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Many of the reports created at assembly lines, where all components of an aircraft are installed, frequently indicate that errors threaten safety. The proposed methodology in this study evaluates error prediction and risk mitigation to prevent failures and their consequences. The results linked to a typical electrical harness manufacture of a military aircraft estimated reductions of 93% in time and 90% in error during the creation of engineering manufacturing processes using AI techniques. However, traditional risk assessments methods struggle to identify and mitigate errors effectively. Thus, developing an advanced methodology to ensure systems safety is needed. This paper addresses how innovative AI technology solutions can overcome these challenges, mitigate error risks, and enhance safety in aerospace. Technologies, such as artificial intelligence, predictive algorithms, machine learning, and automation, can play a key role in enhancing safety. The aim of this study is to develop a model that considers the factors that can potentially contribute to error creation, through an artificial intelligence (AI) approach. The specific AI techniques used such as support vector machine, random forest, logistic regression, K-nearest neighbor, and XGBoost (Python 3.8.5) show good performance for use in error mitigation. We have compared the modeled values obtained in this study with the experimental ones. The results confirm that the best metrics are obtained by using support vector machine and logistic regression. The smallest deviation between the measured and modeled values for these AI methods do not exceed 5%. Furthermore, using advancements in machine learning methods can enhance error mitigation in aerospace. The use of AutoML can play a key role in automatically finding an appropriate model which provides the best performance metrics and therefore the most reliable forecast for data prediction and error mitigation.

Energy is a crucial necessity for human societies, and access to electrical energy plays a significant role in economic development. A state-owned enterprise (SOE) is entrusted with the provision of electrical energy across Indonesia. The objective of this study is to identify and assess risk factors within the supply chain of primary distribution materials at SOE. The identification of risk factors was based on a comprehensive review of literature across various industrial sectors, further validated through consultations with senior managers at the company. For the assessment of these risks, the study employed the modified Decision Matrix Risk Assessment methodology, which involves evaluating risks based on their likelihood and impact. This evaluation was conducted through surveys distributed to 66 respondents, including planning managers, distribution managers, and commercial managers across all regional and distribution main units in Indonesia. Two risk categories with five sub-categories and a total of 27 risk factors were identified. Supply-related risks are the most significant compared to the other four sub-categories. Scarcity of raw materials, lack of capacity flexibility, and failure to make delivery requirements are in the top three rankings. This research can enrich the supply chain risk literature and provide valuable insights for utility managers in understanding supply chain risks.

Energy is a crucial necessity for human societies, and access to electrical energy plays a significant role in economic development. A state-owned enterprise (SOE) is entrusted with the provision of electrical energy across Indonesia. The objective of this study is to identify and assess risk factors within the supply chain of primary distribution materials at SOE. The identification of risk factors was based on a comprehensive review of literature across various industrial sectors, further validated through consultations with senior managers at the company. For the assessment of these risks, the study employed the modified Decision Matrix Risk Assessment methodology, which involves evaluating risks based on their likelihood and impact. This evaluation was conducted through surveys distributed to 66 respondents, including planning managers, distribution managers, and commercial managers across all regional and distribution main units in Indonesia. Two risk categories with five sub-categories and a total of 27 risk factors were identified. Supply-related risks are the most significant compared to the other four sub-categories. Scarcity of raw materials, lack of capacity flexibility, and failure to make delivery requirements are in the top three rankings. This research can enrich the supply chain risk literature and provide valuable insights for utility managers in understanding supply chain risks.

Safety is the priority of the aviation industry that requires continuous support and improvement. While the Safety Management Systems (SMS) is mandatory for the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Federal Aviation Regulation (FAR) Part 121 air carriers and Part 139 airports in the United States, SMS remains optional to General Aviation (GA) due to various reasons including limited budget and manpower associated with technologies. This paper aims to promote the adoption of MATLAB® to develop a low-cost Risk Assessment Matrix of Operational Safety (RAMOS) (risk calculation and control) for GA operators. A case is presented to demonstrate the application of MATLAB® for the safety committee’s usage when going through risk assessment, control options, and decision making via a computer, tablet, or smartphone. A future comprehensive risk management toolkit can be expected with the introduction of RAMOS using MATLAB®.

