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Abstract: Prediction of subsequent leukemia-free survival (LFS) and chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) in adults with acute leukemia who survived at least 1 year after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation is difficult. We analyzed 3339 patients with acute myeloid leukemia and 1434 patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia who received myeloablative conditioning and related or unrelated stem cells from 1990 to 2005. Most clinical factors predictive of LFS in 1-year survivors were no longer significant after 2 or more years. For acute myeloid leukemia, only disease status (beyond first complete remission) remained a significant adverse risk factor for LFS 2 or more years after transplantation. For lymphoblastic leukemia, only extensive chronic GVHD remained a significant adverse predictor of LFS in the second and subsequent years. For patients surviving for 1 year without disease relapse or extensive chronic GVHD, the risk of developing extensive chronic GVHD in the next year was 4% if no risk factors were present and higher if noncyclosporine-based GVHD prophylaxis, an HLA-mismatched donor, or peripheral blood stem cells were used. Estimates for subsequent LFS and extensive chronic GVHD can be derived for individual patients or populations using an online calculator (http://www.cibmtr.org/LeukemiaCalculators). This prognostic information is more relevant for survivors than estimates provided before transplantation. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Donor factors, in addition to HLA matching status, have been associated with recipient survival in unrelated donor (URD) hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT); however, there is no hierarchical algorithm that weights the characteristics of individual donors against each other in a quantitative manner to facilitate donor selection. The goal of this study was to develop and validate a donor selection score that prioritizes donor characteristics associated with better survival in 8/8 HLA-matched URDs. Two separate patient/donor cohorts, the first receiving HCT between 1999 and 2011 (n = 5952, c1), and the second between 2012 and 2014 (n = 4510, c2) were included in the analysis. Both cohorts were randomly spilt, 2:1, into training and testing sets. Despite studying over 10,000 URD transplants, we were unable to validate a donor selection score. The only donor characteristic associated with better survival was younger age, with 2-year survival being 3% better when a donor 10 years younger is selected. These results support previous studies suggesting prioritization of a younger 8/8 HLA-matched donor. This large dataset also shows that none of the other donor clinical factors tested were reproducibly associated with survival, and hence flexibility in selecting URDs based on other characteristics is justified. These data support a simplified URD selection process and have significant implications for URD registries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]