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This research aims to improve the performance and economics of fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles (FCHEVs), validated and established by introducing an innovative energy management strategy (EMS) based on a speed-predictive fusion model. Firstly, a mixed prediction model was built based on BiLSTM, TCN, and Self-attention (SA) mechanism to accurately search, capture and fuse multi-granularity features in time series. Then, Harris-Hawk Optimization (HHO) was used to optimize the dropout rate and model learning rate of the combined BiLSTM-TCN-SA time series model to improve the prediction accuracy and generalization ability of the model. Finally, stochastic model predictive control was combined with BiLSTM-TCN-SA to form SMPC-NSGA III algorithm, which was used for multi-objective optimization of fuel economy, fuel cell durability and battery durability. In this study, the effectiveness of the proposed strategy was verified under the condition of CLTC-P driving cycle. The experimental results showed that RMSE and R2 of HHO-BiLSTM-TCN-SA velocity prediction model are 1.169 and 0.998, respectively. In addition, the output of the model is within the confidence interval of 97.5 % of the real speed, and there is no significant difference, which is statistically significant. Under the SMPC-NSGA III strategy, the average efficiency of the fuel cell was increased by 12 % and 1 % respectively. • A new energy management strategy was created to improve fuel cell durability. • HHO-based optimisation of BiLSTM-TCN-Self-Attention hyperparameter fusion model improves speed prediction performance. • NSGA-III multi-objective optimization algorithm was combined with SMPC for collaborative optimization results. • The average efficiency of the fuel cell in the SMPC strategy is higher than the DP and FLC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] more...

Resource scarcity, global climate change and environmental pollution are increasingly constraining the development of the automotive industry. China proposes to reach the carbon peak by 2030; to reach the carbon neutral double carbon target by 2060 and gradually promote a green and low-carbon transition in energy development. The development of new energy vehicles is an important approach for China to realize its energy structure transformation in the automobile industry. HEV, as a transitional product of automobile energy transformation, has the advantages of both internal combustion engine vehicles and electric vehicles, which can improve the fuel efficiency and the emission problem of internal combustion engine vehicles and the range is longer compared to electric vehicles. One of the important aspects of HEV research is the design of whole vehicle energy management strategy based on the model predictions. Particularly, model-based predictive control is one of the mainstream energy management strategies nowadays, and its optimization effect is mainly subject to the model prediction accuracy. In this study, we constructed the ITS environment of a local roadway through simulation, compared the speed prediction effects of different speed prediction methods in different prediction time domains, and fused the historical information of vehicles (speed of the vehicle in front, distance, signal status, distance, and remaining time). It is found that N-BEATS is more effective in predicting vehicle speed in different prediction time domains, and the prediction accuracy of the speed prediction model is effectively improved after its fusion of multivariate information. • Speed prediction based on real driving data. • Comparing the accuracy of different speed prediction methods in different prediction time domains. • Fusion of multivariate information (vehicle history, front vehicle speed, distance, signal light status, remaining time, and other factors) for speed prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] more...

Fuel cell electric vehicles have earned substantial attentions in recent decades due to their high-efficiency and zero-emission features, while the high operating costs remain the major barrier towards their large-scale commercialization. In such context, this paper aims to devise an energy management strategy for an urban postal-delivery fuel cell electric vehicle for operating cost mitigation. First, a data-driven dual-loop spatial-domain battery state-of-charge reference estimator is designed to guide battery energy depletion, which is trained by real-world driving data collected in postal delivery missions. Then, a fuzzy C-means clustering enhanced Markov speed predictor is utilized to project the upcoming velocity. Lastly, combining the state-of-charge reference and the forecasted speed, a model predictive control-based cost-optimization energy management strategy is established to mitigate vehicle operating costs imposed by energy consumption and power-source degradations. Validation results have shown that 1) the proposed strategy could mitigate the operating cost by 4.43 % and 7.30 % in average versus benchmark strategies, denoting its superiority in term of cost-reduction and 2) the computation burden per step of the proposed strategy is averaged at 0.123 ms, less than the sampling time interval 1s, proving its potential of real-time applications. • A cost-optimization energy management is devised for postal-delivery FCEVs. • A data-driven dual-loop spatial-domain battery SoC reference estimator is devised. • Both energy consumption and power source durability are accounted. • A comprehensive evaluation of power-allocation and operating costs is conducted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] more...

Driving intention and speed prediction are essential factors in the energy management of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). This paper proposes an improved energy management strategy for the subject vehicle by speed prediction fused with driving intention and LIDAR data in a vehicle-following scenario. A driving intention recognition model is developed based on the gated recurrent unit (GRU), which takes the vehicle speed, throttle opening, and brake pedal force of the subject vehicle as input. Then integrating the LIDAR point cloud data and driving intention result of the subject vehicle to achieve more accurate speed prediction, where joint probabilistic data association and interacting multiple models methods are used to process LIDAR data. The more accurate speed prediction is then applied to design a prediction-informed adaptive equivalent consumption minimization strategy (PIA-ECMS) for real-time energy management optimization. Experimental results demonstrate the recognition accuracy of up to 88%, indicating that the driver's driving intention can be identified effectively. The speed prediction has an error margin of no more than 5.9 km/h. Compared with existing adaptive ECMS without speed prediction, the proposed PIA-ECMS can enhance fuel economy by 1.3–2.7% while achieving better SOC charge sustainability. • Integration of driving intention recognition and LIDAR into energy management. • Speed prediction is fused by driving intention recognition and LIDAR. • A new prediction-informed adaptive ECMS to achieve better fuel economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] more...

In this paper, an energy management strategy (EMS) based on model predictive control (MPC) is proposed to minimize fuel cost, electricity usage and battery ageing. To fulfil the MPC framework, a novel speed predictor with a variable horizon based on a K-means algorithm and a radius basis function neural network, which contains various predictive submodels, is designed to cope with different input drive states. In addition, a Q-learning algorithm is applied to construct an adaptive multimode state-of-charge (SOC) reference generator, which takes advantage of velocity forecasts for each prediction horizon. The algorithm fully considers the model nonlinearities and physical constraints and requires less computational effort. Based on the SOC reference and predictive velocity, the MPC problem is formulated to coordinate fuel consumption and battery degradation. Moreover, considering the influence of real-time traffic information, a traffic model that simulates actual road conditions is constructed in VISSIM to evaluate the performance of the proposed EMS. The simulation results show that the proposed speed predictor can effectively improve the predictive accuracy, and the multimode control laws based on drive condition classification present superior adaptability in SOC reference generation compared to single-mode law. With the aforementioned two improvements, the proposed EMS achieves desirable performance in fuel economy and battery lifetime extension. • Cost-optimal problem is built for coordinating fuel economy and battery lifetime. • A novel speed predictor with variable horizon is constructed. • Q-learning algorithm is applied as the adaptive multimode SOC reference generator. • A traffic model is constructed in VISSIM to evaluate the performance of the proposed EMS. • Influences of SOC reference and predictive speed accuracy are discussed in depth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] more...