1. A THREE-RANGE APPROACH ENHANCES PROGNOSTIC UTILITY OF CSF BIOMARKERS IN ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE
- Author
-
Wagner Brum, Andrei Bieger, Joao Pedro Ferrari- Souza, Marco de Bastiani, Andrea Benedet, Nicholas Ashton, Tharick Pascoal, Henrik Zetterberg, Thomas Karikari, Kaj Blennow, Pedro Rosa Neto, and Eduardo Zimmer
- Abstract
Background: Alzheimer’s disease (AD) was biologically defined by the 2018 NIA-AA Research Framework (RF), which recommends dichotomously defining biomarker status as normal or abnormal with single cutpoints. However, a three-range approach remains unexplored in AD fluid biomarkers. Objective: To assess the prognostic utility of a three-range approach for CSF biomarkers in AD. Methods: We included 1278 non-demented individuals (CU: n=575; MCI: n=703) from the ADNI with baseline CSF Elecsys® biomarkers. Within it, we defined three-range cutpoints with two-graph receiver operating characteristics (TGROC) for each CSF biomarker (Aβ1-42, p-tau, p-tau/Aβ1-42), based on amyloid PET positivity. Then, linear mixed-effects and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate longitudinal cognitive trajectories and risk of clinical progression based on CSF biomarker status. Hereby derived three-range cutpoints were compared to previously described binary thresholds for the same biomarkers. Power analyses for simulated trials were also carried. Results: We observed dynamic amyloid-PET changes for participants in the intermediate range, while a static profile for clearly normal and abnormal groups. Longitudinally, our approach revealed a divergent intermediate cognitive trajectory undetected by dichotomization, with power analyses demonstrating potential applications for trial enrichment. Conclusion: The proposed approach can improve CSF-based diagnosis, refine prognostic assessment and enhance clinical trial recruitment.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF