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High stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with improved pathologic complete response (pCR) in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We hypothesize that integrating high sTILs and additional clinicopathologic features associated with pCR could enhance our ability to predict the group of patients on whom treatment de-escalation strategies could be tested. In this prospective early-stage TNBC neoadjuvant chemotherapy study, pretreatment biopsies from 408 patients were evaluated for their clinical and demographic features, as well as biomarkers including sTILs, Ki-67, PD-L1 and androgen receptor. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed to generate a computed response score to predict pCR. The pCR rate for the entire cohort was 41%. Recursive partitioning analysis identified ≥20% as the optimal cutoff for sTILs to denote 35% (143/408) of patients as having high sTILs, with a pCR rate of 59%, and 65% (265/408) of patients as having low sTILs, with a pCR rate of 31%. High Ki-67 (cutoff > 35%) was identified as the only predictor of pCR in addition to sTILs in the training set. This finding was verified in the testing set, where the highest computed response score encompassing both high sTILa and high Ki-67 predicted a pCR rate of 65%. Integrating Ki67 and sTIL may refine the selection of early stage TNBC patients for neoadjuvant clinical trials evaluating de-escalation strategies.

High stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with an improved pathologic complete response (pCR) and survival in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We hypothesized that high baseline sTILs would have a favorable prognostic impact in TNBC patients without a pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). In this prospective NACT study, pretreatment biopsies from 318 patients with early-stage TNBC were evaluated for sTILs. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was applied to search for the sTIL cutoff best associated with a pCR. With ≥20% sTILs identified as the optimal cutoff, 33% patients had high sTILs (pCR rate 64%) and 67% had low sTILs (pCR rate 29%). Patients were stratified according to the sTIL cutoff (low vs. high) and response to NACT (pCR vs. residual disease (RD)). The primary endpoint was event-free survival (EFS), with hazard ratios calculated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model and the 3-year restricted mean survival time (RMST) as primary measures. Within the high-sTIL group, EFS was better in patients with a pCR compared with those with RD (HR 0.05; 95% CI 0.01–0.39; p = 0.004). The difference in the 3-year RMST for EFS between the two groups was 5.6 months (95% CI 2.3–8.8; p = 0.001). However, among patients with RD, EFS was not significantly different between those with high sTILs and those with low sTILs (p = 0.7). RNA-seq analysis predicted more CD8+ T cells in the high-sTIL group with favorable EFS compared with the high-sTIL group with unfavorable EFS. This study did not demonstrate that high baseline sTILs confer a benefit in EFS in the absence of a pCR.