1. Weighted entropy and optimal portfolios for risk-averse Kelly investments
- Author
-
Izabella Stuhl, Mark Kelbert, and Yuri Suhov
- Subjects
Weight function ,Actuarial science ,Investment strategy ,Applied Mathematics ,General Mathematics ,010102 general mathematics ,Logarithmic growth ,Return function ,01 natural sciences ,Kelly criterion ,010104 statistics & probability ,Econometrics ,Discrete Mathematics and Combinatorics ,Weighted entropy ,0101 mathematics ,Martingale (probability theory) ,Capital growth ,Mathematics - Abstract
Following a series of works on capital growth investment, we analyse log-optimal portfolios where the return evaluation includes ‘weights’ of different outcomes. The results are twofold: (A) under certain conditions, the logarithmic growth rate leads to a supermartingale, and (B) the optimal (martingale) investment strategy is a proportional betting. We focus on properties of the optimal portfolios and discuss a number of simple examples extending the well-known Kelly betting scheme. An important restriction is that the investment does not exceed the current capital value and allows the trader to cover the worst possible losses. The paper deals with a class of discrete-time models. A continuous-time extension is a topic of an ongoing study.
- Published
- 2017