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In this study, eight parameters are selected and their historical data are collected to predict the future of the energy demand of Turkey. The initial eight parameters were the gross domestic product (GDP) of Turkey, average annual US crude oil price (COP), inflation for Turkey in percentages (INF), the population of Turkey, total vehicle travel in kilometers for Turkey, total amount of goods transported on motorways, employment for Turkey, and trade of Turkey. However, after these eight parameters data are analyzed using Pearson and Spearman correlation methods, it is found out that five of these parameters are highly correlated. The remaining three parameters are the GDP of Turkey, COP, and INF for Turkey. Afterward, five separate scenarios are developed to forecast the future of the energy demand of Turkey. The first two scenarios involve the third- and fourth-order polynomial fitting, the third and fourth scenarios employ static and recurrent neural networks, and the fifth scenario utilizes autoregressive models to predict the future energy demand of Turkey. The efficient hybridization of the seagull optimization and very optimistic method of minimization metaheuristic algorithms is carried out to achieve the polynomial fitting of the data. The optimization performance of the hybrid algorithm is assessed by applying the algorithm on benchmark optimization problems and comparing the results with that of some other metaheuristic optimizers. Moreover, it is seen that the forecasts of the first scenario agree well with the Ministry of the Energy and Natural Resources estimates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study investigates the Neural Network Predictive Control of a vapor compression cycle (VCC). VCC consists of four components, namely the compressor, electronic expansion valve (EEV), evaporator and condenser. Modeling of the compressor and EEV is carried out with the static relationships, while modeling of the evaporator and condenser is performed with the lumped parameter moving boundary method. The established thermodynamic model is validated against the ASPEN model with the same design specifications. The neural network is trained off-line with the input and output signal data of the established model. The solution of the optimization problem for the each time step is achieved with the metaheuristic method called Whale Optimization Algorithm in the predictive controller. Ultimately, performances of the four different controllers, namely the cooling load, first law efficiency, entropy generation and second law efficiency, are compared with each other. The results show that the entropy generation controller achieves the most favorable exergy destruction performance with 0.2% lower than the worst performer cooling load controller. It is also observed that the second law efficiency controller is the best performer in terms of the overall second law efficiency through the simulation time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]