1. 能源冲击与中国宏观经济波动: 基于存量流量一致性投入产出模型的数值实验
- Author
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周潮, 郭卫香, and 孙慧
- Abstract
Based on the real data of Chinn,thin study pro no see n stock-flow consistent ingut-ontyu,(SFC-IO) analytical framework and its monelling approach,inte noting the post-Keynesian stock flow consistent (SFC) monel,ingut-ontpu- (IO) analysis,and relevant -heories of ecologichl macroeconomich ang di sere tn eynamiccl oystemi. TOs framework treati economy ang environment cs c uuifien macro ecosystem,incoreorating enerey usage ang the environmentcl protection into the macroeconomia monel while congucting numericci simulations on the currench OowoC the financici system,the eooOs OowoC the red economy,ang the materid OowoC the gniuenongenengmngi.Thneniuoiiihnwihni:Fneii,ihnngneespenonmne-upwnoonneinnhnehnengneespenon,ngeiheng-ngengnees ongtumphnngwnoentuohngonwneenmngetnengnees,putengeenwghenwnentngetuehenehenhnhnoongtumphnng.Tentnongnmnoenontnng causen by the eneryy prico stoch is aggravateV eue h the multiplier effect through intersectord linnaaes. Secong,c rist in the return oC eneren ingui (EROI) increaset the intermediate input oC the enerey sectoe,the eneren prico,ang then the relative cos- oC hocseyoly ngneesongeumphnng.Bnonuenntnghneenohnenoong-nene,henqunghnhsntngneespeneuoheenoehnenuenenoeengeenanegmngheenoennene, oenengehnnoneeeepenpnehnngntngheemeennheengheeeeneenuhpuh,ngngoeeneenthnhnoegeeesongeumphnng,ngetngnosntnonge demand. ThirO,ocr simulation results indicate that the total reVocng effect is 30. 2% in improving China's eneryn efficiench- We have found that the level oS eneryn-saving coclO be promoteV by 50% throuuh technolont agvancemenU The simulation on the reVocnd effech,howevee,stows that the eneryn consymption is not halveV as expecteV. When the prices oS ordinary noUs and eneryn h0°Us drop bs.22peeoeghnge122. peeoegh eepeohneeos,heeegeensongumphnngwnuoenohunosngoeene,ngeheeegeensngpuhwnuoe decrease,leaaing to dioct oVoune effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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