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Purpose: This study aims to assess the diagnostic value of ultrasound habitat sub-region radiomics feature parameters using a fully connected neural networks (FCNN) combination method L2,1-norm in relation to breast cancer Ki-67 status., Methods: Ultrasound images from 528 cases of female breast cancer at the Affiliated Hospital of Xiangnan University and 232 cases of female breast cancer at the Affiliated Rehabilitation Hospital of Xiangnan University were selected for this study. We utilized deep learning methods to automatically outline the gross tumor volume and perform habitat clustering. Subsequently, habitat sub-regions were extracted to identify radiomics features and underwent feature engineering using the L1,2-norm. A prediction model for the Ki-67 status of breast cancer patients was then developed using a FCNN. The model's performance was evaluated using accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), specificity (Spe), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Recall, and F1. In addition, calibration curves and clinical decision curves were plotted for the test set to visually assess the predictive accuracy and clinical benefit of the models., Result: Based on the feature engineering using the L1,2-norm, a total of 9 core features were identified. The predictive model, constructed by the FCNN model based on these 9 features, achieved the following scores: ACC 0.856, AUC 0.915, Spe 0.843, PPV 0.920, NPV 0.747, Recall 0.974, and F1 0.890. Furthermore, calibration curves and clinical decision curves of the validation set demonstrated a high level of confidence in the model's performance and its clinical benefit., Conclusion: Habitat clustering of ultrasound images of breast cancer is effectively supported by the combined implementation of the L1,2-norm and FCNN algorithms, allowing for the accurate classification of the Ki-67 status in breast cancer patients., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: Ki-67 is recommended by international/national guidelines for risk stratification in early breast cancer (EBC), particularly for defining "intermediate risk," despite inter-laboratory/inter-observer variability and cutoff uncertainty. We investigated Ki-67 (> 10%- < 40%, determined locally) as a prognostic marker for intermediate/high risk in EBC, pN0-1 patients., Methods: This prospective, non-interventional, real-world study included females ≥ 18 years, with pN0/pN1mi/pN1, HR+ , HER2-negative EBC, and locally determined Ki-67 ranging 10%-40%. The primary outcome was changes in treatment recommendations after disclosing the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score ® (RS) assay result., Results: The analysis included 567 patients (median age, 57 [range, 29-83] years; 70%/1%/29%/ with pN0/pN1mi/pN1 disease; 81% and 19% with RS results 0-25 and 26-100, respectively). The correlations between local and central Ki-67, local Ki-67, and the RS, and central Ki-67 and the RS results were weak (r = 0.35, r = 0.3, and r = 0.46, respectively), and discrepancies were noted in both directions (e.g., local Ki-67 was lower or higher than central Ki-67). After disclosing the RS, treatment recommendations changed for 190 patients (34%). Changes were observed in pN0 and pN1mi/pN1 patients and in patients with centrally determined Ki-67 ≤ 10% and > 10%. Treatment changes were aligned with RS results (adding chemotherapy for patients with higher RS results, omitting it for lower RS results), and their net result was 8% reduction in adjuvant chemotherapy use (from 32% pre-RS results to 24% post-RS results)., Conclusion: The Oncotype DX ® assay is a tool for individualizing treatments that adds to classic treatment decision factors. The RS result and Ki-67 are not interchangeable, and Ki-67, as well as nodal status, should not be used as gatekeepers for testing eligibility, to avoid under and overtreatment., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Quantification of Ki67 in breast cancer is a well-established prognostic and predictive marker, but inter-laboratory variability has hampered its clinical usefulness. This study compares the prognostic value and reproducibility of Ki67 scoring using four automated, digital image analysis (DIA) methods and two manual methods., Methods: The study cohort consisted of 367 patients diagnosed between 1990 and 2004, with hormone receptor positive, HER2 negative, lymph node negative breast cancer. Manual scoring of Ki67 was performed using predefined criteria. DIA Ki67 scoring was performed using QuPath and Visiopharm® platforms. Reproducibility was assessed by the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). ROC curve survival analysis identified optimal cutoff values in addition to recommendations by the International Ki67 Working Group and Norwegian Guidelines. Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test and Cox regression analysis assessed the association between Ki67 scoring and distant metastasis (DM) free survival., Results: The manual hotspot and global scoring methods showed good agreement when compared to their counterpart DIA methods (ICC > 0.780), and good to excellent agreement between different DIA hotspot scoring platforms (ICC 0.781-0.906). Different Ki67 cutoffs demonstrate significant DM-free survival (p < 0.05). DIA scoring had greater prognostic value for DM-free survival using a 14% cutoff (HR 3.054-4.077) than manual scoring (HR 2.012-2.056). The use of a single cutoff for all scoring methods affected the distribution of prediction outcomes (e.g. false positives and negatives)., Conclusion: This study demonstrates that DIA scoring of Ki67 is superior to manual methods, but further study is required to standardize automated, DIA scoring and definition of a clinical cut-off., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Purpose: In Italy, Lombardy was the first region to reimburse multigene assays (MGAs) for patients otherwise candidates for chemotherapy. This is a real-world experience of MGAs usage in six referral cancer centers in Lombardy., Methods: Among MGAs, Oncotype DX (RS) was used in 97% of cases. Consecutive patients tested with Oncotype DX from July 2020 to July 2022 were selected. The distribution of clinicopathologic features by RS groups (low RS: 0-25, high RS: 26-100) was assessed using chi-square and compared with those of the TAILORx and RxPONDER trials., Results: Out of 1,098 patients identified, 73% had low RS. Grade and Ki67 were associated with RS (p < 0.001). In patients with both G3 and Ki67 > 30%, 39% had low RS, while in patients with both G1 and Ki67 < 20%, 7% had high RS. The proportion of low RS in node-positive patients was similar to that in RxPONDER (82% vs 83%), while node-negative patients with low RS were significantly less than in TAILORx (66% vs 86%, p < 0.001). The distribution of Grade was different from registration trials, with more G3 and fewer G1 (38% and 3%) than in TAILORx (18% and 27%) and RxPONDER (10% and 24%) (p < 0.001). Patients ≤ 50 years were overrepresented in this series (41%) than in TAILORx and RxPONDER (31% and 24%, respectively) (p < 0.001) and, among them, 42% were node positive., Conclusions: In this real-world series, Oncotype DX was the test almost exclusively used. Despite reimbursement being linked to pre-test chemotherapy recommendation, almost 3/4 patients resulted in the low-RS group. The significant proportion of node-positive patients ≤ 50 years tested indicates that oncologists considered Oncotype DX informative also in this population., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Ki-67 expression levels in breast cancer have prognostic and predictive significance. Therefore, accurate Ki-67 evaluation is important for optimal patient care. Although an algorithm developed by the International Ki-67 in Breast Cancer Working Group (IKWG) improves interobserver variability, it is tedious and time-consuming. In this study, we simplify IKWG algorithm and evaluate its interobserver agreement among breast pathologists in Ki-67 evaluation., Methods: Six subspecialized breast pathologists (4 juniors, 2 seniors) assessed the percentage of positive cells in 5% increments in 57 immunostained Ki-67 slides. The time spent on each slide was recorded. Two rounds of ring study (R1, R2) were performed before and after training with the modified IKWG algorithm (eyeballing method at 400× instead of counting 100 tumor nuclei per area). Concordance was assessed using Kendall's and Kappa coefficients., Results: Analysis of ordinal scale ratings for all categories with 5% increments showed almost perfect agreement in R1 (0.821) and substantial in R2 (0.793); Seniors and juniors had substantial agreement in R1 (0.718 vs. 0.649) and R2 (0.756 vs. 0.658). In dichotomous scale analysis using 20% as the cutoff, the overall agreement was moderate in R1 (0.437) and R2 (0.479), among seniors (R1: 0.436; R2: 0.437) and juniors (R1: 0.445; R2: 0.505). Average scoring time per case was higher in R2 (71 vs. 37 s)., Conclusion: The modified IKWG algorithm does not significantly improve interobserver agreement. A better algorithm or assistance from digital image analysis is needed to improve interobserver variability in Ki-67 evaluation., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: The International Ki67 Working Group (IKWG) has developed training for immunohistochemistry (IHC) scoring reproducibility and recommends cut points of ≤ 5% and ≥ 30% for prognosis in ER+, HER2-, stage I/II breast cancer. We examined scoring reproducibility following IKWG training and evaluated these cut points for selecting patients for further testing with the 21-gene Recurrence Score (RS) assay., Methods: We included 307 women aged 50+ years with node-negative, ER+PR+HER2- breast cancer and with available RS results. Slides from the diagnostic biopsy were stained for Ki67 and scored using digital image analysis (IA). Two IHC pathologists underwent IKWG training and visually scored slides, blinded to each other and IA readings. Interobserver reproducibility was examined using intraclass correlation (ICC) and Kappa statistics., Results: Depending on reader, 8.8-16.0% of our cohort had Ki67 ≤ 5% and 11.4-22.5% had scores ≥ 30%. The ICC for Ki67 scores by the two pathologists was 0.82 (95% CI 0.78-0.85); it was 0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.83) for pathologist 1 and IA and 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.80) for pathologist 2 and IA. For Ki67 scores ≤ 5%, the percentages with RS < 26 were 92.6%, 91.8%, and 90.9% for pathologist 1, pathologist 2, and IA, respectively. For Ki67 scores ≥ 30%, the percentages with RS ≥ 26 were 41.5%, 51.4%, and 27.5%, respectively., Conclusion: The IKWG's Ki67 training resulted in moderate to strong reproducibility across readers but cut points had only moderate overlap with RS cut points, especially for Ki67 ≥ 30% and RS ≥ 26; thus, their clinical utility for a 21-gene assay testing pathway remains unclear., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Oncotype DX, a 21-gene expression profiling test, has become standard of care in the management of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer. In multifocal tumors, it is unclear whether testing of the different foci is necessary. We evaluated the concordance of Oncotype DX recurrence scores (RS) between 2 tumor foci in synchronous bilateral or unilateral multifocal tumors and characterized pathological predictors of discordance., Methods: We reviewed 713 ER+, HER2- primary invasive breast cancer patients with Oncotype RS and identified 17 bilateral synchronous patients (34 tumors) and 13 unilateral multifocal patients (26 tumors) with available Oncotype RS on all foci. Discordance in Oncotype RS between synchronous tumors was recorded and associations with clinicopathologic features including tumor size, histology, Nottingham histologic grade, progesterone receptor staining, and Ki67 index were analyzed., Results: Bilateral synchronous tumors were present in older patients (median age 59 years) and had larger tumor (median size 17 mm) and more discordant histology (10/17, 59%) as compared to unilateral multifocal tumors (median age 49 years, p < 0.01; median tumor size 12 mm, p = 0.01; discordant histology 2/13, 15%, p = 0.03). Oncotype RS were discordant in 47% (8/17) of bilateral and 54% (7/13) of unilateral multifocal tumors. Concordant Oncotype RS was associated with similar histologic grade and Ki67 index in 78% (7/9) of bilateral and 100% (6/6) of multifocal tumors. In contrast, only 25% (2/8) of bilateral (p = 0.06) and 14% (1/7) of unilateral multifocal (p < 0.01) cases with discordant Oncotype RS had concordant histology grades and Ki67 levels. In synchronous tumors with discordant Oncotype RS and Ki67 index, all (4/4) foci with higher RS had higher Ki67 index., Conclusion: Discordance of Oncotype RS is common in both bilateral and unilateral multifocal breast cancer and is likely associated with discordant histologic grade or Ki67., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: The B-MaP-C study investigated changes to breast cancer care that were necessitated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Here we present a follow-up analysis of those patients commenced on bridging endocrine therapy (BrET), whilst they were awaiting surgery due to reprioritisation of resources., Methods: This multicentre, multinational cohort study recruited 6045 patients from the UK, Spain and Portugal during the peak pandemic period (Feb-July 2020). Patients on BrET were followed up to investigate the duration of, and response to, BrET. This included changes in tumour size to reflect downstaging potential, and changes in cellular proliferation (Ki67), as a marker of prognosis., Results: 1094 patients were prescribed BrET, over a median period of 53 days (IQR 32-81 days). The majority of patients (95.6%) had strong ER expression (Allred score 7-8/8). Very few patients required expedited surgery, due to lack of response (1.2%) or due to lack of tolerance/compliance (0.8%). There were small reductions in median tumour size after 3 months' treatment duration; median of 4 mm [IQR - 20, 4]. In a small subset of patients (n = 47), a drop in cellular proliferation (Ki67) occurred in 26 patients (55%), from high (Ki67 ≥ 10%) to low (< 10%), with at least one month's duration of BrET., Discussion: This study describes real-world usage of pre-operative endocrine therapy as necessitated by the pandemic. BrET was found to be tolerable and safe. The data support short-term (≤ 3 months) usage of pre-operative endocrine therapy. Longer-term use should be investigated in future trials., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Currently, the most commonly applied method for the determination of breast cancer subtypes is to test estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), and Ki67 by immunohistochemistry (IHC). However, the IHC method has substantial intraobserver and interobserver variability. ESR1, PGR, ERBB2, and MKi67 mRNA tests by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) assay may improve the diagnostic objectivity and efficiency. Here, we compared the concordance between RT-qPCR and IHC for assessment of the same biomarkers and evaluated the subtypes., Methods: A total of 265 eligible cases were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort, and the expressions of ER/ESR1, PR/PGR, HER2/ERBB2, and Ki67/MKI67 were tested by IHC and RT-qPCR. Then, the appropriate cutoff of RT-qPCR was calculated in the training cohort. The concordance between RT-qPCR and IHC was calculated for individual marker. In addition, we investigated the subtypes based on the RT-qPCR results., Results: The Spearman correlation coefficients between ER/ESR1, PR/PGR, HER2/ERBB2, and Ki67/MKI67 by IHC and RT-qPCR were 0.768, 0.699, 0.762, and 0.387, respectively. The cutoff values for the RT-qPCR assay of ESR1 (1%), PGR (1%), ERBB2, and MKi67 (14%) were 35.539, 32.139, 36.398, and 29.176, respectively. The overall percent agreement (OPA) between ER/ESR1, PR/PGR, HER2/ERBB2, and Ki67/MKI67 by IHC and RT-qPCR was 92.48%, 73.68%, 92.80%, and 74.44%, respectively. A total of 224 (84.53%) specimens were concordant for the breast cancer subtypes (IHC-based type) by RT-qPCR., Conclusion: Evaluation of breast cancer biomarker status by RT-qPCR was highly concordant with IHC. RT-qPCR can be used as a supplementary method to detect molecular markers of breast cancer., (© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: Topoisomerase II alpha (TOP2A) has been identified as a proliferation marker, of which the most common method for detection is immunohistochemistry (IHC). However, the optimal cut-off of TOP2A expression regarding prognostic value remains controversial. This study was to identify the optimal cut-off value of TOP2A expression and its correlation with clinicopathological variables and prognosis in early stage breast cancer in China., Methods: Between January 2013 and January 2015, a total of 1084 early breast cancer patients were enrolled. The optimal cut-off of TOP2A expression was assessed using the minimum P value approach. Correlations between TOP2A expression and clinicopathological characteristics were explored by the Spearman's correlation analysis, while the impact of TOP2A expression on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier methods. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were executed to identify statistically significant prognostic factors., Results: The optimal cut-off value of TOP2A was recommended as 15%. Overall, 603 (55.6%) patients were TOP2A over-expression and 481 (44.4%) patients were TOP2A low expression. TOP2A over-expression was in positive associations with a higher Ki67 index (r = 0.83, P < 0.001), HER2 positive (r = 0.26, P < 0.001), a larger tumor size (r = 0.14, P < 0.001), and a higher histologic grade (r = 0.59, P < 0.001), and in a significantly negative correlation with hormone receptor (HR) positive expression (r =  - 0.40, P < 0.001) in early breast cancer. TOP2A over-expression significantly associated with worse DFS (P = 0.001) and OS (P < 0.001) and was an independent prognostic factor for both DFS (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.04; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.30-3.18, P = 0.0018) and OS (HR = 3.54; 95%CI 1.53-8.23, P = 0.003) in stage I-II breast cancer patients., Conclusion: To our knowledge, this is the first study to recommend the optimal cut-off value of TOP2A expression in breast cancer. The TOP2A expression is significantly correlated with HER2 status, Ki67 index, tumor size, histologic grade and HR status, and could be a surrogate indicator for poor prognosis of early breast cancer., (© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: This study aimed to identify the association between Ki-67 level and the prognosis of patients with breast cancer, regardless of the timing of Ki-67 testing (using preoperative biopsy vs. postoperative specimen)., Methods: A total of 4177 patients underwent surgery between January 2008 and December 2016. Immunohistochemical Ki-67 levels, using either preoperative (1673) or postoperative (2831) specimens, were divided into four groups using cutoff points of 10%, 15%, and 20%., Results: Groups with higher-Ki-67 levels, in both the pre- and postoperative periods, showed significantly larger tumor size, higher grade, more frequent hormone receptor-negativity and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 overexpression, and active adjuvant treatments than groups with lower-Ki-67 levels. High-Ki-67 levels were also significantly associated with poor survival, irrespective of the timing of specimen examination., Conclusion: Despite the problems associated with Ki-67, Ki-67 level is an important independent prognostic factor, regardless of the timing of Ki-67 testing, i.e., preoperative or postoperative testing., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Despite the therapeutic success of existing HER2-targeted therapies, tumors respond quite differently to them. This study aimed at figuring out genetic mutation profile of Chinese HER2-positive patients and investigating predictive factors of neoadjuvant anti-HER2 responses., Methods: We employed two cohorts. The first cohort was comprised of 181 HER2-positive patients treated at Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from 2012 to 2018. The second cohort included 40 patients from the first cohort who underwent HER2-targeted neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Genetic mutations were characterized using next-generation sequencing. We employed the most commonly used definition of pathological complete response (pCR)-eradication of tumor from both breast and lymph nodes (ypT0/is ypN0)., Results: In Chinese HER2-positive breast cancer patients, TP53 (74.6%), CDK12 (64.6%) and PIK3CA (46.4%) have the highest mutation frequencies. In cohort 2, significant differences were found between pCR and non-pCR groups in terms of the initial Ki67 status, TP53 missense mutations, TP53 LOF mutations, PIK3CA mutations and ROS1 mutations (p = 0.028, 0.019, 0.005, 0.013, 0.049, respectively). Furthermore, TP53 LOF mutations and initial Ki67 status (OR 7.086, 95% CI 1.366-36.749, p = 0.020 and OR 6.007, 95% CI 1.120-32.210, p = 0.036, respectively) were found to be predictive of pCR status., Conclusion: TP53 LOF mutations and initial Ki67 status in HER2-positive breast cancer are predictive of pCR status after HER2-targeted NACT.

