401. Dynamics of a tourism sustainability model with distributed delay
- Author
-
Eva Kaslik and Mihaela Neamţu
- Subjects
Tourism sustainability ,Hopf bifurcation ,General Mathematics ,Applied Mathematics ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics ,01 natural sciences ,Stability (probability) ,010305 fluids & plasmas ,Competition (economics) ,symbols.namesake ,Exponential stability ,Dynamics (music) ,0103 physical sciences ,symbols ,Applied mathematics ,Positive equilibrium ,010301 acoustics ,Bifurcation ,Mathematics - Abstract
This paper generalizes the existing minimal mathematical model of a given generic touristic site by including a distributed time-delay to reflect the whole past history of the number of tourists in their influence on the environment and capital flow. A stability and bifurcation analysis is carried out on the coexisting equilibria of the model, with special emphasis on the positive equilibrium. Considering general delay kernels and choosing the average time-delay as bifurcation parameter, a Hopf bifurcation analysis is undertaken in the neighborhood of the positive equilibrium. This leads to the theoretical characterization of the critical values of the average time delay which are responsible for the occurrence of oscillatory behavior in the system. Extensive numerical simulations are also presented, where the influence of the investment rate and competition parameter on the qualitative behavior of the system in a neighborhood of the positive equilibrium is also discussed.
- Published
- 2020