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Objective: To compare frequencies of risk factors and pregnancy outcomes in ethnic groups versus the combined total of Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander (AANHPI) populations., Methods: Using linked birth and fetal death certificate and maternal hospital discharge data (California 2007-2018), we estimated frequencies of 15 clinical and sociodemographic exposures and 11 pregnancy outcomes. Variability across 15 AANHPI groups was compared using a heat map and compared to frequencies for the total group (n = 904,232)., Results: AANHPI groups varied significantly from each other and the combined total regarding indicators of social disadvantage (e.g., range for high school-level educational or less: 6.4% Korean-55.8% Samoan) and sociodemographic factors (e.g., maternal age <20 years: 0.2% Chinese-8.8% Guamanian) that are related to adverse pregnancy outcomes. Perinatal outcomes varied significantly (e.g., severe maternal morbidity: 1.2% Korean-1.9% Filipino). No single group consistently had risk factors or outcome prevalence at the extremes, i.e., no group was consistently better or worse off across examined factors., Conclusions: Substantial variability in perinatal risk factors and outcomes exists across AANHPI groups. Aggregation into "AANHPI" is not appropriate for outcome reporting., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Previous population-based studies have shown that proteinuria is an independent predictor of total mortality. However, no studies have examined multiple proteinuria measurements or had a follow-up period longer than two decades., Methods: Proteinuria was measured by urine dipstick on 6,815 Japanese-American men on two occasions, 6 years apart. Participants were classified into the "no proteinuria" group if both examinations were negative, "transient proteinuria" if either was positive, and "persistent proteinuria" if both were positive and followed for total mortality over 39 years., Results: Prevalence of transient and persistent proteinuria was 6.4% and 1.3%, respectively. Age-adjusted total mortality rates were 41.9, 55.0, and 71.9 per 1000 person-years follow-up for no, transient, and persistent proteinuria groups, respectively (p for trend <.0001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models showed increased total mortality risk in a dose-response manner: HR, 1.40; P < .001 and HR, 2.26; P < .001 for transient and persistent proteinuria groups, respectively (using no proteinuria as reference). Stratified analyses showed stronger associations between proteinuria and mortality among those with prevalent cardiovascular diseases compared with those without., Conclusions: Proteinuria was independently associated with higher total mortality risk over 39 years. This risk was stronger among high-risk populations but also remained significant in low-risk populations. Simple urine dipstick can be a good risk assessment tool in the general population., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: To estimate the population-attributable risk (PAR) associated with modifiable risk factors for diabetes among Caucasians, Native Hawaiians, and Japanese Americans in the Hawaii component of the Multiethnic Cohort., Methods: This analysis is based on 74,970 cohort participants ages 45-75 years who completed a questionnaire on demographics, diet, and lifestyle factors in 1993-1996. After a mean follow-up time of 12.1 (0.01-14.4) years, 8,559 diabetes cases were identified by self-report, a medication questionnaire, and through health plan linkages. Hazard ratios for diabetes and partial PARs for single and different combinations of modifiable risk factors were estimated., Results: Overweight, physical inactivity, high meat intake, no alcohol consumption, and smoking were positively associated with diabetes risk in all ethnic groups. The estimated PARs suggested that among men, 78%, and among women, 83%, of new diabetes cases could have been avoided if all individuals had been in the low risk category for all of the modifiable risk factors. The slightly lower PARs in Japanese Americans were not significantly different from those in Caucasian and Native Hawaiian subjects., Conclusions: Although PARs varied slightly over ethnicity, our findings do not support ethnic-specific prevention strategies; interventions targeted at multiple behaviors are needed in all ethnic groups., (Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Measuring the way people vary across time in meeting recommended levels of physical activity should be a fundamental component of public health surveillance. However, we were unaware of prospective cohort studies that had examined this in a population base using convergent measures., Purpose: We examined agreement between two validated measures used to estimate periodic change in the rate of meeting U.S. Healthy People 2010 guidelines for participation in moderate or vigorous physical activity., Methods: A cohort (N = 497) from a random, multiethnic sample of adults living in Hawaii was assessed every 6-months for 2 years starting spring 2004. Latent transition analysis classified people as meeting or not meeting the guidelines. Intra-class kappa statistics and multinomial logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate agreement., Results: Agreement for classifying stable classes of people who met or did not meet the guideline each time was substantial for vigorous activity (kappa approximately 0.65-0.70) but fair-to-moderate for moderate activity (kappa approximately 0.38-0.48). Agreement was poorer for classifying people who transitioned between meeting and not meeting the vigorous guideline (kappa approximately 0.45) or the moderate guideline (kappa approximately 0.21-0.29)., Conclusions: Rates of meeting the guidelines varied across time and were estimated differently by the two measures, especially for moderate activity. This finding illustrates an understudied problem for public health promotion. Accurate classification of change within people is necessary for determining exposure in outcome studies, personal determinants of sufficient activity, and for evaluating whether interventions are successful in sustaining increases in rates of meeting physical activity guidelines., (2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: We sought to identify factors related to total mortality in older Japanese men in Japan and Hawaii., Methods: Baseline data were collected from 1980 to 1982 in 1379 men in Hawaii and 954 men in Japan. Ages ranged from 61 to 81 years, with mortality follow-up during a 19-year period., Results: Compared with Japan, men in Hawaii had a 2-fold excess of diabetes and a 4-fold excess of prevalent coronary heart disease (P < .001). Total cholesterol and body mass index were also greater in Hawaiian men (P < .001). In contrast, men in Japan had greater systolic blood pressure and were nearly 3 times more likely to smoke cigarettes (P < .001). Although each cohort had elements of a poor risk factor profile, there was a 1.4-fold excess in the risk of death in Japan (49.4 vs. 36.2/1,000 person-years, P < .001). Although mortality was similar after risk factor adjustment, only blood pressure and cigarette smoking accounted for the higher risk of death in Japan., Conclusions: Cigarette smoking and hypertension explain much of the excess mortality in Japan versus Hawaii. In this comparison of genetically similar cohorts, evidence further suggests that Japanese in Japan are equally susceptible to develop the same adverse risk factor conditions that exist in Hawaii.