Purpose: Chloroquine has demonstrated anti-tumor activities through autophagy inhibition and cell cycle disruption. This study aimed to assess the effect of single-agent chloroquine on breast tumor cellular proliferation in a randomized, phase II, double-blind, placebo-controlled, pre-surgical window of opportunity trial., Methods: Patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer were randomized 2:1 to chloroquine 500 mg daily or placebo for 2- to 6-weeks prior to their breast surgery. The primary outcome was the relative change in measures of proliferation (Ki67) in primary breast cancer cells pre- and post-treatment. Adverse events and toxicity profiles were also evaluated., Results: From September 2015 to December 2016, 70 patients were randomized [46 (66%) chloroquine and 24 (34%) placebo]. Ten patients who were randomized to chloroquine withdrew from study due to adverse events. Mean duration of drug intake was 15 days (range 14-29 days). There were no significant differences between the chloroquine or placebo arms with respect to either the percentage change (- 0.4 vs. - 1.2, p = 0.088) or absolute change (- 2.0% vs. - 5.2%, p = 0.066) in Ki67 index pre- and post-drug treatment. Although adverse effects were minimal and all classified as grade 1, the effects were significant enough to cause nearly 15% of patients to discontinue therapy., Conclusions: Treatment with single-agent chloroquine 500 mg daily in the preoperative setting was not associated with any significant effects on breast cancer cellular proliferation. It was, however, associated with toxicity that may affect its broader use in oncology.

