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Serial longitudinal enumeration of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) has shown its prognostic value on progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IV breast cancer. This study prospectively evaluated the role of CTCs as a prognostic marker during further progression of metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Among 476 MBC patients recruited between 2010 and 2015, the 103 patients with a known CTC status at baseline (CTCBL) and within 4 weeks of tumor progression (CTCPD) were included. Progressive disease (PD) was defined according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST, version 1.1). Using the CellSearch method

While intact circulating tumor cells (iCTC) have independent negative prognostic impact on patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC), the prognostic relevance of apoptotic CTC (aCTC) has not been validated in larger patient cohorts. This study assessed aCTC and iCTC statuses at baseline (CTCBL) and CTC kinetics (CTCKIN) as changes from CTCBL to one completed treatment cycle for their utility in predicting response, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in MBC. Status of iCTC and aCTC was prospectively assessed in 442 patients using the CellSearch™ system. Different cutoffs were analyzed both for iCTC and aCTC (≥5, ≥10, ≥25 and ≥50 CTC/7.5 ml). CTCKIN were characterized by ≥25 % changes in CTC counts. Numbers of iCTC and aCTC at baseline correlated strongly (r = 0.7). For iCTCBL positive patients, additional detection of aCTCBL had a significant prognostic impact on OS (aCTCBL positive 10.3 vs. aCTCBL negative 16.4 months, p = 0.012). Worst prognosis for OS was observed in patients with ≥50 iCTC/7.5 ml and simultaneously detected aCTC. Determination of aCTCKIN showed stronger discriminating power than iCTCKIN, with higher PFS and OS for the group with decreasing CTCs (PFS 7.7 vs. 6.1; OS 22.2 vs. 16.4). Intact and aCTC are predictive of outcome in MBC. Apoptotic CTC counts ≥ 5/7.5 ml in conjunction with iCTC at baseline have an independent unfavorable prognostic impact on OS. Decreasing aCTCKIN at ≥ 5/7.5 ml in serial enumeration is associated with favorable outcome. Therefore, separate enumeration of iCTC and aCTC is useful in tailoring systemic treatment.

The potential advantage of using quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) methodology to detect metastasis in sentinel lymph nodes (SLNs) of breast cancer (BC) patients was evaluated in this prospective study. We measured the expression of relevant gene transcripts in SLNs using an innovative algorithm and compared the results of single-marker assays versus multi-marker assays with conventional histological detection methods. SLNs from women aged ≥ 18 years diagnosed with unilateral BC were examined by haematoxylin-eosin staining and immunohistochemistry and analysed for transcripts of several relevant genes using qRT-PCR (learning group). Four candidate panels of expressed transcript combinations with high sensitivity and specificity were selected for further investigation. The candidate panels were then validated using SLNs from a second group of BC patients (validation group). In the learning group, 74/314 SLN sections from 150 patients were positive for metastasis by histology. The transcripts analysed showed the following individual sensitivities/specificities: cytokeratin 19 (CK19) 94.6%/97.9%; mammaglobin 1 (MGB1) 82.4%/91.7%; mammaglobin 2 (MGB2) 82.4%/96.7%; carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) 71.6%/97.5%; EPCAM (epithelial cell adhesion molecule) 91.9%/97.1%; and NY-BR-1 82.4%/93.8%. The optimal panel based on the predefined criteria comprised four markers: CK19, MGB1, EPCAM, and NY-BR-1, of which ≥ 2 had to be positive (95.9% sensitivity, 95.0% specificity, 85.5% positive predictive value (PPV), and 98.7% negative predictive value (NPV)). Overall concordance with histology was 95.2%. In the validation group, 84/315 SLN sections from 235 patients were histologically positive, and panel sensitivity, specificity and overall accuracy were 88.1, 95.2 and 93.3%, respectively, at the SLN section level. In conclusion, molecular staging using expression patterns of relevant transcripts in SLNs could serve as a useful complement to standard diagnostic work-up in BC patients. The proposed flexible multi-parametric approach does not improve the overall accuracy compared with the single-marker approach. However, it overcomes several limitations of the previously reported molecular assays for SLN diagnosis.