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The frequency, duration, and intensity of extreme thermal events are increasing and are projected to further increase by the end of the century1,2. Despite the considerable consequences of temperature extremes on biological systems3–8, we do not know which species and locations are most exposed worldwide. Here we provide a global assessment of land vertebrates’ exposures to future extreme thermal events. We use daily maximum temperature data from 1950 to 2099 to quantify future exposure to high frequency, duration, and intensity of extreme thermal events to land vertebrates. Under a high greenhouse gas emission scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5–8.5 (SSP5–8.5); 4.4 °C warmer world), 41.0% of all land vertebrates (31.1% mammals, 25.8% birds, 55.5% amphibians and 51.0% reptiles) will be exposed to extreme thermal events beyond their historical levels in at least half their distribution by 2099. Under intermediate-high (SSP3–7.0; 3.6 °C warmer world) and intermediate (SSP2–4.5; 2.7 °C warmer world) emission scenarios, estimates for all vertebrates are 28.8% and 15.1%, respectively. Importantly, a low-emission future (SSP1–2.6, 1.8 °C warmer world) will greatly reduce the overall exposure of vertebrates (6.1% of species) and can fully prevent exposure in many species assemblages. Mid-latitude assemblages (desert, shrubland, and grassland biomes), rather than tropics9,10, will face the most severe exposure to future extreme thermal events. By 2099, under SSP5–8.5, on average 3,773 species of land vertebrates (11.2%) will face extreme thermal events for more than half a year period. Overall, future extreme thermal events will force many species and assemblages into constant severe thermal stress. Deep greenhouse gas emissions cuts are urgently needed to limit species’ exposure to thermal extremes.

Protons display a high chemical activity and strongly affect the charge storage capability in confined interlayer spaces of two-dimensional (2D) materials. As such, an accurate representation of proton dynamics under confinement is important for understanding and predicting charge storage dynamics in these materials. While often ignored in atomistic-scale simulations, nuclear quantum effects (NQEs), e.g., tunneling, can be significant under confinement even at room temperature. Using the thermostatted ring polymer molecular dynamics implementation of path integral molecular dynamics (PIMD) in conjunction with the ReaxFF force field, density functional tight binding (DFTB), and NequIP neural network potential simulations, we investigate the role of NQEs on proton and water transport in bulk water and aqueous electrolytes under confinement in Ti3C2MXenes. Although overall NQEs are relatively small, especially in bulk, we find that they can alter both quantitative values and qualitative trends on both proton transport and water self-diffusion under confinement relative to classical MD predictions. Therefore, our results suggest the need for NQEs to be considered to simulate aqueous systems under confinement for both qualitative and quantitative accuracy.

In this contribution, we report on the nanoscale mechanisms responsible for enhancing the dielectric constant in the interfacial region of polymer-based nanocomposites. Recent experiments indicate that the dielectric constant of a polymer matrix can be significantly increased by adding minute concentrations of inorganic nanofillers; this behavior is not described by available analytical models, as the low concentration of fillers is a negligible factor in volume-averaged models and most likely the enhancement is due to interfacial effects. To understand the origins of the augmented dielectric response in these nanocomposites, a theoretical model was developed, which permitted us to find a direct correlation between the dielectric properties and the mobility of the polymer chains. In addition to the theoretical framework, molecular dynamics simulations were implemented to verify the relationship between the dielectric constant and the mobility of the polymer. Further atomistic simulations were performed for the interface between the polymer and the inorganic nanofillers to assess the interfacial effects on the dielectric properties. High and low polymer mobility regions were identified in the interfacial region. The high mobility region showed a vibrational behavior similar to a fluid, while the vibrational characteristics of the low mobility region resembled a solid. The nanofiller induced free volume and shorter polymer chains, which led to an increase in the dielectric constant. It is thus predicted that nanofiller-induced modifications leading to increased interfacial polymer mobility and short intermingled chains will enhance the dielectric constant, making polymer-based nanocomposites suitable for the next generation of capacitors.

The lack of reliable predictive modeling methods and robust experimental techniques has hindered the rational design of hierarchical materials with desired structure–property–performance attributes suitable for extreme environments. With this context in mind, we explore the utility of ReaxFF reactive molecular dynamics (MD) simulations in combination with in-operando wide-angle X-ray scattering (WAXS) and X-ray pair distribution function (PDF) analyses. To demonstrate the method, we consider kaolinite, a natural hierarchical material, as the candidate and determine thermally induced chemical and structural transformations when heated from 298 to 1673 K. We first compare the key structural features from the PDF data and WAXS peaks obtained experimentally to those calculated from MD simulations. Upon observing excellent agreement, we proceed to elucidate the underlying chemical reaction mechanisms associated with dehydroxylation and sintering, identify intermediate and transition states, and also estimate energy barriers of individual reactions and their effects on the structural organization of kaolinite obtained using MD simulations. On heating from 298 to 873 K, dehydroxylation reactions lead to the transformation of crystalline kaolinite with octahedrally coordinated aluminum atoms to semicrystalline metakaolin with ∼90% tetrahedrally coordinated aluminum atoms. Sintering reactions and the subsequent emergence of mullite (a high-temperature phase of kaolinite) are observed on heating metakaolin from 1055 to 1673 K. We also find that heating rates have a significant effect on the onset temperature of dehydroxylation and sintering reactions. A rapid heating rate leads to early dehydroxylation (425 K) and sintering (1055 K), whereas a 10 times slower heating rate delays dehydroxylation (622 K) and sintering reactions (1100 K). An outcome of our method is a regime map that illustrates the degree of agreement between the experimental data and simulation results in describing the thermally induced onset of atomic-level reorganizations in materials. Herein, quantitative agreement between simulation predictions and experimental data is noted at lower temperatures (T< 1000 K), and minor deviations between these methods is noted for T> 1000 K. The remarkable agreement between the methods observed in our study reiterates the reliability of the combined ReaxFF approach in predicting material properties under chemically reactive and extreme conditions.

Amniote vertebrates share a suite of extra-embryonic membranes that distinguish them from anamniotes. Other than that, however, their reproductive characteristics could not be more different. They differ in basic ectothermic vs endothermic physiology, in that two clades evolved powered flight, and one clade evolved a protective shell. In terms of reproductive strategies, some produce eggs and others give birth to live young, at various degrees of development. Crucially, endotherms provide lengthy parental care, including thermal and food provisioning—whereas ectotherms seldom do. These differences could be expected to manifest themselves in major differences between clades in quantitative reproductive traits. We review the reproductive characteristics, and the distributions of brood sizes, breeding frequencies, offspring sizes and their derivatives (yearly fecundity and biomass production rates) of the four major amniote clades (mammals, birds, turtles and squamates), and several major subclades (birds: Palaeognathae, Galloanserae, Neoaves; mammals: Metatheria and Eutheria). While there are differences between these clades in some of these traits, they generally show similar ranges, distribution shapes and central tendencies across birds, placental mammals and squamates. Marsupials and turtles, however, differ in having smaller offspring, a strategy which subsequently influences other traits.