Purpose: Epidemiologic and preclinical data suggest a potential role for vitamin D in breast cancer treatment and prevention. However, results of prospective randomized trials are inconsistent. The objective of this study was to assess the effects of high-dose cholecalciferol (vitamin D3) on breast tumour proliferation and apoptosis., Methods: We conducted a prospective, randomized, phase 2, double-blinded pre-surgical window of opportunity trial. Newly diagnosed breast cancer patients were randomized to receive 40,000 IU of vitamin D3 per day or placebo for 2 to 6 weeks prior to breast surgery. The primary outcome was the relative change in proliferation (Ki67) and apoptosis (cleaved caspase 3 apoptotic assay [CC3]) in primary breast cancer cells pre and post treatment., Results: Of 83 patients randomized, 80 completed the study (43 (53.8%) vitamin D and 37 (46.3%) placebo). Mean duration of drug intake was 19 days (range 9-28 days). There were no significant differences between the control arm and the vitamin D arm in percent changes of either Ki67 index (1.6% vs. 16.7%, p = 0.25) or CC3 (- 55.9% vs. - 45.9%, p = 0.28). Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) levels were 3 times higher in the vitamin D arm (62 nmol/L vs. 246 nmol/L, p < 0.001). Adverse effects were minimal and all classified as grade 1., Conclusions: Despite significantly higher levels of serum 25-OHD in the vitamin D-treated group, this was not associated with any significant effects on tumour proliferation or apoptosis. These findings are consistent with the lack of benefit observed in prospective prevention trials., Trial Registry: Trial registration clinicaltrials.gov NCT01948128.

Introduction: Ki-67 labeling index assessed by immunohistochemical assays has been shown useful in assessing the risk of recurrence for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive HER2-negative breast cancers (BC) and distinguishing Luminal A-like from Luminal B-like tumors. We aimed to assess the performance of the Ventana CONFIRM anti-Ki-67 (30-9) Rabbit Monoclonal Primary Antibody., Methods: We constructed a case-cohort design based on a random sample (n = 679) of all patients operated on for a first primary, non-metastatic, ER-positive, HER2-negative BC at the European Institute of Oncology (IEO) Milan, Italy during 1998-2002 and all additional patients (n = 303) operated during the same period, who developed an event (metastasis in distant organs or death due to BC as primary event) and were not included in the previous subset. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with inverse subcohort sampling probability weighting was used to evaluate the risk of event according to Ki-67 (30-9) and derived intrinsic molecular subtype, using previously defined cutoff values, i.e., respectively 14% and 20%., Results: Ki-67 was < 14% in 318 patients (32.4%), comprised between 14 and 19% in 245 patients (24.9%) and ≥ 20 in 419 patients (42.7%). At multivariable analysis, the risk of developing distant disease was 1.88 (95% CI 1.20-2.93; P = 0.006) for those with Ki-67 comprised between 14 and 19%, and 3.06 (95% CI 1.93-4.84; P < 0.0001) for those with Ki-67 ≥ 20% compared to those with Ki-67 < 14%. Patients with Luminal B-like BC had an approximate twofold risk of developing distant disease (HR = 1.91; 95% CI 1.35-2.71; P = 0.0003) than patients with Luminal A-like BC defined using Ki-67 (30-9)., Conclusions: Ki-67 evaluation using the 30-9 rabbit monoclonal primary antibody was able to stratify patients with ER-positive HER2-negative BC into prognostically distinct groups. Ki-67 assessment, with strict adherence to the international recommendations, should be included among the clinically useful biological parameters for the best treatment of patients with BC.

Purpose: Ki-67 has been clinically validated for risk assessment in breast cancer, but the analytical validation and cutpoint-definition remain a challenge. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) are a statistical parameter for Ki-67 interobserver performance. However, the maximum degree of variance among pathologists allowed for meaningful biomarker results has not been defined., Methods: Different amounts of variance were added to central pathology Ki-67 data (n = 9069) from three cohorts (IBCSGVIII + IX, BIG1-98, GeparTrio) by simulation of 4500 evaluations for each cohort, which were grouped by ICCs, ranging from excellent (ICC = 0.9) to poor concordance (ICC = 0.1). Endpoints were disease-free survival (DFS) and pathological complete response (pCR, GeparTrio)., Results: Ki-67 was a significant continuous prognostic marker for DFS over a wide range of cutpoints between 8% and 30% in all three cohorts. In our modelling approach, Ki-67 was a stable prognostic marker despite increased interpathologist variance. Even for a poor ICC of 0.5, one or more significant Ki-67 cutoffs were detected in 86.8% (GeparTrio), 92.4% (IBCSGVIII + IX) and 100% of analyses (BIG1-98). Similarly, in GeparTrio, even with an extremely low ICC of 0.2, 99.6% of analyses were significant for pCR., Conclusions: Our study shows that Ki-67 is a continuous marker which is extremely robust to pathologist variation. Even if only 50% of variance is attributable to true Ki-67-based proliferation (ICC = 0.5), this information is sufficient to obtain statistically significant differences in clinical cohorts. This stable performance explains the observation that many Ki-67 studies achieve significant results despite relevant interobserver variance and points to a high clinical validity of this biomarker. For clinical decisions based on analysis of individual patient data, ongoing efforts to further reduce interobserver variability, including ring trials and standardized guidelines as well as image analysis approaches, should be continued.

Purpose: Several clinical trials have investigated the prognostic and predictive usefulness of molecular markers. With limited predictive value, molecular markers have mainly been used to identify prognostic subgroups in which the indication for chemotherapy is doubtful and the prognosis is favorable enough for chemotherapy to be avoided. However, limited information is available about which groups of patients may benefit from additional therapy. This study aimed to describe the prognostic effects of Ki-67 in several common subgroups of patients with early breast cancer., Methods: This retrospective study analyzed a single-center cohort of 3140 patients with HER2-, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. Five-year disease-free survival (DFS) rates were calculated for low (< 10%), intermediate (10-19%), and high (≥ 20%) Ki-67 expression levels, as assessed by immunohistochemistry, and for subgroups relative to age, body mass index, disease stage, tumor grade, and (neo-)adjuvant chemotherapy. It was also investigated whether Ki-67 had different effects on DFS in these subgroups., Results: The 5-year DFS rates for patients with low, intermediate, and high levels of Ki-67 expression were 0.90, 0.89, and 0.77, respectively. Ki-67 was able to further differentiate patients with an intermediate prognosis into different prognostic groups relative to common clinical parameters. Patients with stage II breast cancer had 5-year DFS rates of 0.84, 0.88, and 0.79 for low, intermediate, and high levels of Ki-67 expression. Ki-67 had different prognostic effects in subgroups defined by age and tumor grade., Conclusions: Ki-67 may help identify patients in intermediate prognostic groups with an unfavorable prognosis who may benefit from further therapy.

Purpose: The accuracy of predictive and prognostic biomarker assessment in breast cancer is paramount since these guide therapy decisions. The aim was to investigate the concordance of biomarkers and immunohistochemical (IHC)-based surrogate tumor subtypes between core needle biopsies (CNB) and consecutive paired breast cancer surgical resections., Methods: This retrospective study comprised two cohorts of patients with primary breast cancer diagnosed between 2016 and 2017: one treated with primary surgery (n = 526) and one with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) (n = 216). The agreement between preoperative CNB and paired tumor specimens regarding the assessment of biomarkers and surrogate tumor subtypes was evaluated in both cohorts., Results: In the primary surgery cohort, the concordance rates and kappa values for estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and Ki67 were 98.6% (κ = 0.917), 89.3% (κ = 0.725) and 78.8% (κ = 0.529), respectively. Importantly, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) IHC assessment showed only moderate agreement (κ = 0.462). HER2 status combining IHC and in situ hybridization was discordant in 3.6% of cases, potentially impacting on indications for HER2-targeted therapy. The concordance rate for IHC-based surrogate tumor subtypes was only 73.2-78.3%. Generally lower concordance rates for ER, PR and HER2 were observed in the NAC cohort. Here, HER2 status was discordant in 7.4%., Conclusions: The agreement of HER2 and Ki67 between CNB and paired surgical specimen in primary breast cancer is insufficient. Limited agreement of surrogate tumor subtypes indicates a significant clinical value of biomarker re-testing on surgical specimens.

