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Cytomegalovirus (CMV) reactivation is a frequent complication after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), whose impact on clinical outcome, in particular on leukemic relapse, is controversial. We retrospectively analyzed 687 HCT recipients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and ciclosporin-based immunosuppression to better understand the differential impact of CMV on transplant outcomes depending on AML disease stage and in vivo T cell depletion with antithymocyte globulin (ATG). Without ATG, CMV reactivation associated with significantly reduced relapse, yet its effect was more pronounced for advanced disease AML (P = .0002) than for patients in first complete remission (CR1, P = .0169). Depending on the disease stage, ATG exposure abrogated relapse protection following CMV reactivation in advanced stages (P = .796), while it inverted its effect into increased relapse for CR1 patients (P = .0428). CMV reactivation was associated with significantly increased nonrelapse mortality in CR1 patients without ATG (P = .0187) but not in those with advanced disease and ATG. Following CMV reactivation, only patients with advanced disease had significantly higher event-free survival rates as compared with patients without CMV. Overall, our data suggest that both ATG and disease stage modulate the impact of post-HCT CMV reactivation in opposite directions, revealing a level of complexity that warrants future studies regarding the interplay between antivirus and antitumor immunity.

In silico prediction of high-risk donor–recipient HLA mismatches after unrelated donor (UD) hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is an attractive, yet elusive, objective. Nonpermissive T-cell epitope (TCE) group mismatches were defined by alloreactive T-cell cross-reactivity for 52/80 HLA-DPB1 alleles (TCE-X). More recently, a numerical functional distance (FD) scoring system for in silico prediction of TCE groups based on the median impact of exon 2–encoded amino acid polymorphism on T-cell alloreactivity was developed for all DPB1 alleles (TCE-FD), including the 28/80 common alleles not assigned by TCE-X. We compared clinical outcome associations of nonpermissive DPB1 mismatches defined by TCE-X or TCE-FD in 8/8 HLA-matched UD-HCT for acute leukemia, myelodysplastic syndrome, and chronic myelogenous leukemia between 1999 and 2011 (N = 2730). Concordance between the 2 models was 92.3%, with most differences arising from DPB1*06:01 and DPB1*19:01 being differently assigned by TCE-X and TCE-FD. In both models, nonpermissive mismatches were associated with reduced overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.15, P< .006 and HR, 1.12, P< .03), increased transplant-related mortality (HR, 1.31, P< .001 and HR, 1.26, P< .001) as well as acute (HR, 1.16, P< .02 and HR, 1.22, P< .001) and chronic (HR, 1.20, P< .003 and HR, 1.22, P< .001) graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). We show that in silico prediction of nonpermissive DPB1 mismatches significantly associated with major transplant outcomes is feasible for any DPB1 allele with known exon 2 sequence based on experimentally elaborated FD scores. This proof-of-principle observation opens new avenues for developing HLA risk-prediction models in HCT and has practical implications for UD searches.