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The clinical significance and treatment strategies for minimal acute rejection (grade A1), the most common form of acute rejection (AR), remain controversial. In this retrospective single-center cohort study of 441 lung transplant recipients, we formally evaluate the association between minimal AR and chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) and test a novel hypothesis using bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) CXCL9 concentration during minimal AR as a biomarker of subsequent CLAD development. In univariable and multivariable models adjusted for all histopathologic injury patterns, minimal AR was not associated with CLAD development. However, minimal AR with elevated BAL CXCL9 concentrations markedly increased CLAD risk in a dose-response manner. Minimal AR with CXCL9 concentrations greater than the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile had adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for CLAD of 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8-1.6), 1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.3), and 2.2 (95% CI 1.4-3.4), respectively. Thus we demonstrate the utility of BAL CXCL9 measurement as a prognostic biomarker that allows discrimination of recipients at increased risk of CLAD development after minimal AR. BAL CXCL9 measurement during transbronchial biopsies may provide clinically useful prognostic data and guide treatment decisions for this common form of AR, as a possible strategy to minimize CLAD development.

The impact of allograft injury time of onset on the risk of chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) remains unknown. We hypothesized that episodes of late-onset (≥6 months) allograft injury would produce an augmented CXCR3/ligand immune response, leading to increased CLAD. In a retrospective single-center study, 1894 transbronchial biopsy samples from 441 lung transplant recipients were reviewed for the presence of acute rejection (AR), lymphocytic bronchiolitis (LB), diffuse alveolar damage (DAD), and organizing pneumonia (OP). The association between the time of onset of each injury pattern and CLAD was assessed by using multivariable Cox models with time-dependent covariates. Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) CXCR3 ligand concentrations were compared between early- and late-onset injury patterns using linear mixed-effects models. Late-onset DAD and OP were strongly associated with CLAD: adjusted hazard ratio 2.8 (95% confidence interval 1.5-5.3) and 2.0 (1.1-3.4), respectively. The early-onset form of these injury patterns did not increase CLAD risk. Late-onset LB and acute rejection (AR) predicted CLAD in univariable models but lost significance after multivariable adjustment for late DAD and OP. AR was the only early-onset injury pattern associated with CLAD development. Elevated BAL CXCR3 ligand concentrations during late-onset allograft injury parallel the increase in CLAD risk and support our hypothesis that late allograft injuries result in a more profound CXCR3/ligand immune response.

Staphylococcus aureus is the most commonly isolated gram-positive bacterium after lung transplantation (LT) and has been associated with poor posttransplant outcomes, but its effect on bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) and death in the context of the allograft inflammatory environment has not been studied. A three-state Cox semi-Markovian model was used to determine the influence of allograft S. aureus and the ELR+ CXC chemokines on the survival rates and cause-specific hazards for movement from lung transplant (State 1) to BOS (State 2), from transplant (State 1) to death (State 3), and from BOS (State 2) to death (State 3). Acute rejection, pseudomonas pneumonia, bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) CXCL5 and its interaction with S. aureus all increased the likelihood of transition from transplant to BOS. Transition to death from transplant was facilitated by pseudomonas infection and single lung transplant. Movement from BOS to death was affected by the interaction between aspergillus, pseudomonas and CXCL5, but not S. aureus. S. aureus isolation had state specific effects after LT and only in concert with elevated BALF CXCL5 concentrations did it augment the risk of BOS. Pseudomonas and elevated BALF concentrations of CXCL5 continued as significant risk factors for BOS and death after BOS in lung transplantation.