Purpose: Ki67 is a proliferation marker commonly assessed by immunohistochemistry in breast cancer, and it has been proposed as a clinical marker for subtype classification, prognosis, and prediction of therapeutic response. However, the clinical utility of Ki67 is limited by the lack of consensus on the optimal cut point for each application., Methods: We assessed Ki67 by immunohistochemistry using Definiens digital image analysis (DIA) in 2653 cases of incident invasive breast cancer diagnosed in the Nurses' Health Study from 1976 to 2006. Ki67 was scored as continuous percentage of positive tumor cells, and dichotomized at various cut points. Multivariable hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Cox regression models for distant recurrence, breast cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality in relation to luminal subtypes defined with various Ki67 cut points, adjusting for breast cancer prognostic factors, clinico-pathologic features and treatment., Results: DIA was highly correlated with manual scoring of Ki67 (Spearman correlation ρ = 0.86). Mean Ki67 score was higher in grade-defined luminal B (12.6%), HER2-enriched (17.9%) and basal-like (20.6%) subtypes compared to luminal A (8.9%). In multivariable-adjusted models, luminal B tumors had higher breast cancer-specific mortality compared to luminal A cancer classified using various cut points for Ki67 positivity including the 14% cut point routinely reported in the literature (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72, p = 0.004). There was no significant difference in clinical outcomes for ER- tumors according to Ki67 positivity defined at various cut points., Conclusions: Assessment of Ki67 in breast tumors by DIA was a robust and quantitative method. Results from this large prospective cohort study provide support for the clinical relevance of using Ki67 at the 14% cut point for luminal subtype classification and breast cancer prognosis.

Purpose: The recent publication of the ACOSOG Z1031 trial results demonstrated that Ki-67 proliferation marker-based neoadjuvant endocrine therapy response monitoring could be used for tailoring the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in ER+HER2-negative breast cancer patients. In this paper, we describe the development of the Ki-67 clinical trial assay used for this study., Methods: Ki-67 assay assessment focused on reproducing a 2.7% Ki-67 cut-point (CP) required for calculating the Preoperative Endocrine Prognostic Index and a 10% CP for poor endocrine therapy response identification within the first month of neoadjuvant endocrine treatment. Image analysis was assessed to increase the efficiency of the scoring process. Clinical outcome concordance for two independent Ki-67 scores was the primary performance metric., Results: Discordant scores led to a triage approach where cases with complex histological features that software algorithms could not resolve were flagged for visual point counting (17%). The final Ki-67 scoring approach was run on T1/2 N0 cases from the P024 and POL trials (N = 58). The percent positive agreement for the 2.7% CP was 87.5% (95% CI 61.7-98.5%); percent negative agreement 88.9% (95% CI: 65.3-98.6%). Minor discordance did not affect the ability to predict similar relapse-free outcomes (Log-Rank P = 0.044 and P = 0.055). The data for the 10% early triage CP in the POL trial were similar (N = 66), the percentage positive agreement was 100%, and percent negative agreement 93.55% (95% CI: 78.58-99.21%). The independent survival predictions were concordant (Log-rank P = 0.0001 and P = 0.01)., Conclusions: We have developed an efficient and reproducible Ki-67 scoring system that was approved by the Clinical Trials Evaluation Program for NCI-supported neoadjuvant endocrine therapy trials. Using the methodology described here, investigators are able to identify a subgroup of patients with ER+HER2-negative breast cancer that can be safely managed without the need of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Aims: To determine whether IHC4 score assessed on pre-treatment core biopsies (i) predicts response to neo-adjuvant chemotherapy in ER-positive (ER+) breast cancer; (ii) provides more predictive information than Ki67 alone., Methods: 113 patients with ER+ primary breast cancer treated with neo-adjuvant chemotherapy at the Royal Marsden Hospital between 2002 and 2010 were included in the study. Pathologic assessment of the excision specimen was made for residual disease. IHC4 was determined on pre-treatment core biopsies, blinded to clinical outcome, by immunohistochemistry using quantitative scoring of ER (H-score), PgR (%) and Ki67 (%). Determination of HER2 status was made by immunohistochemistry and fluorescent in situ hybridization for 2+ cases. IHC4 and Ki67 scores were tested for their association with pathological complete response (pCR) rate and residual cancer burden (RCB) score., Results: 18 (16%) of the 113 patients and 8 (9%) of the 88 HER2-ve cases achieved pCR. Ki67 and IHC4 score were both positively associated with achievement of pCR (P < 10 -7 and P < 10 -9 , respectively) and RCB0+1 (P < 10 -5 and P < 10 -9 , respectively) following neo-adjuvant chemotherapy in all patients. Rates of pCR+RCB1 were 45 and 66% in the highest quartiles of Ki67 and IHC4 scores, respectively. In ER+HER2-ve cases, pCR+RCB1 rates were 35% and in the highest quartile of both Ki67 and IHC4. There were no pCRs in the lower half of IHC4 or Ki67 scores., Conclusions: IHC4 was strongly predictive of pCR or near pCR in ER+ breast cancers following neo-adjuvant chemotherapy. Ki67 was an important component of this predictive ability, but was not as predictive as IHC4.

Background: Although the prognostic value of Ki67 in breast cancer is well documented, using optimal cut-points for patient stratification, reproducibility of the scoring and interpretation of the results remains a matter of debate particularly when using tissue microarrays (TMAs). This study aims to assess Ki67 expression assessed on TMAs and their matched whole tissue sections (WTS). Moreover, whether the cut-off used for WTS is reproducible on TMA in BC molecular classes and the association between Ki67 expression cut-off, assessed on TMAs and WTS, and clinicopathological parameters and patient outcome were tested., Method: A large series (n = 707) of primary invasive breast tumours were immunostained for Ki67 using both TMA and WTS and assessed as percentage staining and correlated with each other, clinicopathological parameters and patient outcome. In addition, MKI67 mRNA expression was correlated with Ki67 protein levels on WTS and TMAs in a subset of cases included in the METABRIC study., Results: There was moderate concordance in Ki67 expression between WTS and TMA when analysed as a continuous variable (Intraclass correlation coefficient = 0.61) and low concordance when dichotomised (kappa value = 0.3). TMA showed low levels of Ki67 with mean percentage of expression of 35 and 22% on WTS and TMA, respectively. MKI67 mRNA expression was significantly correlated with protein expression determined on WTS (Spearman Correlation, r = 0.52) and to a lesser extent on TMA (r = 0.34) (p < 0.001). Regarding prediction of patient outcome, statistically significant differences were detected upon stratification of patients with tumours expressing Ki67 at 10, 15, 20, 25 or 30% in TMA. Using TMA, ≥20% Ki67 provided the best prognostic cut-off particularly in triple-negative and HER2-positive classes., Conclusion: Ki67 expression in breast cancer can be evaluated using TMA although different cut-points are required to emulate results from WTS. A cut-off of ≥20% for Ki67 expression in BC provides the best prognostic correlations when TMAs are used.

Ki67 has been proposed as prognostic proliferation marker in luminal breast cancer (BC), but little is known on the influence of Ki67 assessment methods on subtyping into luminal A- and B-like tumors. Our aim was to study the influence of different Ki67-labeling index (Ki67-LI) assessment methods on the proportion of BCs classified as luminal A-like. 280 early BCs were subtyped according to the St Gallen 2015 definitions into 71 % luminal (HER2 negative), 6 % luminal B-like (HER2 positive), 13 % triple negative, 1 % HER2 positive (nonluminal), and 9 % special type. Digitized whole slides were counted manually on the screen. We used nine defined counting methods to assess the Ki67-LI (including the International Ki67 in Breast Cancer Working Group recommendations), and compared the resulting medians and the proportions of cancers classified as luminal A-like according to the formerly used cut-off <20 %. Methods assessing hot spots and tumor periphery resulted in significantly higher Ki67-LI medians than those measuring an average proliferation (27.45 % vs 16.96 %, p < 0.0001). Substantially lower median Ki67-LI were found when assessing 1020 compared to counting 100, 200, 300 cells (17.65 vs 33 %, vs 28 %, vs 24.33 %, respectively; p < 0.0001), or 510 cells (20.59 %, p = 0.019). Applying a standard Ki67-LI cut-off <20 % to define low proliferation for all methods, the proportion of luminal A-like cancers varied between 13 and 44 %. The proportion of BCs classified as luminal A-like is highly influenced by the Ki67-LI assessment method. As a consequence, the selection of a specific Ki67-LI assessment method may have a direct effect on the proportion of patients considered having low-risk disease and thus influence therapeutic decision making. This calls for a standardized assessment method.

Manual estimation of Ki67 Proliferation Index (PI) in breast carcinoma classification is labor intensive and prone to intra- and interobserver variation. Standard Digital Image Analysis (DIA) has limitations due to issues with tumor cell identification. Recently, a computer algorithm, DIA based on Virtual Double Staining (VDS), segmenting Ki67-positive and -negative tumor cells using digitally fused parallel cytokeratin (CK) and Ki67-stained slides has been introduced. In this study, we compare VDS with manual stereological counting of Ki67-positive and -negative cells and examine the impact of the physical distance of the parallel slides on the alignment of slides. TMAs, containing 140 cores of consecutively obtained breast carcinomas, were stained for CK and Ki67 using optimized staining protocols. By means of stereological principles, Ki67-positive and -negative cell profiles were counted in sampled areas and used for the estimation of PIs of the whole tissue core. The VDS principle was applied to both the same sampled areas and the whole tissue core. Additionally, five neighboring slides were stained for CK in order to examine the alignment algorithm. Correlation between manual counting and VDS in both sampled areas and whole core was almost perfect (correlation coefficients above 0.97). Bland-Altman plots did not reveal any skewness in any data ranges. There was a good agreement in alignment (>85 %) in neighboring slides, whereas agreement decreased in non-neighboring slides. VDS gave similar results compared with manual counting using stereological principles. Introduction of this method in clinical and research practice may improve accuracy and reproducibility of Ki67 PI.

