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• Long-term expansion rates of 46 Urban Gullies in Kinshasa and Bukavu are quantified. • Gully widening is responsible for most of the gully expansion. • Expansion rates in sandy soils are mainly controlled by land cover and road density. • Expansion rates in clayey soils appear influenced by landslide dynamics. Urban gullies (UGs) are a growing concern in many tropical cities of the Global South. Addressing this new geo-hydrological hazard requires good insights into the rates and controlling factors of this process. Therefore, we investigate the expansion rates of a representative sample of UGs in Kinshasa (n = 17) and Bukavu (n = 29), two contrasting cities in D.R. Congo. We reconstruct long-term (10–17 years) expansion rates, making a distinction between headcut retreat and sidewall widening, and analyse the environmental factors potentially explaining these rates. Total expansion rates varying between 12.6 and 863 m2y-1. Most of this expansion happens through sidewall widening. In Kinshasa, which is mainly characterized by sandy soils, contrasts in expansion rates are mainly correlated to the characteristics of the upslope drainage area of the gullies. Especially the road density and a hypothetical runoff index (combining drainage area, land use and soil characteristics) explain a significant part of the observed variation. In Bukavu, such trends are less apparent. This is likely because the clayey nature of the soils provides more resistance against gullying, resulting in overall smaller and less actives UGs. Furthermore, the already low infiltration rates of these soils probably make the relative impact of urbanization on runoff production smaller. Our results also indicate that UGs located in recent landslides have higher gully expansion rates. The mechanisms behind remain poorly understood. Overall, our work opens promising perspectives to model and predict gully expansion rates in urban settings but may also guide efforts aiming to stabilize UGs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]