Purpose: For surveillance purposes, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CDC/CSTE) have defined two case classifications for leptospirosis: "confirmed" and "probable." The objective of this study was to provide data to refine the current surveillance case classifications., Methods: All reported leptospirosis infections from exposures within the State of Hawaii, 1974 to 1998 meeting CDC/CSTE "confirmed" and "probable" case classifications were compared on a number of clinical and epidemiologic parameters., Results: Confirmed cases (n = 276) had more severe clinical manifestations than probable cases (n = 180); however, probable cases with higher peak microscopic agglutination test (MAT) titers (> or =1:800) were clinically and epidemiologically comparable to confirmed cases. In addition, 77 cases demonstrating fourfold or greater MAT titer increases in paired serum collected less than two weeks apart (currently excluded from the "confirmed" case classification) were also comparable to confirmed cases., Conclusions: Our findings support amending the current CDC/CSTE surveillance confirmed case classification to include demonstration of a fourfold or greater MAT titer increase in paired serum, irrespective of the interval between specimen collection. Consideration should also be given to including single MAT titer > or =1:800 as a criterion for "confirmation." These changes would both simplify and expedite the surveillance confirmation of leptospirosis.

Purpose: The purpose of this report is to examine the potential for risk factor effects on the incidence of CHD to change over a broad range of ages from middle adulthood to late-life., Methods: Findings are based on repeated risk factor measurements at four examinations over a 26-year period in men enrolled in the Honolulu Heart Program. After each examination, six years of follow-up were available to assess risk factor effects as the cohort aged from 45 to 93 years., Results: Based on 18,456 person intervals of follow-up, 677 men developed CHD (3.7%). After risk factor adjustment, a positive relation between hypertension and CHD declined significantly with age (p = 0.013), primarily due to a large increase in the risk of CHD in elderly men (75 to 93) without hypertension. Effects of total cholesterol on CHD also seemed to decline with advancing age, although changes were not statistically significant. In contrast, men with diabetes had a consistent 2-fold excess risk of CHD across all age groups, while a positive association with body mass index in younger men (45 to 54) became negative in those who were the oldest (75 to 93). Due to infrequent smoking in the elderly, associations between smoking and CHD weakened with age. In the oldest men (75 to 93), alcohol intake was unrelated to CHD, while effects of sedentary life-styles on promoting CHD appeared stronger than in those who were younger., Conclusion: Findings suggest that changes in risk factor effects on the incidence of CHD with advancing age may require updated strategies for CHD prevention as aging occurs.

