1. Sky Imager-Based Forecast of Solar Irradiance Using Machine Learning
- Author
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Obaidah Theeb, Anas Al-lahham, Khaled Elalem, Tariq Alshawi, and Saleh A. Alshebeili
- Subjects
Nowcasting ,photovoltaics (PV) ,Computer Networks and Communications ,Computer science ,020209 energy ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Stability (learning theory) ,Irradiance ,ComputingMethodologies_IMAGEPROCESSINGANDCOMPUTERVISION ,solar energy ,lcsh:TK7800-8360 ,02 engineering and technology ,Solar irradiance ,Machine learning ,computer.software_genre ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,media_common ,Ground truth ,business.industry ,lcsh:Electronics ,global horizontal irradiance (GHI) ,021001 nanoscience & nanotechnology ,Solar energy ,solar irradiance forecasting ,Renewable energy ,Hardware and Architecture ,Control and Systems Engineering ,Sky ,Signal Processing ,Artificial intelligence ,0210 nano-technology ,business ,computer - Abstract
Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior of natural energy sources. This paper presents a new approach to estimate short-term solar irradiance from sky images. The proposed algorithm extracts features from sky images and use learning-based techniques to estimate the solar irradiance. The performance of proposed machine learning (ML) algorithm is evaluated using two publicly available datasets of sky images. The datasets contain over 350,000 images for an interval of 16 years, from 2004 to 2020, with the corresponding global horizontal irradiance (GHI) of each image as the ground truth. Compared to the state-of-the-art computationally heavy algorithms proposed in the literature, our approach achieves competitive results with much less computational complexity for both nowcasting and forecasting up to 4 h ahead of time. more...
- Published
- 2020
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