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This paper establishes a semi-analytical lower-bound dynamic shakedown method to investigate the shakedown of the pavement on saturated subgrade based on dynamic Biot's consolidation theory, considering a rolling-sliding contact between vehicle tire and pavement. This analysis has demonstrated that properties of the saturated subgrade generally have negative effects on the shakedown limit of the pavement system under high-speed traffic loadings. In general, the classical single-phased shakedown theorem overestimates the shakedown limit of the pavement on the soft ground of low permeability, particularly under high-speed traffic loadings. The shakedown limit of the pavement on a saturated subgrade gradually reduces with decreasing permeability of the subgrade. The sliding-induced friction significantly affects the shakedown limit and the location of critical shakedown failure. The permeability of the saturated subgrade has considerable effects on the shakedown limit for the case of low tire-pavement friction. The shakedown limit of the pavement on a saturated subgrade and a single-phased subgrade shows a considerable difference at the optimum modulus ratio, at which the critical shakedown failure tends to shift from the saturated subgrade to the pavement layer. The proposed method will be more desirable to evaluate the performance of the pavement in the saturated soft ground. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]