Purpose: To review and assess published findings from relevant cancer research studies in Native Hawaiians and other Pacific Islanders and to develop strategies for designing and implementing successful cancer research studies in the future., Methods: Data were collected primarily from MEDLINE and BIOSIS Preview searches of the English literature during a 30-year period for published reports of cancer surveillance studies and epidemiological and clinical cancer studies in the Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander populations. The cancer burden was critically assessed in the retrieved citations for each of the indigenous groups from Hawai'i, American Samoa, Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Republic of Palau, and the Republic of the Marshall Islands., Results: A review of the published literature revealed a lack of systematic data collection on cancer incidence and mortality in Pacific Islanders. Wide variations were found regarding the status of cancer research among ethnic groups. It is estimated that Native Hawaiians represent 0.1% of subjects accrued to cancer prevention trials, and that Pacific Islanders represent 0.5% of subjects in a large cancer screening trial., Conclusion: The paucity of cancer data and clinical cancer research supports the need for increased attention to these indigenous populations to improve the quality of cancer care in Native Hawaiian and Pacific Island communities.

Purpose: Elevated insulin levels have been associated with cardiovascular disease, but the relationship of insulin with other risk factors and its position in the atherosclerotic pathway is uncertain. A cross-sectional study was conducted to determine whether insulin concentrations were associated with lipids and lipoproteins independently of adiposity and other cardiovascular risk factors., Methods: Subjects included 3417 Japanese-American men from the Honolulu Heart Program who completed a follow-up examination between 1991 and 1993 and were 71-93 years of age. Men were categorized by quintiles of fasting and 2-hour insulin concentration., Results: Age-adjusted mean high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and triglyceride levels varied significantly across quintiles of fasting and 2-hour insulin (P < 0.001, tests for trend), but insulin was not related to total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol. HDL cholesterol decreased from 59.3 to 43.7 mg/dL and triglycerides increased from 95.6 to 175.8 mg/dL comparing lowest to highest quintiles of fasting insulin, respectively. These associations were slightly stronger in lean than obese subjects and in nondiabetic versus diabetic individuals particularly for 2-hour insulin levels. Multiple linear regression analysis adjusting for several adiposity measures separately (body mass index (BMI), subscapular skinfold thickness, waist circumference, and waist/hip ratio) and other cardiovascular risk factors attenuated associations slightly but they still remained statistically significant. Estimated differences in HDL cholesterol across extreme quintiles of fasting insulin were reduced slightly from 15.6 mg/dL with adjustment for age to 12.5 mg/dL with adjustment for age and BMI, and to 11.3 mg/dL with adjustment for age, BMI, and cardiovascular risk factors., Conclusions: Insulin concentration was strongly and independently associated with HDL cholesterol and triglycerides in this cohort of elderly Japanese-American men. Since this study was cross-sectional, further investigation is required to determine whether elevated insulin levels are causally related to dyslipidemia.

Purpose: Assess the joint impact of prolonged QTc interval (QT interval corrected for heart rate), impaired lung function, and low body weight on all-cause mortality., Methods: This is a population-based, prospective study of the Honolulu Heart Program cohort, performed in Oahu Island, Hawaii, during the 1991-1993 fourth examination of cohort survivors. The participants were 3056 Japanese-American men, 71 to 93 years of age. The measurement consisted of: 1) instrument calculated, heart rate corrected QT interval; 2) one second forced expiratory volume (FEV1) as a percentage of age- and height-predicted FEV1; and 3) body mass index (BMI, kg/m2). Relations of subsequent 3 1/2 year, on average, mortality rates with high risk states of these variables are determined. High risk states are QTc > 440 msec, percent predicted FEV1 < or = 80%, and BMI < or = 21 kg/m2., Results: Mortality rates synergistically increase among groups with one, two, or three high risk states. Men having all three high risk states are seven times more likely to die in the follow-up period than men with no high risk conditions. Very thin men having one other high risk state, pulmonary impairment or prolonged QTc, are four times more likely to die. Excluding diabetics, active smokers, or men taking drugs affecting QT interval does not alter findings. Excluding prevalent coronary heart disease decreases mortality rates among joint high risk groups., Conclusion: Results are consistent with clinical studies identifying an autonomic neuropathy associated with wasting chronic lung disease, prolonged QTc, and mortality. Aging populations in developed nations will increase the prevalence of diseases associated with these conditions in decades to come.

