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Abstract Background Previous observational studies have documented an inverse association of birthweight with myocardial infarction (MI) but a positive association with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the causality of these associations and the underlying mediating pathways remain unclear. We aimed to investigate the causal effects of birthweight, incorporating both fetal and maternal genetic effects, on MI and AF, and identify potential mediators in their respective pathways. Methods We performed Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses using genome-wide association study summary statistics for birthweight (N = 297,356 for own birthweight and 210,248 for offspring birthweight), MI (Ncase=61,000, Ncontrol=577,000), AF (Ncase=60,620, Ncontrol=970,216), and 52 candidate mediators (N = 13,848-1,295,946). Two-step MR was employed to identify and assess the mediation proportion of potential mediators in the associations of birthweight with MI and AF, respectively. As a complement, we replicated analyses for fetal-specific birthweight and maternal-specific birthweight. Results Genetically determined each 1-SD lower birthweight was associated with a 40% (95% CI: 1.22–1.60) higher risk of MI, whereas each 1-SD higher birthweight was causally associated with a 29% (95% CI: 1.16–1.44) higher risk of AF. Cardiometabolic factors, including lipids and lipoproteins, glucose and insulin, blood pressure, and fatty acids, each mediated 4.09-23.71% of the total effect of birthweight on MI, followed by body composition and strength traits (i.e., appendicular lean mass, height, and grip strength) and socioeconomic indicators (i.e., education and household income), with the mediation proportion for each factor ranging from 8.08 to 16.80%. By contrast, appendicular lean mass, height, waist circumference, childhood obesity, and body mass index each mediated 15.03-45.12% of the total effect of birthweight on AF. Both fetal-specific birthweight and maternal-specific birthweight were inversely associated with MI, while only fetal-specific birthweight was positively associated with AF. Psychological well-being and lifestyle factors conferred no mediating effect in either association. Conclusions Cardiometabolic factors mainly mediated the association between lower birthweight and MI, while body composition and strength traits mediated the association between higher birthweight and AF. These findings provide novel evidence for the distinct pathogenesis of MI and AF and advocate adopting a life-course approach to improving fetal development and subsequent causal mediators to mitigate the prevalence and burden of cardiovascular diseases.

Abstract Background Gut microbiota imbalances have been suggested as a contributing factor to atrial fibrillation (AF), but the causal relationship is not fully understood. Objectives To explore the causal relationships between the gut microbiota and AF using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Methods Summary statistics were from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of 207 gut microbial taxa (5 phyla, 10 classes, 13 orders, 26 families, 48 genera, and 105 species) (the Dutch Microbiome Project) and two large meta-GWASs of AF. The significant results were validated in FinnGen cohort and over 430,000 UK Biobank participants. Mediation MR analyses were conducted for AF risk factors, including type 2 diabetes, coronary artery disease (CAD), body mass index (BMI), blood lipids, blood pressure, and obstructive sleep apnea, to explore the potential mediation effect of these risk factors in between the gut microbiota and AF. Results Two microbial taxa causally associated with AF: species Eubacterium ramulus (odds ratio [OR] 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–1.12, P = 0.0001, false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted p-value = 0.023) and genus Holdemania (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.07–1.25, P = 0.0004, FDR adjusted p-value = 0.042). Genus Holdemania was associated with incident AF risk in the UK Biobank. The proportion of mediation effect of species Eubacterium ramulus via CAD was 8.05% (95% CI 1.73% − 14.95%, P = 0.008), while the proportion of genus Holdemania on AF via BMI was 12.01% (95% CI 5.17% − 19.39%, P = 0.0005). Conclusions This study provided genetic evidence to support a potential causal mechanism between gut microbiota and AF and suggested the mediation role of AF risk factors.

Abstract Background Glycemic variability plays an important role in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aims to determine whether long-term visit-to-visit glycemic variability is associated with aortic stiffness progression in participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods Prospective data were obtained from 2115 T2D participants in the National Metabolic Management Center (MMC) from June 2017 to December 2022. Two brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (ba-PWV) measurements were performed to assess aortic stiffness over a mean follow-up period of 2.6 years. A multivariate latent class growth mixed model was applied to identify trajectories of blood glucose. Logistic regression models were used to determine the odds ratio (OR) for aortic stiffness associated with glycemic variability evaluated by the coefficient of variation (CV), variability independent of the mean (VIM), average real variability (ARV), and successive variation (SV) of blood glucose. Results Four distinct trajectories of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) or fasting blood glucose (FBG) were identified. In the U-shape class of HbA1c and FBG, the adjusted ORs were 2.17 and 1.21 for having increased/persistently high ba-PWV, respectively. Additionally, HbA1c variability (CV, VIM, SV) was significantly associated with aortic stiffness progression, with ORs ranging from 1.20 to 1.24. Cross-tabulation analysis indicated that the third tertile of the HbA1c mean and VIM conferred a 78% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23–2.58) higher odds of aortic stiffness progression. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the SD of HbA1c and the highest HbA1c variability score (HVS) were significantly associated with the adverse outcomes independent of the mean of HbA1c during the follow-up. Conclusions Long-term visit-to-visit HbA1c variability was independently associated with aortic stiffness progression, suggesting that HbA1c variability was a strong predictor of subclinical atherosclerosis in T2D participants.

