1. Carotid Intima-Media Thickness Progression as Surrogate Marker for Cardiovascular Risk
- Author
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Willeit, Peter, Tschiderer, Lena, Allara, Elias, Reuber, Kathrin, Seekircher, Lisa, Gao, Lu, Liao, Ximing, Lonn, Eva, Gerstein, Hertzel C, Yusuf, Salim, Brouwers, Frank P, Asselbergs, Folkert W, Van Gilst, Wiek, Anderssen, Sigmund A, Grobbee, Diederick E, Kastelein, John JP, Visseren, Frank LJ, Ntaios, George, Hatzitolios, Apostolos I, Savopoulos, Christos, Nieuwkerk, Pythia T, Stroes, Erik, Walters, Matthew, Higgins, Peter, Dawson, Jesse, Gresele, Paolo, Guglielmini, Giuseppe, Migliacci, Rino, Ezhov, Marat, Safarova, Maya, Balakhonova, Tatyana, Sato, Eiichi, Amaha, Mayuko, Nakamura, Tsukasa, Kapellas, Kostas, Jamieson, Lisa M, Skilton, Michael, Blumenthal, James A, Hinderliter, Alan, Sherwood, Andrew, Smith, Patrick J, Van Agtmael, Michiel A, Reiss, Peter, Van Vonderen, Marit GA, Kiechl, Stefan, Klingenschmid, Gerhard, Sitzer, Matthias, Stehouwer, Coen DA, Uthoff, Heiko, Zou, Zhi-Yong, Cunha, Ana R, Neves, Mario F, Witham, Miles D, Park, Hyun-Woong, Lee, Moo-Sik, Bae, Jang-Ho, Bernal, Enrique, Wachtell, Kristian, Kjeldsen, Sverre E, Olsen, Michael H, Preiss, David, Sattar, Naveed, Beishuizen, Edith, Huisman, Menno V, Espeland, Mark A, Schmidt, Caroline, Agewall, Stefan, Ok, Ercan, Aşçi, Gülay, De Groot, Eric, Grooteman, Muriel PC, Blankestijn, Peter J, Bots, Michiel L, Sweeting, Michael J, Thompson, Simon G, Lorenz, Matthias W, PROG-IMT And The Proof-ATHERO Study Groups, Group, PROG-IMT Study, Group, Proof-ATHERO Study, Vascular Medicine, Medical Psychology, APH - Mental Health, APH - Personalized Medicine, Experimental Vascular Medicine, ACS - Atherosclerosis & ischemic syndromes, Global Health, APH - Aging & Later Life, AGEM - Amsterdam Gastroenterology Endocrinology Metabolism, ACS - Pulmonary hypertension & thrombosis, Ege Üniversitesi, MUMC+: Centrum voor Chronische Zieken (3), MUMC+: MA Med Staf Artsass Interne Geneeskunde (9), RS: Carim - V01 Vascular complications of diabetes and metabolic syndrome, MUMC+: HVC Pieken Maastricht Studie (9), Interne Geneeskunde, MUMC+: MA Interne Geneeskunde (3), Allara, Elias [0000-0002-1634-8330], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Cardiovascular Centre (CVC), Internal medicine, Nephrology, and ACS - Diabetes & metabolism
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Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Carotid Artery, Common ,carotid intima-media thickness ,LDL TREATMENT STRATEGIES ,Myocardial Infarction ,surrogate marker ,TYPE-2 DIABETES-MELLITUS ,HIV-INFECTED PATIENTS ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,Impaired glucose tolerance ,EXTENDED-RELEASE NIACIN ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,IMPAIRED GLUCOSE-TOLERANCE ,ESTROGEN PLUS PROGESTIN ,cardiovascular disease ,Physiology (medical) ,Internal medicine ,BASE-LINE CHARACTERISTICS ,medicine ,Humans ,CORONARY-HEART-DISEASE ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Myocardial infarction ,cardiovascular diseases ,Stroke ,Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic ,clinical trials as topic ,business.industry ,Surrogate endpoint ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Common ,Clinical trial ,meta-analysis ,ARTERIAL-WALL THICKNESS ,Intima-media thickness ,JAPAN STATIN TREATMENT ,Heart Disease Risk Factors ,Relative risk ,Meta-analysis ,Cardiology ,cardiovascular system ,Female ,Carotid Artery ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business - Abstract
Background: To quantify the association between effects of interventions on carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) progression and their effects on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Methods: We systematically collated data from randomized, controlled trials. cIMT was assessed as the mean value at the common-carotid-artery; if unavailable, the maximum value at the common-carotid-artery or other cIMT measures were used. the primary outcome was a combined CVD end point defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization procedures, or fatal CVD. We estimated intervention effects on cIMT progression and incident CVD for each trial, before relating the 2 using a Bayesian meta-regression approach. Results: We analyzed data of 119 randomized, controlled trials involving 100 667 patients (mean age 62 years, 42% female). Over an average follow-up of 3.7 years, 12 038 patients developed the combined CVD end point. Across all interventions, each 10 mu m/y reduction of cIMT progression resulted in a relative risk for CVD of 0.91 (95% Credible Interval, 0.87-0.94), with an additional relative risk for CVD of 0.92 (0.87-0.97) being achieved independent of cIMT progression. Taken together, we estimated that interventions reducing cIMT progression by 10, 20, 30, or 40 mu m/y would yield relative risks of 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.76 (0.67-0.85), 0.69 (0.59-0.79), or 0.63 (0.52-0.74), respectively. Results were similar when grouping trials by type of intervention, time of conduct, time to ultrasound follow-up, availability of individual-participant data, primary versus secondary prevention trials, type of cIMT measurement, and proportion of female patients. Conclusions: the extent of intervention effects on cIMT progression predicted the degree of CVD risk reduction. This provides a missing link supporting the usefulness of cIMT progression as a surrogate marker for CVD risk in clinical trials., Austrian Science Fund (FWF)Austrian Science Fund (FWF) [P 32488]; Dr-Johannes-and-Hertha-Tuba Foundation; German Research FoundationGerman Research Foundation (DFG) [DFG Lo 1569/2-1, DFG Lo 1569/2-3]; excellence initiative "Competence Centers for Excellent Technologies" (COMET) of the Austrian Research Promotion Agency (FFG) "Research Center of Excellence in Vascular Ageing: Tyrol, VAS-Cage" - Bundesministerium fur Verkehr, Innovation und Technologie (B [843536]; Bundesministerium fur Bildung, Wissenschaft und Forschung (BMWFW); Wirtschaftsagentur Wien; Standortagentur Tirol, This work was supported by the Austrian Science Fund (FWF; P 32488); the Dr-Johannes-and-Hertha-Tuba Foundation; the German Research Foundation (DFG Lo 1569/2-1 and DFG Lo 1569/2-3); and the excellence initiative "Competence Centers for Excellent Technologies" (COMET) of the Austrian Research Promotion Agency (FFG) "Research Center of Excellence in Vascular Ageing: Tyrol, VAS-Cage" (K-Project No. 843536), funded by Bundesministerium fur Verkehr, Innovation und Technologie (BMVIT), Bundesministerium fur Bildung, Wissenschaft und Forschung (BMWFW), Wirtschaftsagentur Wien, and Standortagentur Tirol.
- Published
- 2020