Purpose: The purpose of this report is to describe levels of total cholesterol and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in a group of elderly men and to compare these levels to those that were observed 20 years earlier., Methods: From 1965-1968, the Honolulu Heart Program began following 8006 men of Japanese ancestry living on the island of Oahu, Hawaii, in a prospective study of coronary heart disease and stroke. This report presents data for 971 men who participated in a separate fasting study of lipids and lipoproteins that first occurred from 1970-1972 and in those who received repeat examinations 10 and 20 years later. Men were aged 71-93 years at the last examination., Results: Over the 20-year period, total cholesterol declined by 1.6-1.8 mg/dL per year (P < 0.001), from average baseline values of 219-222 mg/dL. Levels of HDL-C rose 0.2-0.3 mg/dL per year (P < 0.001), from average baseline values of 44-46 mg/dL. After adjustment for baseline cholesterol levels, men with prevalent coronary heart disease at the end of the 20-year follow-up experienced significantly greater reductions in total cholesterol levels than men without disease (P < 0.001). Men who developed coronary heart disease within the first 10 years of follow-up had the greatest yearly decline in total cholesterol (1.9 mg/dL), followed by men who developed heart disease later (1.8 mg/dL) and men who remained disease free (1.5 mg/dL). Differences between men with recent and earlier disease were not statistically significant, although men without coronary disease experienced a significantly smaller decrease in total cholesterol than either of these groups (P < 0.05)., Conclusions: Changes in total cholesterol and HDL-C levels with advancing age may be part of a natural aging process. Some changes, however, such as large reductions in total cholesterol, may signal occult disease or declines in overall health. Selective survival may contribute to these findings since improvements in lipid and lipoprotein levels that are beneficial in younger ages were common in this long-lived cohort of men.

Purpose: The goals of this study were to assess prospectively the impact of obesity, alcohol use, and smoking on total mortality and to test the etiologic hypothesis that subjects with two or more of these risk factors may experience an elevated risk of overall mortality., Methods: Information on body mass index (BMI), alcohol intake, cigarette smoking, and other life-style factors was obtained from a cohort of 8006 Japanese-American men living in Hawaii. They were between 45 and 68 years of age at the initial examination (1965-1968). After 22 years of follow-up that included nearly 159,000 person-years of observation, 2667 deaths from all causes were identified., Results: There was a significant quadratic (J-shaped) relation between BMI and overall mortality. A weaker J-shaped pattern in risk was also present for the intake of alcohol. A strong positive association was observed with pack-years of cigarette smoking. A synergistic interaction between BMI and alcohol was statistically significant (P = 0.0017). Specifically, men who had the lowest body mass (BMI < 21.21 kg/m2) and drank moderately to heavily (> or = 25 oz/mo) experienced a 63% excess risk (relative risk, 1.63; 95% confidence interval; 1.33 - 1.99) compared to a reference group composed of men who had intermediate body mass (BMI, 21.21 - 26.30 kg/m2) and drank occasionally to lightly (0.01 - 24.99 oz/mo). The increase in risk due to the interactive effect of low BMI and high alcohol intake was stronger (and statistically significant) than when each of these risk factors was considered separately (excess risk, 28% and 2%, respectively). There was no significant interaction for BMI and cigarette smoking, for alcohol and cigarette smoking, or for the three factors combined., Conclusions: The most important finding of this study was that, in addition to confirming that cigarette smoking could shorten life, extreme (high or low) BMI values and high alcohol consumption are each potentially harmful to health, but even more so if moderate or heavy drinking is concomitant with low body mass, a possible indicator for low intake of nutrients.