The risk matrix can be discovered by first identifying the hazards at the work stages. The cleaning service occupation has a risk of hazards during work. Cleaning service occupation becomes a job which often intersects with biological, ergonomic, physical, chemical and psychological hazards. If these hazards are not handled properly, they can cause work accidents, illness and even fatality. Identifying hazards at work is the initial stage before conducting risk assessment and mapping. The study aims to map the level of risk in the cleaning service occupation. The study used a quantitative analytical method with an observational approach. Data was collected by doing observation and filling out Hazard Identification Risk Assessment (HIRA) form. The result reveals several levels of risk appearing in the risk matrix for cleaning service employees. Most of the risk matrix levels seen in the cleaning service occupation are "high risk", and "moderate risk" appears in a small percentage. According to the result, the recommended actions are controlling the hazard through repairing work tools followingthe physiology of cleaning service workers, providing periodic recess on each work shift, socializing regarding the nature and types of materials and how to handle chemicals properly, and providing appropriate PPE facilities for the type of activity occupation.

The risk matrix can be discovered by first identifying the hazards at the work stages. The cleaning service occupation has a risk of hazards during work. Cleaning service occupation becomes a job which often intersects with biological, ergonomic, physical, chemical and psychological hazards. If these hazards are not handled properly, they can cause work accidents, illness and even fatality. Identifying hazards at work is the initial stage before conducting risk assessment and mapping. The study aims to map the level of risk in the cleaning service occupation. The study used a quantitative analytical method with an observational approach. Data was collected by doing observation and filling out Hazard Identification Risk Assessment (HIRA) form. The result reveals several levels of risk appearing in the risk matrix for cleaning service employees. Most of the risk matrix levels seen in the cleaning service occupation are "high risk", and "moderate risk" appears in a small percentage. According to the result, the recommended actions are controlling the hazard through repairing work tools followingthe physiology of cleaning service workers, providing periodic recess on each work shift, socializing regarding the nature and types of materials and how to handle chemicals properly, and providing appropriate PPE facilities for the type of activity occupation.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

Introduction: In Cuba, there are plans to conduct patient-specific therapy for hyperthyroidism. A methodology and computational tools have been developed for this purpose. Risk analysis will allow us to undertake this practice with quality and safety.Objective: To analyze the radiological risks in the patient –specific therapy for hyperthyroidism in Cuba.Material and Methods: The generic patient-specific Nuclear Medicine model was reviewed and adapted. Inherent and residual risk were determined with the Cuban code SECURE MR-FMEA version 3.0; the stages of the process, the initiating events, the most contributing measures and causes, and the consequences for the exposed groups were identified.Results: A high level of risk was obtained, which was controlled with additional measures. The most significant stages are the acquisition of pre- and post-treatment images, and the preparation of the radiopharmaceutical. The most important preventive measures are: maintaining a moderate workload of the staff, and the training of the medical physicist and the specialists who perform the project reviews at the stages in service design. Patients have very high consequences in 10,7 % of accidental sequences. However, the workers and the public show average consequences at 29 % and 16 %, respectively. Non-compliance with practices, protocols, procedures or standards is the predominant underlying cause of failure.Conclusions: Decision-making for the implementation of patient-specific therapy for hyperthyroidism in Cuba, based on the use of the methodology proposed in this research, is facilitated., Introducción: En Cuba, se prevé realizar la terapia paciente específica del hipertiroidismo. Se han desarrollado una metodología y herramientas computacionales con este propósito. El análisis del riesgo permitirá acometer con calidad y seguridad dicha práctica.Objetivo: Analizar los riesgos radiológicos en la terapia paciente específica del hipertiroidismo en Cuba.Material y Métodos: Se revisó y adaptó el modelo genérico de Medicina Nuclear paciente específica. Con el código cubano SECURE MR-FMEA versión 3.0 se determinaron el riesgo inherente y el residual, se identificaron las etapas del proceso, los sucesos iniciadores, las medidas y causas más contribuyentes, así como las consecuencias para los grupos expuestos.Resultados: Se obtuvo un nivel alto de riesgo que se controló con las medidas adicionadas. Las etapas más significativas son: la adquisición de imágenes pre- y post- tratamiento y la preparación del radiofármaco. Las medidas preventivas más importantes son: mantener una carga de trabajo moderada para el personal, las capacitaciones del físico médico y de los especialistas que realizan las revisiones del proyecto en la etapa de diseño del servicio. Los pacientes tienen consecuencias muy altas en 10,7 % de las secuencias accidentales. Sin embargo, los trabajadores y el público presentan consecuencias medias en 29 % y 16 %, respectivamente. El incumplimiento de prácticas, protocolos, procedimientos o normas es la causa básica de fallo predominante.Conclusiones: Se facilita la toma de decisiones para la implementación del tratamiento paciente específico del hipertiroidismo en Cuba, a partir del empleo de la metodología que se propone en esta investigación.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