Abstract Background Prediabetes is an important risk factor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. However, the evidence of prediabetes as a cardiovascular risk factor is mainly derived from middle-aged adults. Recently, multiple studies supported that prediabetes in older adults would not lead to higher risk of CVD or mortality. We aimed to investigate the age-specific difference in the association between prediabetes and subclinical atherosclerosis in a Chinese prospective cohort study. Methods We included 4739 individuals aged ≥ 40 years and without diagnosed diabetes or CVD history, and divided them into middle-aged adults (age

Abstract Background Whether smoking modifies the associations of diabetes and risk factor management with subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), and whether the smoking related CVD risk differs among people with and without diabetes are unclear. This study aimed to examine the associations and interactions of smoking, diabetes, and risk factor management in relation to incident CVD. Methods This nationwide, population-based, prospective cohort study of 20 communities from various geographic regions recruited adults aged 40 years or older during 2011–2012. The follow-up survey was conducted between 2014 and 2016. This study included 126,181 participants who were free from CVD at baseline. Results Study participants included 19,397 current smokers (15.4%), 6,049 former smokers (4.8%), and 100,735 never smokers (79.8%). Mean (SD) age ranged from 55.8 (8.6) years to 60.7 (9.1) years. Compared with never smokers, heavy smokers exhibited a greater risk of CVD events among participants with diabetes (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.45; 95% CI, 1.17–1.78) than among participants without diabetes (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.01–1.42; P for interaction = 0.006). Compared with participants without diabetes, participants with diabetes who were never smokers and had 5 or more controlled risk factors showed no significantly excess CVD risk (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.71–1.22), but the cardiovascular benefits from risk factor management were counteracted among participants with diabetes who were current smokers (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.77–2.14) or former smokers (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.66–2.28). Conclusions Smoking and diabetes interacted with each other in relation to increased risk of CVD events, and the beneficial effect of risk factor management on CVD risk among participants with diabetes was attenuated by current or former smoking.

Abstract Background The triglyceride-glucose index (TyG index) has been proposed as a simple and reliable alternative insulin resistance (IR) marker, while the homeostasis model assessment for IR (HOMA-IR) is the most frequently used index. Few studies have evaluated the role of IR assessed by the TyG index and HOMA-IR on arterial stiffness in a type 2 diabetes (T2D) population with a high risk of increased arterial stiffness. We aimed to investigate the association of the TyG index and HOMA-IR with arterial stiffness in patients with T2D. Methods We recruited 3185 patients with T2D, who underwent brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), an indicator of arterial stiffness, but without previous cardiovascular disease. Increased arterial stiffness was defined as a baPWV value greater than the 75th percentile (18.15 m/s) in the present study. The TyG index was determined as ln(fasting triglycerides [mg/dL] × fasting glucose [mg/dL]/2), and the HOMA-IR was calculated as (fasting insulin [μIU/mL] × fasting glucose [mmol/L])/22.5. Results The mean age of the study participants was 54.6 ± 12.0 years, and 1954 (61.4%) were men. Seemingly unrelated regression estimation analysis demonstrated that the TyG index had stronger associations with baPWV than the HOMA-IR (all P

Abstract Background Both lipid and glucose abnormalities are associated with hypertension (HTN). However, it is unclear whether the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is associated with HTN. Therefore the aim of this study is to investigate the association of the TyG index and HTN and to compare the discriminative power of the TyG index, lipid, glycemic parameters for the risk of HTN in elderly individuals. Methods The present study was nested in a longitudinal (REACTION) study from May 2011 to December 2011, which was designed to demonstrate the association of abnormal glucose metabolism with the risk of cancer in the Chinese population. In total, 47,808 participants were recruited in this cross-sectional study. The TyG index was divided into five groups: the