Associations of cardiovascular risk factors, including several measures of adiposity, with hyperinsulinemia were assessed in 3562 elderly (71 to 93 years of age) Japanese American men from the Honolulu Heart Program who were examined between 1991 and 1993. In addition, cardiovascular risk factors measured 25 years earlier were also examined in relation to hyperinsulinemia. Hyperinsulinemia was defined as fasting insulin > or = 95th percentile (20 microU/mL) among the subset of subjects (n = 504) who were nonobese and free of clinical diabetes and glucose intolerance. When this definition was applied to the entire population, the prevalence of hyperinsulinemia declined cross-sectionally with age (P < 0.001) from 24.2% in men aged 71 to 74 years to 16.4% in men aged 85 to 93 years. Factors having a positive and independent association with hyperinsulinemia included body mass index (BMI), triglycerides, glucose, hematocrit, use of diabetic medication, heart rate, and hypertension. The association with physical activity was negative. Triglycerides, BMI, diabetic medication, hypertension, and smoking levels measured 25 years earlier were also associated independently with hyperinsulinemia. Associations were similar in nondiabetic subjects. Three measures of adiposity (BMI, waist circumference, and subscapular skinfold thickness) were independently related to hyperinsulinemia cross-sectionally. However, associations involving a difference between the 80th and 20th percentiles in each adiposity measure appeared strongest for BMI (odds ratio (OR) = 4.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.7 to 5.6) and waist circumference (OR = 4.1, 95% CI = 3.3-5.1) and slightly weaker for subscapular skinfold thickness (OR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.8-2.5). These findings suggest that features of an insulin resistance syndrome including dyslipidemia, glucose intolerance, hypertension, and obesity, assessed both cross-sectionally and 25 years previously, are associated independently with hyperinsulinemia in elderly Japanese American men.

The goals of this study were to assess the association of diet, alcohol, smoking, and other life-style factors with the risk of colon and rectal cancer and to examine the differences in the risk factors associated with each cancer site. Information on diet, alcohol, smoking, and other life-style factors was obtained from 7945 Japanese-American men who were living in Hawaii and examined from 1965 through 1968. After 174,514 person-years of observation, 330 incident cases of colon cancer and 123 incident cases of rectal cancer were diagnosed by histology. The risk of both colon and rectal cancer increased with age, alcohol intake, and pack-years of cigarette smoking. For colon cancer, there was also a direct association with body mass index and heart rate, while an inverse association was observed with serum cholesterol, intake of monounsaturated fatty acid, and percentage of calories from fat. For rectal cancer, the risk decreased with an increase in the intake of carbohydrates as percentage of calories. These findings suggest that some of the risk factors for colon cancer are different from those for rectal cancer.

Cigarette smoking is known to accelerate decline of pulmonary function; however, the role of other factors is less clear. Characteristics of individuals who experienced rapid decline in forced expiratory volume in 1-sec (FEV1) were examined in 4451 Japanese-American men from the Honolulu Heart Program who were aged 45 to 68 years at baseline (1965-1968) and who produced three acceptable FEV1 measures over a 6-year period. Average annual rates of FEV1 decline were calculated by use of within-person regression and were categorized as rapid (> or = 60 ml/y), moderate (30 to 59 ml/y) or slow (< 30 ml/y). Lifestyle and biologic factors were compared by FEV1 decline categories after adjustment for age. A logistic regression model showed that continued smoking during follow-up, cigarette pack-years, wheezing, coronary heart disease, alcohol intake, and reduced subscapular skinfold were significantly associated with rapid FEV1 decline, after adjustment for age, height, cholesterol, an indicator of Japanese diet, and education. When analyses were restricted to continuous smokers, cigarette pack-years, wheezing, and reduced subscapular skinfold were found to be independent predictors. Among never smokers, lower educational attainment was a predictor of rapid FEV1 decline, and the association involving subscapular skinfold approached significance (P < 0.07). These characteristics may be useful in identifying subgroups of the population who are at increased risk of accelerated decline in pulmonary function and thus would be most likely to benefit from appropriate intervention.

