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Air pollution is an example of a complex environmental mixture with different biological activities, making risk assessment challenging. Current cancer risk assessment strategies that focus on individual pollutants may overlook interactions among them, potentially underestimating health risks. Therefore, a shift towards the evaluation of whole mixtures is essential for accurate risk assessment. This study presents the application of an in vitro New Approach Methodology (NAM) to estimate relative cancer potency factors of whole mixtures, with a focus on organic pollutants associated with air particulate matter (PM). Using concentration-dependent activation of the DNA damage-signaling protein checkpoint kinase 1 (pChk1) as a readout, we compared two modeling approaches, the Hill equation and the benchmark dose (BMD) method, to derive Mixture Potency Factors (MPFs). MPFs were determined for five PM2.5 samples covering sites with different land uses and our historical pChk1 data for PM10 samples and Standard Reference Materials. Our results showed a concentration-dependent increase in pChk1 by all samples and a higher potency compared to the reference compound benzo[a]pyrene. The MPFs derived from the Hill equation ranged from 128 to 9793, while those from BMD modeling ranged from 70 to 303. Despite the differences in magnitude, a consistency in the relative order of potencies was observed. Notably, PM2.5 samples from sites strongly impacted by biomass burning had the highest MPFs. Although discrepancies were observed between the two modeling approaches for whole mixture samples, relative potency factors for individual PAHs were more consistent. We conclude that differences in the shape of the concentration–response curves and how MPFs are derived explain the observed differences in model agreement for complex mixtures and individual PAHs. This research contributes to the advancement of predictive toxicology and highlights the feasibility of transitioning from assessing individual agents to whole mixture assessment for accurate cancer risk assessment and public health protection.

The number of anthropogenic chemicals, manufactured, by-products, metabolites and abiotically formed transformation products, counts to hundreds of thousands, at present. Thus, humans and wildlife are exposed to complex mixtures, never one chemical at a time and rarely with only one dominating effect. Hence there is an urgent need to develop strategies on how exposure to multiple hazardous chemicals and the combination of their effects can be assessed. A workshop, “Advancing the Assessment of Chemical Mixtures and their Risks for Human Health and the Environment” was organized in May 2018 together with Joint Research Center in Ispra, EU-funded research projects and Commission Services and relevant EU agencies. This forum for researchers and policy-makers was created to discuss and identify gaps in risk assessment and governance of chemical mixtures as well as to discuss state of the art science and future research needs. Based on the presentations and discussions at this workshop we want to bring forward the following Key Messages: • We are at a turning point: multiple exposures and their combined effects require better management to protect public health and the environment from hazardous chemical mixtures. • Regulatory initiatives should be launched to investigate the opportunities for all relevant regulatory frameworks to include prospective mixture risk assessment and consider combined exposures to (real-life) chemical mixtures to humans and wildlife, across sectors. • Precautionary approaches and intermediate measures (e.g. Mixture Assessment Factor) can already be applied, although, definitive mixture risk assessments cannot be routinely conducted due to significant knowledge and data gaps. • A European strategy needs to be set, through stakeholder engagement, for the governance of combined exposure to multiple chemicals and mixtures. The strategy would include research aimed at scientific advancement in mechanistic understanding and modelling techniques, as well as research to address regulatory and policy needs. Without such a clear strategy, specific objectives and common priorities, research, and policies to address mixtures will likely remain scattered and insufficient. Keywords: Chemical mixtures, Environmental chemicals, Combined exposure, Mixture risk assessment, Risk management