In breast cancer (BC), the prognostic value of Ki67 expression is well-documented. Intratumoural heterogeneity (ITH) of Ki67 expression is amongst the several technical issues behind the lag of its inclusion into BC prognostic work-up. The immunohistochemical (IHC) expression of anti-Ki67 antibody (MIB1 clone) was assessed in four full-face (FF) sections from different primary tumour blocks and their matched axillary nodal (LN) metastases in a series of 55 BC. Assessment was made using the highest expression hot spots (HS), lowest expression (LS), and overall/average expression scores (AS) in each section. Heterogeneity score (Hes), co-efficient of variation, and correlation co-efficient were used to assess the levels of Ki67 ITH. Ki67 HS, LS, and AS scores were highly variable within the same section and between different sections of the primary tumour, with maximal variation observed in the LS (P < 0.001). The least variability between the different slides was observed with HS scoring. Although the associations between Ki67 and clinicopathological and molecular variables were similar when using HS or AS, the best correlation between AS and HS was observed in tumours with high Ki67 expression only. Ki67 expression in LN deposits was less heterogeneous than in the primary tumours and was perfectly correlated with the HS Ki67 expression in the primary tumour sections (r = 0.98, P < 0.001). In conclusion, assessment of Ki67 expression using HS scoring method on a full-face BC tissue section can represent the primary tumour growth fraction that is likely to metastasise. The association between Ki67 expression pattern in the LN metastasis and the HS in the primary tumour may reflect the temporal heterogeneity through clonal expansion.

The biological subtype of breast cancer influences the selection of systemic therapy. Distinction between luminal A and B cancers depends on consistent assessment of Ki-67, but substantial intra-observer and inter-observer variability exists when immunohistochemistry (IHC) is used. We compared RT-qPCR with IHC in the assessment of Ki-67 and other standard factors used in breast cancer subtyping. RNA was extracted from archival breast tumour tissue of 769 women randomly assigned to the FinHer trial. Cancer ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and MKI67 mRNA content was quantitated with an RT-qPCR assay. Local pathologists assessed ER, PgR and Ki-67 expression using IHC. HER2 amplification was identified with chromogenic in situ hybridization (CISH) centrally. The results were correlated with distant disease-free survival (DDFS) and overall survival (OS). qPCR-based and IHC-based assessments of ER and PgR showed good concordance. Both low tumour MKI67 mRNA (RT-qPCR) and Ki-67 protein (IHC) levels were prognostic for favourable DDFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.42, 95 % CI 0.25-0.71, P = 0.001; and HR 0.56, 0.37-0.84, P = 0.005, respectively] and OS. In multivariable analyses, cancer MKI67 mRNA content had independent influence on DDFS (adjusted HR 0.51, 95 % CI 0.29-0.89, P = 0.019) while Ki-67 protein expression had not any influence (P = 0.266) whereas both assessments influenced independently OS. Luminal B patients treated with docetaxel-FEC had more favourable DDFS and OS than those treated with vinorelbine-FEC when the subtype was defined by RT-qPCR (for DDFS, HR 0.52, 95 % CI 0.29-0.94, P = 0.031), but not when defined using IHC. Breast cancer subtypes approximated with RT-qPCR and IHC show good concordance, but cancer MKI67 mRNA content correlated slightly better with DDFS than Ki-67 expression. The findings based on MKI67 mRNA content suggest that patients with luminal B cancer benefit more from docetaxel-FEC than from vinorelbine-FEC.

Although Ki67 index suffers from poor reproducibility, it is one of the most important prognostic markers used by oncologists to select the treatment of estrogen receptor (ER) positive breast cancer patients. In this study, we aim to establish the optimal Ki67 cut-offs for stratifying patient prognosis and to create a comprehensive prognostic index for clinical applications. A mono-institutional cohort of 1.577 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative/ER+ breast cancer patients having complete clinical, histological, and follow-up data was collected. The 14 and 20 % Ki67 cut-offs were correlated to disease-free interval (DFI) and disease-specific survival (DSS). To create a comprehensive prognostic index, we used independent variables selected by uni/multivariate analyses. In terms of DFI and DSS, patients bearing tumors with Ki67 < 14 % proliferation index did not differ from those with Ki67 values between 14 and 20 %. Patients with tumor with Ki67 > 20 % showed the poorest prognosis. Moreover, to tumor size, the number of metastatic lymph nodes and Ki67 > 20 % was given a score value, varying depending on definite cut-offs and used to create a prognostic index, which was applied to the population. Patients with a prognostic index ≥3 were characterized by significant risk of relapse [DFI: Hazard Ratio (HR) = 4.74, p < 0.001] and death (DSS: HR = 5.03, p < 0.001). We confirm that the 20 % Ki67 cut-off is the best to stratify high-risk patients in luminal breast cancers, and we suggest to integrate it with other prognostic factors, to better stratify patients at risk of adverse outcome.

The SOFT and TEXT randomized phase III trials investigated adjuvant endocrine therapies for premenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) early breast cancer. We investigated the prognostic and predictive value of centrally assessed levels of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), and Ki-67 expression in women with HER2-negative disease. Of 5707 women enrolled, 4115 with HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) disease had ER, PgR, and Ki-67 centrally assessed by immunohistochemistry. Breast cancer-free interval (BCFI) was defined from randomization to first invasive local, regional, or distant recurrence or contralateral breast cancer. The prognostic and predictive values of ER, PgR and Ki-67 expression levels were assessed using Cox modeling and STEPP methodology. In this HR+/HER2- population, the median ER, PgR, and Ki-67 expressions were 95, 90, and 18 % immunostained cells. As most patients had strongly ER-positive tumors, the predictive value of ER levels could not be investigated. Lower PgR and higher Ki-67 expression were associated with reduced BCFI. There was no consistent evidence of heterogeneity of the relative treatment effects according to PgR or Ki-67 expression levels, though there was a greater 5-year absolute benefit of exemestane + ovarian function suppression (OFS) versus tamoxifen with or without OFS at lower levels of PgR and higher levels of Ki-67. Women with poor prognostic features of low PgR and/or high Ki-67 have greater absolute benefit from exemestane + OFS versus tamoxifen + OFS or tamoxifen alone, but individually PgR and Ki-67 are of limited predictive value for selecting adjuvant endocrine therapy for premenopausal women with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer.

A proliferative marker, expressed as the percentage of cells in a cell cycle, has been developed and used as a discriminant of more aggressive malignant phenotypes in early breast cancer (BC). The marker is usually expressed by the immunohistochemical staining of the cell cycle antigen Ki-67. It has not, however, yet been definitely evaluated, due to methodological concerns, which specific Ki-67 cut-off provide the strongest prognostic information in resected BC. We conducted a meta-analysis to explore the prognostic value of different cut-off levels of Ki-67 in terms of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in early BC. The databases of PubMed, the ISI Web of Science, EMBASE, SCOPUS, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and CINHAL were used to identify the relevant literature. Data from studies reporting a hazard ratio (HR) and a 95 % confidence interval (CI) calculated as a multivariate analysis were pooled in a meta-analysis, with metaregression used to test for trends in predefined subgroups. All the statistical tests were 2-sided. Forty-one studies encompassing 64,196 BC patients were included in the analysis. Overall, n = 25 studies were available for the OS analysis. The pooled HR for high versus low Ki-67 was 1.57 (95 % CI 1.33-1.87, P < 0.00001). Twenty-nine studies were available for the DFS analysis. The pooled HR for high versus low Ki-67 was 1.50 (95 % CI 1.34-1.69, P < 0.00001). When a cut-off of Ki-67 staining ≥ 25 % was used, the pooled HR for OS was 2.05 (95 % CI 1.66-2.53, P < 0.00001), which was significantly different to studies where the cut-offs chosen were <25 %. In ER+ tumors, the HR for high versus low Ki-67 was similar and significant (HR = 1.51, 95 % CI 1.25-1.81, P < 0.0001). We conclude that Ki-67 has an independent prognostic value in terms of OS in BC patients. The Ki-67 threshold with the greatest prognostic significance is as yet unknown, but a cut-off >25 % is associated with a greater risk of death compared with lower expression rates.

Breast cancer is a heterogeneous entity composed of distinct molecular subgroups with different molecular and clinical features. We analyzed the association between molecular breast cancer subgroups, age at diagnosis, and prognosis in a compilation of publicly available gene expression datasets. Affymetrix gene expression data (U133A or U133Plus2.0 arrays) of 4467 breast cancers from 40 datasets were compiled and homogenized. Breast cancer subgroups were defined based on expression of ESR1, PR, HER2, and Ki67. Event-free survival was calculated as recurrence-free survival or distant metastasis-free survival if recurrence-free survival was not available. Young age at diagnosis is associated with higher frequency of triple negative and HER2 subtypes and lower frequency of luminal A breast cancers. The 5-year event-free survival rates of patients aged less than 40, between 40 and 50, and >50 years were 54.3 ± 3.5, 68.5 ± 1.9, and 70.4 ± 1.3 %, respectively. When controlling for breast cancer subtype, we found that age <40 years remained significantly associated with poor prognosis in triple negative breast cancer. The effect was modest in luminal tumors and not found in HER2 subtype. Both subtypes and age retained their significances in multivariate analysis. Association of age at diagnosis with molecular breast cancer subtype contributes to its important role as prognostic factor among patients with breast cancer. Still, within the group of triple negative breast cancer, young age <40 years has a significant prognostic value which was retained in multivariate analysis.

