1. Rate of penetration prediction using machine learning.
- Author
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Murti, Gendro Wisnu and Wardana, Raka Sudira
- Subjects
- *
RANDOM forest algorithms , *FORECASTING , *PREDICTION models , *ARCHITECTURAL design , *MACHINE learning - Abstract
The rate of penetration (ROP) prediction is carried out using a recorded drilling dataset from 02-Well. The prediction approaches use machine learning random forest regressor model and artificial neural network, especially the MLP regressor. The aim is to make the best machine learning model accurately predict the ROP parameter at 02-Well. The method used is designing the architecture of the machine learning model, which is divided into five stages: exploratory data analysis, data pre-processing, prediction and modeling using the selected algorithm, hyper-parameter tuning, and model evaluation. The 02-Well dataset would be divided into a 70% training set and a 30% test set as the base case. The model evaluation results show that modeling using a random forest regressor has a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) score of 19.81%, which belongs to the "Good Forecasting" criteria. Meanwhile, modeling using MLP regressors has a MAPE score of 22.84% with the "Reasonable Forecasting" criteria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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