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Background Few prospective studies have explored the association between fatty acids (FA) and risk of CAD. Understanding of the role of each individual serum FA as a coronary risk or protective factor is still limited. The aim was to investigate which serum FA are associated with the incidence of CAD in Japanese subjects. Methods and Results: A prospective nested case-control study of 40-85-year-old Japanese subjects was undertaken using frozen serum samples collected from 12,840 participants who participated in cardiovascular risk surveys from 1984 to 1998 for 1 community and 1989-1997 for 2 other communities. Three control subjects per case were matched by sex, age, community, year of serum storage and fasting status. By 2005 we had identified 152 incident cases of CAD. Mean n-3-polyunsaturated and saturated FA did not differ between cases and controls, while mean n-6-polyunsaturated FA was higher in controls compared with cases. The multivariable OR of CAD for the highest vs. lowest quartiles of miristic acid (14:0), palmitic acid (16:0), palmitoleic acid (16:1), and linoleic acid (18:2) were 2.8 (95% CI: 1.5-5.2), 2.7 (95% CI: 1.4-5.5), 3.2 (95% CI: 1.7-6.1) and 0.4 (95% CI: 0.2-0.7), respectively. Conclusions High serum miristic acid, palmitic acid and palmitoleic acid have an adverse effect, and high serum linoleic acid had a protective effect, on the risk of CAD.

Background:The effect of postprandial glucose on the risk of cardiovascular disease has been emphasized, but it is controversial whether nonfasting glucose is related to incident stroke and its types. Methods and Results:We investigated the associations of nonfasting glucose with incident stroke and its types among 7,198 participants aged 40–74 years from the Circulatory Risk in Communities Study, enrolled in 1995–2000. We estimated multivariable hazard ratios (HR) using Cox proportional hazard models. Over a median follow-up of 14.1 years, 291 cases of total stroke (ischemic strokes: 191 including 109 lacunar infarctions) were identified. Nonfasting glucose concentration was associated with greater risk of incident total stroke, ischemic stroke and lacunar infarction when modeled categorically (for prediabetic type: 7.8–11.0 mmol/L vs. normal type

Background:Habitual speed eating is a risk factor of obesity but evidence of this in children is limited. We examined the association between speed-eating habit and subsequent body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure (BP) among Japanese children. Methods and Results:The community-based study comprised 1,490 Japanese boys and girls who were born in 1989, involved in the Ibaraki Children’s Cohort Study at age 3 years, and had returned questionnaires at both ages 6 and 12 years. In a subsample, we measured BP (n=263). Speed-eating habit was categorized into 4 groups: Never, Quit, Newly, and Continuous. Sex-specific mean values of questionnaire-based BMI and measured BPs at age 12 were examined according to speed-eating habit. Children with continuous speed eating had a higher BMI at age 12 than those who had never had a speed-eating habit (20.0 vs. 17.9 kg/m2for boys (P

Background In Japan, a community-based screening program for cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been effective in preventing stroke and coronary artery disease (CAD). The present study aimed to clarify which risk factors assessed at the screening examinations affect the incidence of CVD and the magnitude of the association after the late 1990 s.Methods and Results:We conducted a 12.5-year prospective study of 10,612 Japanese residents aged 40-74 years between 1995 and 2000, initially free of CVD and who underwent the screening examinations. During the follow-up, 364 cases of stroke and 137 cases of CAD were identified. The population attributable fraction of stroke was the largest for hypertension (HT; 46%), while the relative risk of stroke was the highest for atrial fibrillation (multivariable hazard ratio, 4.9; 95% confidence interval, 2.9-8.3). The population attributable fraction of CAD was relatively large for HT, current smoking, and high non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (20-29%). A dose-response relationship was found between the incidence of these cardiovascular events and the number of comorbid hypertensive subclinical organ damage markers: funduscopic changes, ST-T changes on ECG at rest, proteinuria and low estimated glomerular filtration rate. Conclusions HT and hypertensive subclinical organ damage are significantly associated with incident stroke and CAD at the population level, suggesting that management of HT and assessment of subclinical organ damage in hypertensive subjects at a screening program are still beneficial for community-based CVD prevention.