We assessed whether progesterone receptor (PgR) and Ki67 in primary tumors and/or matched metastases are predictors of clinical benefit from first-line endocrine therapy (ET) in advanced breast cancer. We evaluated patients treated at our institute with first-line ET (2002-2011), excluding those receiving concomitant chemotherapy or trastuzumab or pretreated with >2 lines of chemotherapy. A cut-off of 20 % immunostained cells was used for PgR and Ki67. The main endpoint was time-to-progression (TTP). Groups were compared by the log-rank test and Cox multivariate analysis. In the 135 assessable patients (93 % were receiving an aromatase inhibitor; biomarker assessment had been performed on primary tumors in 77 cases, on metastases in 23 and on both in 35), median TTP was 16 months (median follow-up 43 months). The overall discordance rate between primary tumors and metastases was 23 % for Ki67 and 31 % for PgR. A longer median TTP (24 vs. 12 months, P = 0.012) was seen for PgR >20 % in metastases. Ki67 showed a trend for TTP prediction in the entire case series (P = 0.062). Patients with high Ki67 and low PgR in metastases had a median TTP of only 5 months. High Ki67 in primary tumors (P = 0.026) or metastases (P = 0.01) predicted disease progression at the first evaluation. PgR in metastases remained a significant independent predictor of TTP at multivariate analysis (HR 2.45). In an ER-high population, PgR >20 % in metastases identified patients with a long TTP on endocrine treatment, while Ki67 >20 % was associated with an increased risk of non-response.

Metformin has therapeutic potential against breast cancer, but the mechanisms of action in vivo remain uncertain. This study examined biomarker effects of metformin in primary breast cancer in a preoperative window of opportunity trial. Non-diabetic women with operable invasive breast cancer were randomized to receive open label pre-operative metformin (500 mg daily for 1 week then 1 g twice daily for a further week) or as controls, not receiving metformin. Patients in both arms had a core biopsy pre-randomisation and again at the time of surgery. Immunohistochemistry for phospho-AMPK (pAMPK), phospho-Akt (pAkt), insulin receptor, cleaved caspase-3, and Ki67 was performed on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded cores, scored blinded to treatment and analysed by paired t test. In metformin-treated patients, significant up-regulation of pAMPK (paired t test, p = 0.04) and down-regulation of pAkt (paired t test, p = 0.043) were demonstrated compared to the control group. Insulin receptor and serum insulin remained similar following metformin treatment compared with a rise in insulin receptor and insulin in controls. Significant falls in Ki67 and cleaved caspase-3 (paired t test, p = 0.044) were seen in the metformin-treated patients but not in the control group. Changes were independent of body mass index. These biomarker data suggest mechanisms for metformin action in vivo in breast cancer patients via up-regulation of tumor pAMPK, down-regulation of pAkt, and suppression of insulin responses reflecting cytostatic rather than cytotoxic mechanisms.

The anti-tumor immune response was recently reported to play a critical role in the chemotherapeutic sensitivity of breast cancer. Therefore, we investigated the correlation between CD8+ and FOXP3+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and the pathological complete response (pCR) following neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), in conjunction with neoangiogenesis, basal and proliferation markers. CD8+ and FOXP3+ lymphocytes were assessed in biopsy specimens by double-staining immunohistochemistry, in combination with immunostaining of vasohibin-1, CD31, EGFR, CK5/6, and Ki-67. Earlier age, pre-menopausal status, smaller tumor size, and high Ki-67 were significantly associated with pCR, as in high CD8+, high CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio, and low vasohibin-1 positive ratio. Multivariate analysis did reveal that a high CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio was a strong predictor of pCR with an odds ratio of 5.32 (P = 0.005). High Ki-67 was also significantly associated with pCR (P = 0.002). TNBCs with a high CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio and high Ki-67 had the highest pCR rate (70%) following NAC. However, the pCR rate of the patients with low CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio and low Ki-67 was only 5%. The pCR rates of a high CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio and low Ki-67 patients and those with a low CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio and high Ki-67 were 24 and 21%, respectively. TNBCs with a high CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio were more sensitive to anthracycline and taxane-based chemotherapeutic regimens, and the CD8+/FOXP3+ ratio in conjunction with Ki-67 could predict pCR following NAC in TNBC. This predictor may represent a new surrogate for testing the efficacy of investigational agents in the neoadjuvant setting.

The purpose of this study is to determine the prognostic role of Ki67 evaluated in relapse biopsies from patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Two hundred and ten patients diagnosed with MBC in Stockholm, Sweden between 1998 and 2009 and with Ki67 assessed at time of first systemic relapse (mKi67) were retrospectively identified and divided into two groups according to mKi67 fraction (low ≤20 %, high >20 %). Post-relapse survival was compared between the groups using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods. Death rate as function of continuous mKi67 was also evaluated. Furthermore, the prognostic role of intra-individual change in Ki67 between primary tumor and matched metastasis was explored by Kaplan-Meier plots. One hundred and twenty-five patients had low and 85 had high mKi67. Median survival was 25 and 17 months in low- and high-mKi67 group, respectively [hazard ratio (HR) 0.69, 95 % confidence intervals (CI) 0.51-0.92, P = 0.01]. In a multivariate model adjusted for prognostic confounders, low-mKi67 showed a non-significant trend toward better survival (HR 0.85, 95 %CI 0.62-1.16, P = 0.30). Nevertheless, mKi67 independently correlated with survival when compared with primary tumor proliferation (HR 0.56, 95 %CI 0.38-0.81, P = 0.002). The 2-year death rate steeply increased as mKi67 increased. Moreover, the change from high in primary tumor to low in metastasis significantly correlated with longer survival when compared with stable Ki67 levels (HR 0.48, 95 %CI 0.31-0.76, P = 0.002). In this cohort of MBC patients, mKi67 inversely but not independently correlated with survival. However, a significant association between mKi67 and survival was shown regardless of primary tumor proliferation.

The research question of this investigation is whether the reduction rate of Ki-67 after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) could indicate a survival in patients with non-pCR. A total of 455 patients had received NAC, and subsequent surgery was analyzed retrospectively. Patients with non-pCR were divided into three subgroups according to Ki-67 change: High-reduction (the absolute value of Ki-67 was reduced by >80 % compared with that prior to NAC), Low-reduction (the absolute value of Ki-67 was reduced by 0-80 % compared with that prior to NAC), and Increase group (the absolute value of Ki-67 was increased compared with that prior to NAC). The relapse-free survival (RFS) rates were compared among subgroups. pCR was achieved in 93 patients (20.4 %). In patients with non-pCR, the median reduction rate of Ki-67 was 60 %. A total of 15 % of patients were in the High-reduction, 63 % in the Low-reduction, and 22 % in the Increase group. The median follow-up period was 64.5 months. The 5-year RFS rates among the three groups were significantly different (p < 0.0001), and the differences were also observed in the HER2 (p = 0.033), triple-negative (p = 0.034), and luminal-like subtypes (p = 0.001). Patients in the High-reduction group showed comparable RFS to that of patients with pCR (p = 0.363). In patients with non-pCR, the reduction rate of Ki-67 after NAC significantly predicted RFS regardless of cancer subtypes. Therefore, patients who are non-pCR but who achieve a high reduction of Ki-67 can be expected to have a favorable prognosis similar to that of patients with pCR.

Histone deacetylases (HDACs) are a family of enzymes that regulate chromatin remodeling and gene transcription. Vorinostat is a panHDAC inhibitor that sensitizes breast cancer cells to taxanes and trastuzumab by suppressing HDAC6 and Hsp90 client proteins. Fifty-five patients with clinical stage IIA-IIIC breast cancer received 12 weekly doses of paclitaxel (80 mg/m(2)) plus vorinostat (200-300 mg PO BID) on days 1-3 of each paclitaxel dose plus trastuzumab (for Her2/neu positive disease only), followed by doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide (60/600 mg/m(2) every 2 weeks plus pegfilgrastim). The primary study endpoint was pathologic complete response (pCR). pCR occurred in 13 of 24 evaluable patients with Her2-positive disease (54, 95 % confidence intervals [CI] 35-72 %), which met the prespecified study endpoint. pCR occurred in 4 of 15 patients with triple negative disease (27, 95 % CI 11-52 %) and none of 12 patients with ER-positive, Her2/neu negative disease (0, 95 % CI 0-24 %), which did not meet the prespecified endpoint. ER-positive tumors exhibited lower Ki67 and higher Hsp70 expression, and HDAC6, Hsp70, p21, and p27 expression were not predictive of response. Vorinostat increased acetylation of Hsp90 and alpha tubulin, and reduced expression of Hsp90 client proteins and HDAC6 in the primary tumor. Combination of vorinostat with weekly paclitaxel plus trastuzumab followed by doxorubicin-cyclophosphamide is associated with a high pCR rate in locally advanced Her2/neu positive breast cancer. Consistent with cell line and xenograft data, vorinostat increased acetylation of Hsp90 and alpha tubulin, and decreased Hsp90 client protein and HDAC6 expression in human breast cancers in vivo.

