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The prediction of vessel trajectories plays a crucial role in ensuring maritime safety and reducing maritime accidents. Substantial progress has been made in trajectory prediction tasks by adopting sequence modeling methods, containing recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and sequence-to-sequence networks (Seq2Seq). However, (1) most of these studies focus on the application of trajectory information, such as the longitude, latitude, course, and speed, while neglecting the impact of differing vessel features and behavioral preferences on the trajectories. (2) Challenges remain in acquiring these features and preferences, as well as enabling the model to sensibly integrate and efficiently express them. To address the issue, we introduce a novel deep framework VEPO-S2S, consisting of a Multi-level Vessel Trajectory Representation Module (Multi-Rep) and a Feature Fusion and Decoding Module (FFDM). Apart from the trajectory information, we first defined the Multi-level Vessel Characteristics in Multi-Rep, encompassing Shallow-level Attributes (vessel length, width, draft, etc.) and Deep-level Features (Sailing Location Preference, Voyage Time Preference, etc.). Subsequently, Multi-Rep was designed to obtain trajectory information and Multi-level Vessel Characteristics, applying distinct encoders for encoding. Next, the FFDM selected and integrated the above features from Multi-Rep for prediction by employing both a priori and a posteriori mechanisms, a Feature Fusion Component, and an enhanced decoder. This allows the model to efficiently leverage them and enhance overall performance. Finally, we conducted comparative experiments with several baseline models. The experimental results demonstrate that VEPO-S2S is both quantitatively and qualitatively superior to the models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vessel trajectory prediction supports navigation services and collision detection. To maintain safety and efficiency in maritime transportation, vessel trajectory prediction is always an important topic. By using automatic identification system (AIS) data and deep learning methods, the task of vessel trajectory prediction has made significant progress. However, this task is still full of challenges due to the complexity of historical information dependencies and the strong influence of spatial correlations. In this paper, we introduce a novel deep learning model, PESO, based on the structure of Seq2Seq, consisting of Parallel Encoders and a Ship-Oriented Decoder. The Parallel Encoders, including the Location Encoder and the Sailing Status Encoder are designed to integrate more information into feature representation. The Ship-Oriented Decoder is targeted to utilize the Semantic Location Vector (SLV) to guide the prediction, which better represents the spatial correlation of historical track points. In order to verify the efficiency and efficacy of PESO, we conducted comparative experiments with several baseline models. The experimental results demonstrate that PESO is superior to them both quantitatively and qualitatively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Featured Application: Authors are encouraged to provide a concise description of the specific application or a potential application of the work. This section is not mandatory. There are difficulties in obtaining accurate modeling of ship trajectories with traditional prediction methods. For example, neural networks are prone to falling into local optima and there are a small number of Automatic Identification System (AIS) information samples regarding target ships acquired in real time at sea. In order to improve the accuracy of ship trajectory predictions and solve these problems, a trajectory prediction model based on support vector regression (SVR) is proposed. Ship speed, course, time stamp, longitude and latitude from AIS data were selected as sample features and the wavelet threshold de-noising method was used to process the ship position data. The adaptive chaos differential evolution (ACDE) algorithm was used to optimize the internal model parameters to improve convergence speed and prediction accuracy. AIS sensor data corresponding to a certain section of the Tianjin Port ships were selected, on which SVR, Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model trajectory prediction simulations were carried out. A comparison of the results shows that the trajectory prediction model based on ACDE-SVR has higher and more stable prediction accuracy, requires less time and is simple, feasible and efficient. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]