1. Unit root test of the current account balance: implication for international capital mobility.
- Author
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Gundlach, Erich and Sinn, Stefan
- Subjects
BALANCE of payments ,CAPITAL market ,FINANCIAL institutions - Abstract
The extent of international capital mobility is assessed in a time series context. The possibility that the current account balance of different OECD countries contains a unit root is explored. It is shown that if the ratio of the current account balance to GDP is found to be integrated of the order of one, the country is likely to be part of the world capital market. The results for the whole period 1950-1988 indicate that the current account balance of at least Germany, Japan and the United States contains a unit root. Considering the subperiods before and after 1972 it is shown that international capital mobility increased after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System. This paper develops a new approach to testing whether a country is linked to the international capital market. We show that if a country's current account balance expressed as a ratio to GDP contains a unit root, then there is no long-run stable relationship between its saving and investment rates and the country is linked to the international capital market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1992
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