1. Scenario Analysis of the Diffusion of Fuel Cells in the Residential Sector
- Author
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Yusuke Kishita, Yoshinori Hisazumi, Shinichi Fukushige, Yasuaki Nakamura, Yasushi Umeda, Akeshi Kegasa, and Tsukasa Hori
- Subjects
Engineering ,business.industry ,Environmental engineering ,Environmental economics ,Residential sector ,product diffusion ,Energy policy ,Scenario analysis ,Conjoint analysis ,fuel cell ,Waste heat ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Fuel cells ,conjoint analysis ,Environmental impact assessment ,residential energy system ,Diffusion (business) ,business ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
A fuel cell is a promising element for saving energy by utilizing waste heat for hot water supply. When assessing the influences of fuel cells in a real world, however, the question is how many fuel cells will be diffused in a region because there are many unpredictable factors, such as national energy policies and consumers’ lifestyles. This paper takes a scenario approach to analyzing the environmental impact caused by the diffusion of fuel cells under different social situations. A case study describes three scenarios for estimating the diffusion of solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) for apartment buildings in 2030, in which conjoint analysis is undertaken for quantifying consumers’ preferences.
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