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Environmental temperature is an important driver of the population dynamics of tsetse (Glossinaspp) because the fly's immature stages are particularly vulnerable to temperatures (T) outside the rangeT= 16–32°C. Laboratory experiments carried out 50 years ago provide extensive measures of temperature-dependent rates of development, fat consumption and mortality in tsetse pupae. We improve on the models originally fitted to these data, providing better parameter estimates for use in population modelling. A composite function accurately models rates of pupal development forT= 8–32°C. Pupal duration can be estimated by summing the temperature-dependent daily percentage of development completed. Fat consumption is modelled as a logistic function of temperature; the total fat consumed during pupal development takes a minimum forT≈ 25°C. Pupae experiencing constant temperatures T≤ 30°C, the fat consumption during this period. The new results will be particularly useful in the construction of various models for tsetse population dynamics, and will have particular relevance for agent-based models where the lives of individual tsetse are simulated using a daily time step.

The distributions of insecticide-treated cattle from sites in Tanzania and Zimbabwe were assessed from interviews with livestock owners, analysis of secondary livestock data and mapping technologies. The time-course of tsetse control operations at these sites were then simulated using a mathematical model that assumed diffusive movement and logistic growth in fly populations. A simulation of a tsetse control operation in Mudzi district, north-east Zimbabwe, was in accord with observations that the use of insecticide-treated cattle was unable to prevent substantial re-invasion of tsetse from Mozambique, consequent on the patchy distribution of cattle. The simulation was also consistent with the observed efficacy of a 10-km wide barrier of insecticide-treated targets deployed evenly at 4 km−2. Simulation of a control operation on Mkwaja Ranch in Tanzania was in accord with the observation that the use of insecticide-treated cattle reduced the tsetse population on the ranch by c. 90%. Insecticide-treated cattle were used to better effect in the Kagera Region of Tanzania. Simulation of this operation predicts that the deployment of 35,000 treated cattle in the area would result in > 99% control of the tsetse population, consistent with the observed decline, by 1–2 orders of magnitude, in cases of trypanosomiasis in the region. The greater success of the Kagera operation was due to the size and shape of the treated area and, particularly, to the restriction of re-invasion to 20% of the perimeter, compared with > 80% on Mkwaja. Simulation was used to assess how tsetse control could have been improved at Mkwaja. The results suggest that splitting herds into smaller, more numerous, units could have achieved some improvement but, in general, the disease problem would not have been solved by the use of insecticide-treated cattle alone. Only by deploying odour-baited targets in ungrazed areas, or in a 1–3-km barrier around the ranch, could substantially better control (99–99.9%) have been achieved. Sensitivity analyses of the Mkwaja simulation showed that the general conclusions were robust to assumptions regarding cattle distribution and the rates of fly movement and growth. Properly managed and appropriately applied insecticide-treated baits are powerful weapons for tsetse control but should not be used without regard to potential levels of re-invasion, consequent largely on considerations of the size and shape of the treatment area and the density and distribution of the baits.

Studies were made of the behaviour of Glossina pallidipes Austen and G. morsitans morsitans Westwood during the hot season (September–November) in Zimbabwe, and attributes of samples of tsetse from refuges, odour-baited traps, targets and mobile baits were compared. Various arrangements of electric nets were used to study tsetse as they entered or left artificial refuges. The peak time of entry into a refuge varied between 0800 h and 1400 h and coincided with the time when the air temperature reached 32°C; the response was stronger if 32°C occurred earlier in the day. The peak time of exit varied between 1500 h and 1700 h, being significantly later on hotter days, but did not show a clear temperature threshold. Micro-meteorological measurements showed that refuges were significantly cooler than the surrounding riverine woodland during the day but warmer at night. There was no significant difference between the air temperatures in leafless mopane woodland and semi-evergreen riverine woodland during the day but at night the riverine woodland was significantly cooler. Combining the micro-meteorological data with the estimated local movements of tsetse suggested that during the hot season, tsetse experienced temperatures 2°C cooler than the daily mean in a Stevenson screen located in mopane woodland. Compared with the catches of tsetse from traps, refuges had higher proportions of G. m. morsitans, males, young flies and females in the later stages of reproduction, and it is suggested that during the hot season, samples from refuges were less biased than traps with respect to species and sex composition, age and reproductive status. During the hot season, tsetse populations declined by c. 90% and although air temperatures exceeded lethal levels (c. 40°C), the refuge-entering responses meant that adult flies probably experienced a maximum of only c. 35°C. It is suggested that the decline in numbers is not due to direct mortality effects of temperature on adults but may be due, in part, to a doubling in the rates of reproductive abnormality during the hot season and an increase in adult mortality related to a temperature-dependent decrease in pupal period.