1. Developing a Risk-Model of Time to First-Relapse for Children and Adolescents With a Psychotic Disorder
- Author
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Gearing, Robin Edward, Mian, Irfan, Sholonsky, Aron, Barber, Jim, Nicholas, David, Lewis, Ralph, Solomon, Leigh, Williams, Cheryl, Lightbody, Shawna, Steele, Margaret, Davidson, Brenda, Manchanda, Rahul, Joseph, Llewellyn, Handelman, Kenneth, and Ickowicz, Abel
- Abstract
Individuals treated for psychotic disorders and mood disorders with psychotic features have a high likelihood of relapse across the life course. This study examines the relapse rate and its associated predictors for children and adolescents experiencing a first-episode and develops a statistical risk-model for prediction of time to first-relapse. A multiyear, retrospective cohort design was used to track youth, under the age of 18 years, who experienced a first-episode of psychosis, and were admitted to 1 of 6 inpatient hospital psychiatric units (N87). Participants were followed for at least 2 years (M3.9, SD1.3) using survival analysis. Approximately 60% of subjects experienced relapse requiring hospital readmission by the end of follow-up, with 33% readmitted within the first year and 44% within 2 years. Median survival time was 34 months. Cox proportional hazards regression identified 4 key risk factors for relapse: medication nonadherence, female gender, receiving clinical treatment, and a decline in social support before first admission.
- Published
- 2009
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