The definition of Luminal-B subclass of breast cancer (BC) varies in literature. In this study, we have compared the proliferation status; assessed using KI67 labeling index (KI67-LI), and HER2-expression in estrogen receptor positive (ER+) BC to assess their impact on the biological and clinical characteristics of luminal-BC. 1547 (73.8 %) well-characterized clinically annotated stage I-III ER + BC were assessed for expression of KI67, HER2 (ASCO guidelines), and a large panel of relevant biomarkers (no = 37). 46.3 % of the cases show high KI67-LI (>13 %) and 8.4 % show HER2+ and both markers are positively associated with younger age, higher tumor grade and poorer outcome. High KI67-LI and HER2+ are associated with upregulation of ER-coactivators and proliferation-related markers and with downregulation of good prognostic markers. High KI67-LI is associated with larger size, advanced stage, and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) and with downregulation of luminal-enriched and DNA-damage repair markers. In contrast, HER2+ is associated with upregulation of ER-regulated proteins and E-cadherin. When analysis is restricted to high KI67-LI subgroup, HER2+ shows an association with upregulation of differentiation-associated proteins and E-cadherin. Conversely, within HER2+ class, high KI67-LI maintains its association with downregulation of differentiation-associated/luminal-enriched proteins. Outcome analyses indicate that both markers are independently associated with shorter survival but HER2+ is associated with a worse outcome. Although both are associated with high proliferation and poor prognosis within ER + BC, HER2+ is less frequent than high KI67-LI. Unlike KI67, HER2 seems to independently drive the aggressive behavior of ER+ tumors without downregulation of luminal proteins.

Compared with other markers of cell proliferation, geminin is unique being expressed selectively during the proliferative phase of the cell cycle, specifically S, G2 and early mitosis, disappearing completely at the metaphase-anaphase transition. We aimed to compare the prognostic significance of geminin to that of Ki67, a proliferation marker which has been investigated in many breast cancer studies. Breast cancer tissue microarrays containing 368 tumours were stained using anti-geminin and Ki67 antibodies. Labelling index (LI) was calculated for geminin, and the percentage of positive cancer nuclei was determined for Ki67. A receiver operation characteristics analysis was used to determine the optimum cut-off value for geminin (LI ≥ 2), and for Ki67, a score of ≥14 % was considered as positive for survival analysis. Geminin expression correlated positively with Ki67 expression (r = 0.686, p = 0.001). Survival analysis showed only geminin, and not Ki67-positive patients to have poor (breast cancer-specific survival) BCSS [HR 2.85 (1.53-5.32)] and (disease-free survival) DFS [HR 2.63 (1.47-4.71)]. On univariate analysis, along with known clinicopathological variables, both Ki67 and geminin LI were found to be significant predictors of BCSS and DFS. On multivariate analysis, only tumour size, nodal status and adjuvant hormonal therapy were found to be independent predictors for both BCSS and DFS, while geminin positivity (LI ≥ 2 %) was found to be an independent predictor for BCSS [HR 2.27 (1.01-5.06); p = 0.04]. In comparison with Ki67, a more established proliferation marker, geminin expression was a better predictor of adverse outcome in this cohort of breast cancers. Selective expression of geminin during the proliferative phase of the cell cycle and its nuclear specificity increase its potential to be used as an alternative marker of proliferation in breast cancer patients.

This randomized, multicenter study compared the efficacy of docetaxel with or without capecitabine following fluorouracil/epirubicin/cyclophosphamide (FEC) therapy in operable breast cancer and investigated the role of Ki67 as a predictive biomarker. Patients were randomized to 4 cycles of docetaxel/capecitabine (docetaxel: 75 mg/m2 on day 1; capecitabine: 1,650 mg/m2 on days 1–14 every 3 weeks) or docetaxel alone (75 mg/m2 on day 1 every 3 weeks) after completion of 4 cycles of FEC (5-fluorouracil 500 mg/m2, epirubicin 100 mg/m2 and cyclophosphamide 500 mg/m2 on day 1 every 3 weeks). The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response (pCR) rate. Predictive factor analysis was conducted using clinicopathological markers, including hormone receptors and Ki67 labeling index (Ki67LI). A total of 477 patients were randomized; the overall response in the docetaxel/capecitabine and docetaxel groups was 88.3 and 87.4 %, respectively. There were no significant differences in the pCR rate (docetaxel/capecitabine: 23 %; docetaxel: 24 %; p = 0.748), disease-free survival, or overall survival. However, patients with mid-range Ki67LI (10–20 %) showed a trend towards improved pCR rate with docetaxel/capecitabine compared to docetaxel alone. Furthermore, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed pre-treatment Ki67LI (odds ratio 1.031; 95 % CI 1.014–1.048; p = 0.0004) to be a significant predictor of pCR in this neoadjuvant treatment setting. Docetaxel/capecitabine (after 4 cycles of FEC) did not generate significant improvement in pCR compared to docetaxel alone. However, exploratory analyses suggested that assessment of pre-treatment Ki67LI may be a useful tool in the identification of responders to preoperative docetaxel/capecitabine in early-stage breast cancer.

We conducted a phase II feasibility study of a 6-month behavioral weight loss intervention in postmenopausal overweight and obese women at increased risk for breast cancer and the effects of weight loss on anthropomorphic, blood, and benign breast tissue biomarkers. 67 women were screened by random peri-areolar fine-needle aspiration, 27 were registered and 24 participated in the interventional phase. The 24 biomarker evaluable women had a median baseline BMI of 34.2 kg/m(2) and lost a median of 11 % of their initial weight. Significant tissue biomarker modulation after the 6-month intervention was noted for Ki-67 (if restricted to the 15 women with any Ki-67 at baseline, p = 0.041), adiponectin to leptin ratio (p = 0.003); and cyclin B1 (p = 0.001), phosphorylated retinoblastoma (p = 0.005), and ribosomal S6 (p = 0.004) proteins. Favorable modulation for serum markers was observed for sex hormone-binding globulin (p < 0.001), bioavailable estradiol (p < 0.001), bioavailable testosterone (p = 0.033), insulin (p = 0.018), adiponectin (p = 0.001), leptin (p < 0.001), the adiponectin to leptin ratio (p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (p = 0.002), and hepatocyte growth factor (p = 0.011). When subdivided by <10 or >10 % weight loss, change in percent total body and android (visceral) fat, physical activity, and the majority of the serum and tissue biomarkers were significantly modulated only for women with >10 % weight loss from baseline. Some factors such as serum PAI-1 and breast tissue pS2 (estrogen-inducible gene) mRNA were not significantly modulated overall but were when considering only those with >10 % weight loss. In conclusion, a median weight loss of 11 % over 6 months resulted in favorable modulation of a number of anthropomorphic, breast tissue and serum risk and mechanistic markers. Weight loss of 10 % or more should likely be the goal for breast cancer risk reduction studies in obese women.

Increasing ability of early breast cancer (BC) diagnosis leading to more early stage detection, better survival, and low relapse marks one of the milestones achieved over the decades. Foregoing poses a challenge for clinicians regarding optimal treatment, in which over- and under-treatment should be avoided. Classical prognostic and predictive factors fall short for individualized adjuvant therapy selection in this patient group. The key to better characterization may be found in the biology underlying individual tumors. We hypothesized that markers related to cellular proliferation and apoptosis and the balance between these two processes in tumor development will be predictive for clinical outcome. Our study population (N = 822) consisted of all early stage BC patients primarily treated with surgery in our center between 1985 and 1996. Sections of available tumor tissue (87 %, 714/822) were immunohistochemically stained for expression of p53, active-caspase-3, and Ki67. In 43 % (304/714) and 18 % (126/714) of this cohort, respectively, a biochemical C2P(®) risk prediction and caspase-3 assay were performed. Expression data of the mentioned markers, single, or combined, were analyzed. Results showed that both the single and combined markers, whether of apoptotic or proliferative origin had associations with clinical outcome. An additive effect was seen for the hazard ratios when data on p53, active caspase-3, and Ki67 status were combined. The assembled prognostic apoptotic-proliferative subtype showed significant association for both the overall survival (p = 0.024) and relapse-free period (p = 0.001) in the multivariate analyses of grade I breast tumors. Combined markers of tumor cell apoptosis and proliferation represent tumor aggressiveness. The apoptotic-proliferative subtypes that we present in this study represent a clinical prognostic profile with solid underlying biological rationale and pose a promising method for accurate identification of grade I BC patients in need of an aggressive therapeutic approach, thus contributing to precision medicine in BC disease.

Molecular subtyping of breast cancer may provide additional prognostic information regarding patient outcome. However, its clinical significance remains to be established. In this study, the main aims were to discover whether reclassification of breast cancer into molecular subtypes provides more precise information regarding outcome compared to conventional histopathological grading and to study breast cancer-specific survival in the different molecular subtypes. Cases of breast cancer occurring in a cohort of women born between 1886 and 1928 with long-term follow-up were included in the study. Tissue microarrays were constructed from archival formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue from 909 cases. Using immunohistochemistry and in situ hybridisation as surrogates for gene expression analyses, all cases were reclassified into the following molecular subtypes: Luminal A; Luminal B (HER2-); Luminal B (HER2+); HER2 subtype; Basal phenotype; and five negative phenotype. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used in the analyses. During the first 5 years after diagnosis, there were significant differences in prognosis according to molecular subtypes with the best survival for the Luminal A subtype and the worst for HER2 and five negative phenotype. In this historic cohort of women with breast cancer, differences in breast cancer-specific survival according to subtype occur almost exclusively amongst the histopathological grade 2 tumours. From 5 years after time of diagnosis until the end of follow-up, there appears to be no difference in survival according to molecular subtype or histopathological grade.

