Search

Classification models were developed to provide accurate prediction of genotoxicity of 277 polycyclic aromatic compounds (PACs) directly from their molecular structures. Numerical descriptors encoding the topological, geometric, electronic, and polar surface area properties of the compounds were calculated to represent the structural information. Each compound's genotoxicity was represented with IMAX (maximal SOS induction factor) values measured by the SOS Chromotest in the presence and absence of S9 rat liver homogenate. The compounds' class identity was determined by a cutoff IMAX value of 1.25-compounds with IMAX > 1.25 in either test were classified as genotoxic, and the ones with IMAX < or = 1.25 were nongenotoxic. Several binary classification models were generated to predict genotoxicity: k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), linear discriminant analysis, and probabilistic neural network. The study showed k-NN to provide the highest predictive ability among the three classifiers with a training set classification rate of 93.5%. A consensus model was also developed that incorporated the three classifiers and correctly predicted 81.2% of the 277 compounds. It also provided a higher prediction rate on the genotoxic class than any other single model.

Quinolone and quinoline are known to be liver carcinogens in rodents, and a number of their derivatives have been shown to exhibit mutagenicity in the Ames test, using Salmonella typhimurium strain TA 100 in the presence of S9. Both the carcinogenicity and the mutagenicity of quinolone and quinoline derivatives, as determined by SAS, can be attributed to their genotoxicity potential. This potential, which is measured by genotoxicity tests, is a good indication of carcinogenicity and mutagenicity because compounds that are positive in these tests have the potential to be human carcinogens and/or mutagens. In this study, a collection of quinolone and quinoline derivatives' carcinogenicity is determined by qualitatively predicting their genotoxicity potential with predictive PNN (probabilistic neural network) classification models. In addition, a multiple classifier system is also developed to improve the predictability of genotoxicity. Superior results are seen with the multiple classifier system over the individual PNN classification models. With the multiple classifier system, 89.4% of the quinolone derivatives were predicted correctly, and higher predictability is seen with the quinoline derivatives at 92.2% correct. The multiple classifier system not only is able to accurately predict the genotoxicity but also provides an insight about the main determinants of genotoxicity of the quinolone and quinoline derivatives. Thus, the PNN multiple classifier system generated in this study is a beneficial contributor toward predictive toxicology in the design of less carcinogenic bioactive compounds.

We report several binary classification models that directly link the genetic toxicity of a series of 140 thiophene derivatives with information derived from the compounds' molecular structure. Genetic toxicity was measured using an SOS Chromotest. IMAX (maximal SOS induction factor) values were recorded for each of the 140 compounds both in the presence and in the absence of S9 rat liver homogenate. Compounds were classified as genotoxic if IMAX >or= 1.5 in either test or nongenotoxic if IMAX < 1.5 for both tests. The molecular structures were represented by numerical descriptors that encoded the topological, geometric, electronic, and polar surface area properties of the thiophene derivatives. The classification models used were linear discriminant analysis (LDA), k-nearest neighbor classification (k-NN), and the probabilistic neural network (PNN). These were used in conjunction with either a genetic algorithm or a generalized simulated annealing to find optimal subsets of descriptors for each classifier. The quality of the resulting models was determined by the number of misclassified compounds, with preference given to models that produced fewer false negative classifications. Model sizes ranged from seven descriptors for LDA to three descriptors for k-NN and PNN. Very good classification results were obtained with all three classifiers. Classification rates for the LDA, k-NN, and PNN models were 80, 85, and 85%, respectively, for the prediction set compounds. Additionally, a consensus model was generated that incorporated all three of the basic model types. This consensus model correctly predicted the genotoxicity of 95% of the prediction set compounds.