Wada, Hiromichi, Suzuki, Masahiro, Matsuda, Morihiro, Ajiro, Yoichi, Shinozaki, Tsuyoshi, Sakagami, Satoru, Yonezawa, Kazuya, Shimizu, Masatoshi, Funada, Junichi, Takenaka, Takashi, Morita, Yukiko, Nakamura, Toshihiro, Fujimoto, Kazuteru, Matsubara, Hiromi, Kato, Toru, Unoki, Takashi, Takagi, Daisuke, Ura, Shuichi, Wada, Kyohma, and Iguchi, Moritake
Background: Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a stress-responsive cytokine, which plays an important role in the regulation of the inflammatory response, growth and cell differentiation. Elevated GDF-15 was found in various diseases including diabetes and stable coronary heart disease (CHD), and was reported to predict mortality and cardiovascular events in general or established CHD population. However, the predictive value of GDF-15 in patients with diabetes and stable CHD is yet to be determined. Methods: Serum GDF-15 levels were measured in 797 patients with diabetes and stable CHD, enrolled in the development of novel biomarkers related to angiogenesis or oxidative stress to predict cardiovascular events (ANOX) study, and followed up for 3 years. The primary outcome was all-cause death. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular death, and a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. Results: During the follow-up, 121 patients died from any cause, 42 died from cardiovascular disease, and 85 developed MACE. After adjustment for established risk factors, GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] for 1-SD increase, 1.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.52-1.98), cardiovascular death (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.26-1.96), and MACE (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.16-1.64). Even after incorporation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, contemporary sensitive cardiac troponin-I, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein into a model with established risk factors, the addition of GDF-15 levels further improved the prediction of all-cause death (continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.44; 95% CI, 0.24-0.63; P <0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.05; 95% CI, 0.03-0.08; P <0.001), cardiovascular death (NRI, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.02-0.44; P =0.03; IDI, 0.03; 95% CI, 0.01-0.05; P =0.001), and MACE (NRI, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.02-0.34; P =0.03; IDI, 0.01; 95% CI, 0.001-0.02; P =0.03). Conclusions: In patients with diabetes and stable CHD, elevated GDF-15 levels predicted all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and MACE, independent of established risk factors and standard cardiovascular biomarkers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]