3 results on '"Åström, DO"'
Search Results
2. The Role of Humidity in Associations of High Temperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study.
- Author
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Armstrong B, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Abrutzky R, Åström DO, Bell ML, Chen BY, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho M, Correa PM, Dang TN, Diaz MH, Dung DV, Forsberg B, Goodman P, Guo YL, Guo Y, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Indermitte E, Íñiguez C, Kan H, Kim H, Kyselý J, Lavigne E, Michelozzi P, Orru H, Ortega NV, Pascal M, Ragettli MS, Saldiva PHN, Schwartz J, Scortichini M, Seposo X, Tobias A, Tong S, Urban A, De la Cruz Valencia C, Zanobetti A, Zeka A, and Gasparrini A
- Subjects
- Cities, Humans, Nonlinear Dynamics, Seasons, Environmental Exposure statistics & numerical data, Hot Temperature, Humidity, Mortality trends
- Abstract
Background: There is strong experimental evidence that physiologic stress from high temperatures is greater if humidity is higher. However, heat indices developed to allow for this have not consistently predicted mortality better than dry-bulb temperature., Objectives: We aimed to clarify the potential contribution of humidity an addition to temperature in predicting daily mortality in summer by using a large multicountry dataset., Methods: In 445 cities in 24 countries, we fit a time-series regression model for summer mortality with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) for temperature (up to lag 3) and supplemented this with a range of terms for relative humidity (RH) and its interaction with temperature. City-specific associations were summarized using meta-analytic techniques., Results: Adding a linear term for RH to the temperature term improved fit slightly, with an increase of 23% in RH (the 99th percentile anomaly) associated with a 1.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8, 1.3] decrease in mortality. Allowing curvature in the RH term or adding terms for interaction of RH with temperature did not improve the model fit. The humidity-related decreased risk was made up of a positive coefficient at lag 0 outweighed by negative coefficients at lags of 1-3 d. Key results were broadly robust to small model changes and replacing RH with absolute measures of humidity. Replacing temperature with apparent temperature, a metric combining humidity and temperature, reduced goodness of fit slightly., Discussion: The absence of a positive association of humidity with mortality in summer in this large multinational study is counter to expectations from physiologic studies, though consistent with previous epidemiologic studies finding little evidence for improved prediction by heat indices. The result that there was a small negative average association of humidity with mortality should be interpreted cautiously; the lag structure has unclear interpretation and suggests the need for future work to clarify. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5430.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Evolution of Minimum Mortality Temperature in Stockholm, Sweden, 1901-2009.
- Author
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Åström DO, Tornevi A, Ebi KL, Rocklöv J, and Forsberg B
- Subjects
- Humans, Poisson Distribution, Seasons, Sweden, Climate Change, Mortality trends, Temperature
- Abstract
Background: The mortality impacts of hot and cold temperatures have been thoroughly documented, with most locations reporting a U-shaped relationship with a minimum mortality temperature (MMT) at which mortality is lowest. How MMT may have evolved over previous decades as the global mean surface temperature has increased has not been thoroughly explored., Objective: We used observations of daily mean temperatures to investigate whether MMT changed in Stockholm, Sweden, from the beginning of the 20th century until 2009., Methods: Daily mortality and temperature data for the period 1901-2009 in Stockholm, Sweden, were used to model the temperature-mortality relationship. We estimated MMT using distributed lag nonlinear Poisson regression models considering lags up to 21 days of daily mean temperature as the exposure variable. To avoid large influences on the MMT from intra- and interannual climatic variability, we estimated MMT based on 30-year periods. Furthermore, we investigated whether there were trends in the absolute value of the MMT and in the relative value of the MMT (the corresponding percentile of the same-day temperature distribution) over the study period., Results: Our findings suggest that both the absolute MMT and the relative MMT increased in Stockholm, Sweden, over the course of the 20th century., Conclusions: The increase in the MMT over the course of the 20th century suggests autonomous adaptation within the context of the large epidemiological, demographical, and societal changes that occurred. Whether the rate of increase will be sustained with climate change is an open question., Citation: Oudin Åström D, Tornevi A, Ebi KL, Rocklöv J, Forsberg B. 2016. Evolution of minimum mortality temperature in Stockholm, Sweden, 1901-2009. Environ Health Perspect 124:740-744; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509692.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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