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The water vapor content in the atmosphere is highly correlated with rainfall events, which can be used as a data source for rainfall prediction or drought monitoring. The GNSS PPP (Precise Point Positioning) technique can be used to estimate the troposphere ZWD (Zenith Wet Delay) parameter which can be converted into precipitable water vapor (PWV). In this study, we first investigate the impacts of the weighting strategies, observation noise settings, and gradient estimation on the accuracy of ZWD and positions. A refined strategy is proposed for the troposphere estimation with uncombined raw PPP model, down-weighting of Galileo/GLONASS/BDS code observation by a factor of 3, using a sine2-type elevation-dependent weighting function and estimating the horizontal gradients. Based on the strategy, the correlation of the estimated tropospheric parameters with the rainfall is analyzed based on the data from the "7.20" rainstorm in Henan Province, China. The PWV is first calculated based on the hourly global pressure and temperature (HGPT) model and compared with the results from ERA5 products. Results show their good consistency during the rainfall period or the normal period with a standard deviation of 3 mm. Then, the high correlation between the PWV and the heavy rain rainfall event is validated. Results show that the accumulated PWV maintains a high level before the rainstorm if a sustainable water supply is available, while it decreased rapidly after the rainfall. In comparison, the horizontal gradients and the satellite residuals are less correlated with the water vapor content. However, the gradients can be used to indicate the horizontal asymmetry of the water vapor in the atmosphere. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The water vapor content in the atmosphere is highly correlated with rainfall events, which can be used as a data source for rainfall prediction or drought monitoring. The GNSS PPP (Precise Point Positioning) technique can be used to estimate the troposphere ZWD (Zenith Wet Delay) parameter which can be converted into precipitable water vapor (PWV). In this study, we first investigate the impacts of the weighting strategies, observation noise settings, and gradient estimation on the accuracy of ZWD and positions. A refined strategy is proposed for the troposphere estimation with uncombined raw PPP model, down-weighting of Galileo/GLONASS/BDS code observation by a factor of 3, using a sine2-type elevation-dependent weighting function and estimating the horizontal gradients. Based on the strategy, the correlation of the estimated tropospheric parameters with the rainfall is analyzed based on the data from the “7.20” rainstorm in Henan Province, China. The PWV is first calculated based on the hourly global pressure and temperature (HGPT) model and compared with the results from ERA5 products. Results show their good consistency during the rainfall period or the normal period with a standard deviation of 3 mm. Then, the high correlation between the PWV and the heavy rain rainfall event is validated. Results show that the accumulated PWV maintains a high level before the rainstorm if a sustainable water supply is available, while it decreased rapidly after the rainfall. In comparison, the horizontal gradients and the satellite residuals are less correlated with the water vapor content. However, the gradients can be used to indicate the horizontal asymmetry of the water vapor in the atmosphere.

The weighted mean temperature (Tm) is a key parameter when converting the zenith wet delay (ZWD) to precipitation water vapor (PWV) in ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology. Tm can be calculated via numerical integration with the atmospheric profile data measured along the zenith direction, but this method is not practical in most cases because it is not easy for general users to get real-time atmospheric profile data. An alternative method to obtain an accurate Tm value is to establish regional or global models on the basis of its relations with surface meteorological elements as well as the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of Tm. In this study, the complex relations between Tm and some of its essentially associated factors including the geographic position and terrain, surface temperature and surface water vapor pressure were considered to develop Tm models, and then a non-meteorological-factor Tm model (NMFTm), a single-meteorological-factor Tm model (SMFTm) and a multi-meteorological-factor Tm model (MMFTm) applicable to China and adjacent areas were established by adopting the artificial neural network technique. The generalization performance of new models was strengthened with the help of an ensemble learning method, and the model accuracies were compared with several representative published Tm models from different perspectives. The results show that the new models all exhibit consistently better performance than the competing models under the same application conditions tested by the data within the study area. The NMFTm model is superior to the latest non-meteorological model and has the advantages of simplicity and utility. Both the SMFTm model and MMFTm model show higher accuracy than all the published Tm models listed in this study; in particular, the MMFTm model is about 14.5% superior to the first-generation neural network-based Tm (NN-I) model, with the best accuracy so far in terms of the root-mean-square error.

The weighted mean temperature ( T m ) is a key parameter when converting the zenith wet delay (ZWD) to precipitation water vapor (PWV) in ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology. T m can be calculated via numerical integration with the atmospheric profile data measured along the zenith direction, but this method is not practical in most cases because it is not easy for general users to get real-time atmospheric profile data. An alternative method to obtain an accurate T m value is to establish regional or global models on the basis of its relations with surface meteorological elements as well as the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of T m . In this study, the complex relations between T m and some of its essentially associated factors including the geographic position and terrain, surface temperature and surface water vapor pressure were considered to develop T m models, and then a non-meteorological-factor T m model (NMFTm), a single-meteorological-factor T m model (SMFTm) and a multi-meteorological-factor T m model (MMFTm) applicable to China and adjacent areas were established by adopting the artificial neural network technique. The generalization performance of new models was strengthened with the help of an ensemble learning method, and the model accuracies were compared with several representative published T m models from different perspectives. The results show that the new models all exhibit consistently better performance than the competing models under the same application conditions tested by the data within the study area. The NMFTm model is superior to the latest non-meteorological model and has the advantages of simplicity and utility. Both the SMFTm model and MMFTm model show higher accuracy than all the published T m models listed in this study; in particular, the MMFTm model is about 14.5% superior to the first-generation neural network-based T m (NN-I) model, with the best accuracy so far in terms of the root-mean-square error. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]