Background Global risk assessment for the prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases helps guide the intensity of behavioral and pharmacological interventions. Methods and results The Japan Public Health Center-based prospective (JPHC) Study Cohort II (age range: 40-69 years at baseline in 1993-1994, n=15,672) was used to derive the risk equations for coronary artery disease (CAD) and ischemic stroke incidence via hazard regression. The model discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC), and model goodness-of-fit by the Gronnesby-Borgan chi-squared statistic. During a mean of 16.4 years of follow up, 192 incident CAD cases and 552 ischemic stroke cases occurred. Variables selected for the CAD equation were age, sex, current smoking, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive medication use, diabetes, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC) and non-HDLC. The same variables, except non-HDLC, were selected for the ischemic stroke equation. The equations discriminated incidence reasonably well (AUC: 0.81 for CAD, 0.78 for ischemic stroke). The AUC of the equation applied externally to Cohort I (n=11,598) was also good: 0.77 and 0.76 for CAD and ischemic stroke, respectively. Risk calculator application and color charts to visualize estimated risk according to the combinations of risk factors were prepared. Conclusions Risk equations were developed to estimate the 10-year probability of CAD and ischemic stroke in Japanese people, using variables that are routinely obtained. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1386-1395).

Background The aim of this study was to examine whether the burden of diabetes on cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Japan has increased in recent years.Methods and Results:Three cohorts were established, consisting of Japanese residents aged 40-69 years, in 1992-1995 (n=8,744), 1996-1999 (n=7,996), and 2000-2003 (n=7,273). All participants had follow-up for a median of 10 years. Diabetes was defined according to the following criteria: (1) fasting serum glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L; (2) non-fasting serum glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L; or (3) anti-diabetic treatment at baseline. During follow-up, the number of CVD incidents was 277 in the first, 214 in the second, and 190 in the third cohorts. The prevalence of diabetes increased slightly over time. Adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, multivariable HR (95% CI) for diabetes as a cardiovascular risk factor were 1.40 (0.91-2.14) in the first, 1.93 (1.25-3.00) in the second, and 2.59 (1.77-3.81) in the third cohorts. The population attributable fraction of CVD due to diabetes was 2.8%, 5.6%, and 12.4%, respectively. Conclusions This is the first study in middle-aged Japanese people to clarify an increased burden of CVD due to diabetes since the early 1990 s. Further efforts are needed to prevent and control diabetes through lifestyle modification and treatment. (Circ J 2016; 80: 2343-2348).

Background: The impact of being overweight, as a component of the metabolic syndrome (MetS), for cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was investigated and compared with the predictive value of MetS by 2 different definitions. Methods and Results: A 12-year prospective study of 30,774 Japanese men and 60,383 women aged 40-79 years was conducted. The multivariate hazard ratio (HR; 95% confidence interval) of total CVD mortality for overweight subjects with ≥2 additional risk factors with reference to subjects with 0 of 4 MetS components was 1.83 (1.41-2.38) for men and 1.90 (1.45-2.49) for women, and for non-overweight subjects with ≥2 additional risk factors 1.75 (1.38-2.24) and 1.97 (1.52-2.55), respectively. The proportion of excess CVD deaths in the latter group was 1.5-fold higher than that in the former group. Multivariate HRs of coronary heart disease and total CVD mortality for MetS by the modified criteria of the American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute were 1.62 (1.31-2.00) and 1.23 (1.09-1.39), respectively, for men and 1.32 (1.05-1.65) and 1.12 (1.00-1.25), respectively, for women. The respective HRs for MetS by the International Diabetic Federation definition did not reach statistical significance, except for coronary heart disease in men. Conclusions: Non-overweight individuals with metabolic risk factors, as well as overweight individuals with such factors, should be targeted to reduce the CVD burden in the general population. (Circ J 2009; 73: 1635-1642)

The Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study-Existing Cohorts Combine (JALS-ECC) is a pooled study based on individual participant data from existing prospective cohort studies in Japan. Its purpose was to consider associations between risk factors and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, as well as differences between subgroups, defined by age, gender or geographical region, which could not be detected in the smaller samples.Individual records for 66,691 participants in 21 cohort studies were pooled, accounting for a total of 575,628 person-years. From this data, there were 409 deaths attributed to stroke and 169 deaths attributed to coronary heart disease (CHD). Total stroke and CHD events were 1,478 and 178, respectively. Of the 1,424 total stroke events with a reported stroke subtype, 975 were classified as ischemic, 267 as hemorrhagic, and 178 as subarachnoid hemorrhage.The JALS-ECC collected data from existing cohort studies covering a diverse Japanese population, which has provided information about the effects of modifiable factors on the risks of the CVD. Such information should provide a reliable basis for establishing prevention strategies.