1. Network meta-analysis of first-line systemic therapies for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: Who is the winner?
- Author
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Celsa, C., Cabibbo, G., Rizzo, G.E.M., Giuffrida, P., Enea, M., Di Maria, G., Antonucci, M., Giacchetto, C.M., Rancatore, G., Grassini, M.V., Ciccia, R., Grova, A., Salvato, M., Battaglia, S., Vaccaro, M., and Cammà, C.
- Abstract
Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab represents the current standard of care for first-line treatment of advanced HCC. However, direct comparison with other combination treatments including immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) plus tyrosine-kinase inhibitors (TKIs) or anti-CTLA4 are lacking. The aim of this network meta-analysis (NMA) is to indirectly compare the efficacy and the safety of first-line systemic treatments. Literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE and SCOPUS databases was conducted up to October, 2022. Phase 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) testing TKIs, including Sorafenib and Lenvatinib, or ICIs reporting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were included. Individual survival data were extracted from OS and PFS curves to calculate restricted mean survival time (RMST). A Bayesian NMA was performed to compare treatments in terms of efficacy (15- and 30-month OS, 6-month PFS) and safety, represented by grade≥3 (severe) adverse events (SAEs). The incremental safety-effectiveness ratio (ISER) as measure of net health benefit was calculated as the difference in probability of SAEs divided by difference in survival between the 2 most effective treatments. Nine RCTs enrolling 6600 patients were included. Atezolizumab+bevacizumab showed the highest probability (88%) of being the best in 30-month OS. Pembrolizumab+lenvatinib showed the highest probability (94%) of being the best in terms of PFS. ICI monotherapies were the most safe combination. At a willingness-to-risk threshold of 10% of SAEs for month-year gained, atezolizumab+bevacizumab was favored in 76% of cases, while at a threshold of 30% of SAEs for month-year gained, pembrolizumab+lenvatinib was favored in 72% of cases. Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab is the preferred option in unfit patients with high tumor burden, while Pembrolizumab plus Lenvatinib could be preferred for fit patients with less advanced vascular tumor spread [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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