Investments in mini hydropower plants (MHPP) in Serbia are associated with numerous risks, both in the con-struction and exploitation phases. To assess these risks, this study proposes a methodology combining fault tree analysis and risk matrix using data obtained through a survey and semi-structured interviews with domain experts. Conducting qualitative fault tree analysis, 21 events have been identified that may jeopardize the success of the mini hydropower plant project finance. Based on expert assessments of probability of these events and their financial, reputational, and environmental impacts, risk matrix results showed that public protests, lack of projects sponsors' capital, and problems related to hydrology can be considered as events with the highest risk. In addition, quantitative analysis has been conducted to obtain the priority of measures for risk elimination or reduction. The quantitative fault tree analysis and three importance measures have indicated that measures must first be taken to prevent public protests during the implementation and exploitation phases, and a risk of watercourse abuse in the MHPP project.

Corrosion effects on structural integrity and life of oil rig welded pipes are analysed by experimental, analytical, and numerical methods. Experiments were performed using standard tensile specimens and CT specimens for static loading, Charpy specimens for impact loading, and 3 Point Bending specimens for fatigue crack growth with amplitude loading. In each case new and old pipes were used to evaluate corrosion effects. Results indicated negligible corrosion effects in the case of tensile properties and impact toughness, and strong effects in the case of fracture toughness and especially fatigue crack growth rates, increasing the risk of static failure and reducing significantly structural life. Analytical expressions are used for oil rig pipe structural integrity and life assessment to quantify these effects. Recently introduced risk-based approach is applied to analyse oil rig drill pipe with a corrosion defect treated as a surface crack.

A fundamental requirement of any environmental management system for industrial sites is the identification and assessment of risk. To meet international standards in terms of environmental protection and preservation, industrial sites should ensure that a comprehensive environmental risk management process is in place by systematically identifying and managing risks arising from internal and external factors. The purpose of this study was to develop a new methodology to determine the significance of environmental hazardous situations associated with a process or activity. It uses qualitative or quantitative techniques to pinpoint weaknesses in design, operation, and lines of defense provided by engineering and administrative controls, which can lead to an environmentally hazardous event. It may also provide an assessment of risk resulting from the magnitude of the consequence and the probability of the environmental event occurring. The fundamental principle of this new risk-based hazard methodology is that whilst risk cannot be eliminated, it should be possible to reduce to ALARP (as low as reasonably practicable), and the environmental risk matrix could be a useful tool for establishing if an environmental risk rating is tolerable or not based on the likelihood and consequences. The outcome of this study is developing a new environmental risk matrix based on different consequences (health, environmental, reputation, and business interruption) with likelihood criteria. This matrix could be applied by industrial sites to identify and control their environmental risks.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

En la actualidad la ferretería no cuenta con ningún plan que promueva lugares seguros de trabajo en las instalaciones de la empresa y el trabajo en casa, además de mitigar la incidencia de molestias a nivel ergonómico y accidentes de trabajo. Por esta razón, se plantea un plan de prevención, el cual tiene como finalidad prevenir y controlar los riesgos; para el desarrollo de este, se identificaron y valoraron los peligros presentes para cada puesto de trabajo que se desempeña en Ferretería Acosta de acuerdo a la estructura organizacional diseñada por medio de un organigrama, teniendo en cuenta además los puestos de trabajo que realizan sus actividades en casa resultado de la pandemia, por medio de la guía técnica colombiana (GTC 45); según los riesgos identificados el que mayor nivel de riesgo por peligro que se presentó fueron los riesgos biomecánicos, por medio de un análisis se identificaron las molestias y factores de riesgo con ayuda de encuestas y matrices integrando la participación de los trabajadores de acuerdo a las actividades diarias que realizan usando el método Ergopar, el cual permite proponer medidas preventivas de acuerdo a los riesgos identificados para propiciar ambientes seguros a sus trabajadores.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