The proliferation marker Ki-67 is one of the most controversially discussed parameters for treatment decisions in breast cancer patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the routine use and value of Ki-67 as a prognostic marker, and to analyze the associations between Ki-67 and common histopathological parameters in the routine clinical setting. Data from the clinical cancer registry Regensburg (Bavaria, Germany) were analyzed. Within the total data pool of 4,692 female patients, who had been diagnosed between 2005 and 2011, in 3,658 cases Ki-67 was routinely determined. Thus, a total of 3,658 patients with invasive breast cancer were included in the present study and used for statistical analysis. Ki-67 expression was associated with the common histopathological parameters. The strongest correlation was found between grading and Ki-67 (P < 0.001). In terms of survival analyses, Ki-67 was categorized into five categories (reference category Ki-67 ≤15 %) due to a nonlinear relationship to overall survival (OS). In multivariable analysis, Ki-67 was an independent prognostic parameter both for disease-free survival (DFS) (Ki-67 > 45 %, HR = 1.96, P = 0.001) as well as for OS (Ki-67: 26-35 %, HR = 1.71, P = 0.017; Ki-67: 36-45 %, HR = 2.05, P = 0.011; Ki-67 > 45 %, HR = 2.06, P = 0.002) independent of common clinical and histopathological factors. The 5-year DFS (OS) rate was 86.7 % (89.3 %) in patients with a Ki-67 value ≤15 % compared to 75.8 % (82.8 %) in patients with a Ki-67 value >45 %. Based on the data from a large cohort of a clinical cancer registry, it was demonstrated that Ki-67 is frequently determined in routine clinical work. Ki-67 expression is associated with common histopathological parameters, but is an additional independent prognostic parameter for DFS and OS in breast cancer patients. Future work should focus on standardization of Ki-67 assessment and specification of its role in treatment decisions.

Development of metastasis in peripheral tissues is a major problem in the fight to cure breast cancer. Although it is becoming evident that chronic inflammation can contribute to tumor progression and metastasis, the effect of acute inflammation in primary tumor is less known. Using mouse models for breast cancer here we show that biopsy of mammary tumors increases the frequency of lung metastases. This effect is associated with the recruitment of inflammatory cells to the lung and elevated levels of certain cytokines such as IL-6 in the lung airways. Antiinflammatory treatment prior to and after the biopsy reduces the development of metastases triggered by the biopsy. In addition, while lack of IL-6 does not affect primary tumor development, it protects from increasing number of metastases upon biopsy. Thus, our studies show that in addition to chronic inflammation, acute immune response caused by invasive procedures in the primary tumor may cause an increased risk on peripheral metastases, but the risk could be decreased by anti-inflammatory treatments.

To identify a group of patients who might benefit from the addition of weekly paclitaxel to conventional anthracycline-containing chemotherapy as adjuvant therapy of node-positive operable breast cancer. The predictive value of PAM50 subtypes and the 11-gene proliferation score contained within the PAM50 assay were evaluated in 820 patients from the GEICAM/9906 randomized phase III trial comparing adjuvant FEC to FEC followed by weekly paclitaxel (FEC-P). Multivariable Cox regression analyses of the secondary endpoint of overall survival (OS) were performed to determine the significance of the interaction between treatment and the (1) PAM50 subtypes, (2) PAM50 proliferation score, and (3) clinical and pathological variables. Similar OS analyses were performed in 222 patients treated with weekly paclitaxel versus paclitaxel every 3 weeks in the CALGB/9342 and 9840 metastatic clinical trials. In GEICAM/9906, with a median follow up of 8.7 years, OS of the FEC-P arm was significantly superior compared to the FEC arm (unadjusted HR = 0.693, p = 0.013). A benefit from paclitaxel was only observed in the group of patients with a low PAM50 proliferation score (unadjusted HR = 0.23, p < 0.001; and interaction test, p = 0.006). No significant interactions between treatment and the PAM50 subtypes or the various clinical-pathological variables, including Ki-67 and histologic grade, were identified. Finally, similar OS results were obtained in the CALGB data set, although the interaction test did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.109). The PAM50 proliferation score identifies a subset of patients with a low proliferation status that may derive a larger benefit from weekly paclitaxel.

Lipophilic statins purportedly exert anti-tumoral effects on breast cancer by decreasing proliferation and increasing apoptosis. HMG-CoA reductase (HMGCR), the rate-limiting enzyme of the mevalonate pathway, is the target of statins. However, data on statin-induced effects on HMGCR activity in cancer are limited. Thus, this pre-operative study investigated statin-induced effects on tumor proliferation and HMGCR expression while analyzing HMGCR as a predictive marker for statin response in breast cancer treatment. The study was designed as a window-of-opportunity trial and included 50 patients with primary invasive breast cancer. High-dose atorvastatin (i.e., 80 mg/day) was prescribed to patients for 2 weeks before surgery. Pre- and post-statin paired tumor samples were analyzed for Ki67 and HMGCR immunohistochemical expression. Changes in the Ki67 expression and HMGCR activity following statin treatment were the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. Up-regulation of HMGCR following atorvastatin treatment was observed in 68 % of the paired samples with evaluable HMGCR expression (P = 0.0005). The average relative decrease in Ki67 expression following atorvastatin treatment was 7.6 % (P = 0.39) in all paired samples, whereas the corresponding decrease in Ki67 expression in tumors expressing HMGCR in the pre-treatment sample was 24 % (P = 0.02). Furthermore, post-treatment Ki67 expression was inversely correlated to post-treatment HMGCR expression (rs = -0.42; P = 0.03). Findings from this study suggest that HMGCR is targeted by statins in breast cancer cells in vivo, and that statins may have an anti-proliferative effect in HMGCR-positive tumors. Future studies are needed to evaluate HMGCR as a predictive marker for the selection of breast cancer patients who may benefit from statin treatment.

Unlabelled: AIB1 (amplified in breast cancer 1) is an estrogen receptorα (ERα) co-activator, known to be amplified and overexpressed in a fraction of breast cancers. It has been linked to prognosis and tamoxifen resistance. However, results have been ambiguous. The different functions of AIB1 in ERα-positive and -negative disease are poorly understood. Therefore, we analyzed the clinical significance of AIB1 in breast cancer with respect to ERα-status and characterized the subgroups. 2,197 breast carcinomas sampled on a pre-existing tissue microarray (TMA) were analyzed for AIB1 expression and amplification by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH)., Results: AIB1 expression was detected in 60 % of the tumors. It was associated with tumor size (p = 0.003), high histological grade (p < 0.0001), poor disease-specific, and overall survival (p = 0.0018 and p = 0.003). There was a strong inverse relationship between AIB1 and ERα expression (p < 0.0001). AIB1 overexpression was associated with increased Ki67 labeling index (p < 0.0001), even if analyzed for different ER expression levels. AIB1 amplification was found in 11 % of the carcinomas. It was associated with high histological grade (p = 0.0012), lymph node involvement (p = 0.0163), and poor disease-specific survival (p = 0.0032) but not with overall survival (p = 0.1672) or ER status (p = 0.4456). If ER-positive tumors were stratified according to their AIB1 amplification status, there was a significant worse disease-specific survival in cases showing AIB1 amplification (p = 0.0017). AIB1 expression is associated with unfavorable prognosis and tumor phenotype. It seems to unfold its oncogenic potential at least in part independent from its role as an ERα co-activator. AIB1 has an impact on cell cycle regulation in ERα-positive as well as ERα-negative tumors. Furthermore, AIB1 amplification characterizes a subgroup of ERα-positive breast cancer with worse outcome. Therefore, AIB1 might be helpful to identify those ERα-positive breast cancers patients who are candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy.

High proliferation rates are characteristic of cancer, and proliferation markers make up the majority of genes included in RNA-based prognostic gene signatures applied for breast cancer patients. Based on prior data on differences in molecular subgroups of breast cancer, we hypothesized that the significance of single proliferation markers might differ in luminal, Her2-positive and triple-negative subtypes. Therefore, we compared mRNA expression data of Ki67, TOP2A, and RacGAP1 using a pool of 562 Affymetrix U133A microarrays from breast cancer samples. "Luminal," "triple-negative," and "Her2-positive" subcohorts were defined by ESR1 and ERBB2 mRNA expression using pre-defined cut-offs. The analysis of the three potential proliferation markers revealed subtype-specific differences: in luminal carcinomas, expression of all three markers was a significant indictor of early recurrence in univariate and multivariate analysis, but RacGAP1 was superior to Ki67 and TOP2A in significance. In triple-negative tumors, only Ki67 was a significant and independent marker, whereas none of the markers showed a significant prognostic impact in Her2-positive cases. Within the group of luminal carcinomas, the proliferation markers had different impact depending on the treatment of patients: in untreated patients, Ki67, TOP2A, and RacGAP1 were significant and independent prognostic markers. In chemotherapy-treated patients, overexpression of all three markers was predictive for early recurrence, but only RacGAP1 retained significance in multivariate analysis. In contrast, RacGAP1 was the only predictive proliferation marker in the endocrine treatment group. These data point to subtype-specific differences in the relevance of proliferation-associated genes, and RacGAP1 might be a strong prognostic and predictive marker in the luminal subgroup.