Some cardiovascular risk factors are associated with clinical coronary heart disease but not with autopsy evidence of coronary atherosclerosis. To determine whether these risk factors might operate through mechanisms other than atherosclerosis, we examined associations between cardiovascular risk factors and subsequent intramural myocardial lesions assessed by protocol autopsy between 1965 and 1984 in 120 Japanese-American men from the Honolulu Heart Program who had minimal coronary atherosclerosis (American Heart Association (AHA) panel score < 3 on scale of 1 to 7). Age-adjusted prevalence of myocardial lesions was related to smoking status (P < 0.01), as well as amount, duration, and pack-years of smoking (P < 0.03). In a multiple logistic model, smoking (20 pack-years) was directly associated and fish intake (> or = 2 times/wk) was inversely associated with myocardial lesions independently of age, cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, alcohol, diabetes, total calories, and animal protein intake (odds ratio (OR) = 1.5, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 1.1 to 2.0 and OR = 0.35, 95% CI = 0.2 to 0.9, respectively). The protective effect of fish intake was most evident among men who did not have hypertension at baseline. Indices of obesity, body fat distribution, and physical activity and levels of triglyceride and alcohol intake were not associated with myocardial lesions. Thus, the adverse effects of smoking and the protective effects of fish consumption may extend to individuals relatively free of coronary atherosclerosis, possibly through hemostatic mechanisms or effects on small intramural arteries.

Reports on the incidence and predictors of diabetes in minority populations are infrequent. The 6-year cumulative incidence of diabetes between 1965 and 1974 was estimated among 7210 Japanese-American men aged 45 to 68 years who were enrolled in the Honolulu Heart Program and were free of clinically recognized diabetes at baseline. The incidence of "possible" diabetes (based on history, medication, or hospital diagnosis) was 12.8% and the incidence of "probable" diabetes (based on diabetic medication) was 5.7%. Estimates of incidence in subjects with a nonfasting glucose concentration less than 225 mg/dL 1 hour after a 50-g load were 9.7 and 4.0%, respectively. Multivariate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for probable diabetes in all subjects comparing the upper quintile with the lower four quintiles combined for continuous variables indicated statistically significant direct associations with body mass index (OR, 1.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.31 to 2.18), 1-hour postchallenge glucose level (OR, 5.79; 95% CI, 4.58 to 7.33), triglyceride levels (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.91), systolic blood pressure (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.76), and parental history of diabetes (OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.33), and an inverse association with physical activity (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.72), using logistic regression models including these variables as well as age, subscapular/triceps skinfold ratio, and hematocrit simultaneously. Associations were similar but slightly weaker in men with glucose levels less than 225 mg/dL and in those who remained free of cardiovascular disease. When older men (55 to 68 years old) were compared with younger (45 to 54 years old) men, associations among the older group were stronger for body mass index, physical activity, and systolic blood pressure and they were weaker for glucose levels, triglyceride values, and parental diabetes. Results suggest that body mass index, physical inactivity, glucose level, and parental diabetes appear to be independent risk factors for diabetes, while triglyceride and systolic blood pressure levels may be markers for an adverse cardiovascular risk factor profile associated with diabetes and may reflect an insulin resistance syndrome.

Data from the baseline and follow-up examinations of the Honolulu Heart Program (HHP) cohort of 8006 men of Japanese ancestry were used to examine several questions concerning the predictive role of lipids and lipoproteins for incident CHD. For the question "Do serum cholesterol levels measured in middle age predict incident CHD in elderly men 65 years old or older?" the answer was clearly yes. Multivariate relative risks and attributable risks for early and late onset of CHD were similar and statistically significant. For the question "Do serum cholesterol levels measured in the elderly predict subsequent CHD?" the answer again was clearly yes. Multivariate relative risks for elderly men were similar to those for middle-aged men, and attributable risks were consistently higher for elderly men. For the question "Do other lipid or lipoprotein levels measured in the elderly predict incident CHD better than serum cholesterol level?" the answer was no. Multivariate relative risks for low-density-lipoprotein (LDL) and non-high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol were similar to those for total cholesterol. HDL cholesterol was protective for incident CHD, but the patterns were not significant for the elderly. Serum triglyceride level was not a significant predictor of CHD for the elderly. The conclusion was that no matter at what age serum cholesterol was measured, it predicted subsequent CHD in the elderly men in this cohort.