1. Diagnostic accuracy of quantitative dual-energy CT-based volumetric bone mineral density assessment for the prediction of osteoporosis-associated fractures
- Author
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Tatjana Gruber-Rouh, Julian L. Wichmann, Leona S. Alizadeh, Lukas Lenga, Leon D. Gruenewald, Christoph Mader, Tommaso D'Angelo, Christian Booz, Silvio Mazziotti, Vitali Koch, Katrin Eichler, Thomas J. Vogl, Simon S. Martin, Stefan Wesarg, Ibrahim Yel, Nicole A Huizinga, Moritz H. Albrecht, Publica, APH - Quality of Care, Biological Psychology, and APH - Mental Health
- Subjects
Lead Topic: Individual Health ,Research Line: Modeling (MOD) ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Bone diseases, Metabolic ,Bone density ,Osteoporosis ,CT dual-energy computed tomography ,Osteoporotic fractures ,Logistic regression ,dual-energy CT ,Medicine ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,ddc:610 ,Research Line: Computer vision (CV) ,Bone mineral ,bone mineral density (BMD) ,Receiver operating characteristic ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Ultrasound ,General Medicine ,Odds ratio ,medicine.disease ,Radiology ,Metabolic ,business ,Bone diseases - Abstract
Objectives To evaluate the predictive value of volumetric bone mineral density (BMD) assessment of the lumbar spine derived from phantomless dual-energy CT (DECT)-based volumetric material decomposition as an indicator for the 2-year occurrence risk of osteoporosis-associated fractures. Methods L1 of 92 patients (46 men, 46 women; mean age, 64 years, range, 19–103 years) who had undergone third-generation dual-source DECT between 01/2016 and 12/2018 was retrospectively analyzed. For phantomless BMD assessment, dedicated DECT postprocessing software using material decomposition was applied. Digital files of all patients were sighted for 2 years following DECT to obtain the incidence of osteoporotic fractures. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to calculate cut-off values and logistic regression models were used to determine associations of BMD, sex, and age with the occurrence of osteoporotic fractures. Results A DECT-derived BMD cut-off of 93.70 mg/cm3 yielded 85.45% sensitivity and 89.19% specificity for the prediction to sustain one or more osteoporosis-associated fractures within 2 years after BMD measurement. DECT-derived BMD was significantly associated with the occurrence of new fractures (odds ratio of 0.8710, 95% CI, 0.091–0.9375, p p Conclusions Retrospective DECT-based volumetric BMD assessment can accurately predict the 2-year risk to sustain an osteoporosis-associated fracture in at-risk patients without requiring a calibration phantom. Lower DECT-based BMD values are strongly associated with an increased risk to sustain fragility fractures. Key Points •Dual-energy CT–derived assessment of bone mineral density can identify patients at risk to sustain osteoporosis-associated fractures with a sensitivity of 85.45% and a specificity of 89.19%. •The DECT-derived BMD threshold for identification of at-risk patients lies above the American College of Radiology (ACR) QCT guidelines for the identification of osteoporosis (93.70 mg/cm3 vs 80 mg/cm3).
- Published
- 2022
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