1. Reconstructing phosphorus levels using models based on the modern diatom assemblages of 55 lakes in southern Quebec
- Author
-
Pierre Legendre, Reinhard Pienitz, and Roxane Tremblay
- Subjects
Diatom ,biology ,chemistry ,Phosphorus ,chemistry.chemical_element ,Total phosphorus ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,biology.organism_classification ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics ,Geology - Abstract
This study shows how modern diatom assemblages, obtained from the surface sediments of 55 deep and shallow lakes in southern Quebec and representing a gradient in trophic state and specific conductivity, can be used to reconstruct the historical water column concentrations of total phosphorus (TP) over time. Inference models were developed with the aid of regression analyses based on weighted means. The TP models demonstrate statistical performances equal to or superior to TP models developed in the past for other regions in Canada and elsewhere in the world. A reconstruction of TP values, based on fossil diatom assemblages of Lac Nairne (Charlevoix, QC), was conducted. Comparing the TP inferred values with the measured values and those estimated using export coefficients, the reliability of the model was proven. In addition, the comparison of the results obtained from reconstructions performed with two inference models (Quebec and Ontario lakes) also revealed that models predicted TP and not a collinear variable. Resume : Cet article vise amontrer que les assemblages de diatomees modernes repertoriees dans les sediments de surface de 55 lacs du Quebec meridional, representatifs d'un gradient d'etats trophiques, permettent de reconstituer les teneurs histo- riques en phosphore total (PT) qui prevalaient dans la colonne d'eau des lacs du Quebec. Pour ce faire, un modele d'inference a ete developpe al'aide d'analyses de regressions basees sur les moyennes ponderees. Les performances statistiques du modele de PT sont equivalentes ou superieures aux modeles developpes pour des regions differentes au Canada ou ailleurs dans le monde. Une reconstitution des valeurs de PT, basee sur les assemblages de diatomees fossiles du lac Nairne (Charlevoix, QC) a ete menee. La comparaison des valeurs de PT inferees avec les valeurs mesurees ainsi que celles estimees al'aide des coefficients d'exportation a montre la justesse du modele. De plus, la comparaison des resultats provenant de reconstitutions menees avec deux modeles d'inference (lacs du Quebec et de l'Ontario) a egalement montre que les modeles predisent le PT et non une variable colineaire.
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF