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Cluster analysis is an unsupervised learning strategy that is exceptionally useful for identifying homogeneous subgroups of observations in data sets of unknown structure. However, it is challenging to determine if the identified clusters represent truly distinct subgroups rather than noise. Existing approaches for addressing this problem tend to define clusters based on distributional assumptions, ignore the inherent correlation structure in the data, or are not suited for high‐dimension low‐sample size (HDLSS) settings. In this paper, we propose a novel method to evaluate the significance of identified clusters by comparing the explained variation due to the clustering from the original data to that produced by clustering a unimodal reference distribution that preserves the covariance structure in the data. The reference distribution is generated using kernel density estimation, and thus, does not require that the data follow a particular distribution. By utilizing sparse covariance estimation, the method is adapted for the HDLSS setting. The approach can be used to test the null hypothesis that the data cannot be partitioned into clusters and to determine the optimal number of clusters. Simulation examples, theoretical evaluations, and applications to temporomandibular disorder research and cancer microarray data illustrate the utility of the proposed method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Randomized trials seek efficient treatment effect estimation within target populations, yet scientific interest often also centers on subpopulations. Although there are typically too few subjects within each subpopulation to efficiently estimate these subpopulation treatment effects, one can gain precision by borrowing strength across subpopulations, as is the case in a basket trial. While dynamic borrowing has been proposed as an efficient approach to estimating subpopulation treatment effects on primary endpoints, additional efficiency could be gained by leveraging the information found in secondary endpoints. We propose a multisource exchangeability model (MEM) that incorporates secondary endpoints to more efficiently assess subpopulation exchangeability. Across simulation studies, our proposed model almost uniformly reduces the mean squared error when compared to the standard MEM that only considers data from the primary endpoint by gaining efficiency when subpopulations respond similarly to the treatment and reducing the magnitude of bias when the subpopulations are heterogeneous. We illustrate our model's feasibility using data from a recently completed trial of very low nicotine content cigarettes to estimate the effect on abstinence from smoking within three priority subpopulations. Our proposed model led to increases in the effective sample size two to four times greater than under the standard MEM., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The International Biometric Society.)