as a surrogate for velocity because of its potential effect on dispersal and habitat heterogeneity, producing more accurate predictions than other spatial-weighting schemes. These results demonstrate the flexibility of the modelling approach and its ability to account for multi-scale patterns and processes within the aquatic and terrestrial landscape.
- Published
- 2014
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