Thesis presents a study of the fatigue life of welded steel tubes made of API J55 steel, using the parameters of the fracture mechanics obtained on the basis of experimental research. At the same time, analyses the integrity using a FAD diagram and estimates the remaining life of welded tubes made of API J55 steel, based on experimental data, using the extended finite element method (XFEM) as one of the new calculation techniques integrated into the Abaqus software package. For simple geometries analytical methods are developed and applied., Teza predstavalja studiju procene zamornog veka zavarenih cevi napravljenih od API J55 čelika, koristeći parametre i svojstva mehanike loma, određenih eksperimentalno. Integritet cevi je određen primenom FAD dijagrama, na osnovu koga je procenjen i rizik od loma, koristeći originalnu metodu preko matrice rizika. Preostali vek je određen takođe na osnovu eksperimentalnih podataka o koeficijnetima Parisov zakona za čelik API J55, primenom relativno nove numeričke metode, tzv. proširene Metode Konalnih Elemenata (pMKE), ugrađene u ABAQUS softver. Za slučaj jednostavne geometrije razrađena je i primenjena analitička metoda.

[ES] El objetivo principal que persigue el presente Trabajo Final de Máster consiste en el estudio y elaboración del Plan Interior Marítimo de la terminal portuaria del Guadalquivir Primeramente, se realizará una introducción al sector marítimo analizando y comparándolo con otros sectores. En segundo lugar, se lleva a cabo el estudio para la realización del Plan Interior Marítimo donde principalmente se evalúan todos los posibles riesgos que puede presentar la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir recogidos en una matriz de riesgos que permite obtener un valor cualitativo del riesgo de cada tipo de accidente. Para la elaboración de la matriz es imprescindible la identificación de los peligros y tener claro los criterios de evaluación principales: el de probabilidad, el de gravedad y el de vulnerabilidad Seguidamente, con ayuda de esta matriz, se plantea un procedimiento de actuación frente accidentes. Por último, se plantean nuevas medidas preventivas para la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir y se procede a una reevaluación de los riesgos de la terminal., [EN] The main objective pursued by this Master's Final Project consists in the preparation of the Maritime Interior Plan for the Guadalquivir port terminal. First, an introduction to the maritime sector will be made, analyzing and comparing it with other sectors. Secondly, the Maritime Interior Plan is carried out, which mainly evaluates all the possible risks that the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal may present, collected in a risk matrix that allows obtaining a qualitative value of the risk of each type of accident. For the preparation of the matrix, it is essential to identify the hazards and be clear about the main evaluation criteria: probability, severity and vulnerability. Next, with the help of this matrix, a procedure for action against accidents is proposed. Finally, new preventive measures are proposed for the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal and a re-evaluation of the risks of the terminal are carried out.

[ES] El objetivo principal que persigue el presente Trabajo Final de Máster consiste en el estudio y elaboración del Plan Interior Marítimo de la terminal portuaria del Guadalquivir Primeramente, se realizará una introducción al sector marítimo analizando y comparándolo con otros sectores. En segundo lugar, se lleva a cabo el estudio para la realización del Plan Interior Marítimo donde principalmente se evalúan todos los posibles riesgos que puede presentar la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir recogidos en una matriz de riesgos que permite obtener un valor cualitativo del riesgo de cada tipo de accidente. Para la elaboración de la matriz es imprescindible la identificación de los peligros y tener claro los criterios de evaluación principales: el de probabilidad, el de gravedad y el de vulnerabilidad Seguidamente, con ayuda de esta matriz, se plantea un procedimiento de actuación frente accidentes. Por último, se plantean nuevas medidas preventivas para la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir y se procede a una reevaluación de los riesgos de la terminal., [EN] The main objective pursued by this Master's Final Project consists in the preparation of the Maritime Interior Plan for the Guadalquivir port terminal. First, an introduction to the maritime sector will be made, analyzing and comparing it with other sectors. Secondly, the Maritime Interior Plan is carried out, which mainly evaluates all the possible risks that the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal may present, collected in a risk matrix that allows obtaining a qualitative value of the risk of each type of accident. For the preparation of the matrix, it is essential to identify the hazards and be clear about the main evaluation criteria: probability, severity and vulnerability. Next, with the help of this matrix, a procedure for action against accidents is proposed. Finally, new preventive measures are proposed for the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal and a re-evaluation of the risks of the terminal are carried out.

[ES] El objetivo principal que persigue el presente Trabajo Final de Máster consiste en el estudio y elaboración del Plan Interior Marítimo de la terminal portuaria del Guadalquivir Primeramente, se realizará una introducción al sector marítimo analizando y comparándolo con otros sectores. En segundo lugar, se lleva a cabo el estudio para la realización del Plan Interior Marítimo donde principalmente se evalúan todos los posibles riesgos que puede presentar la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir recogidos en una matriz de riesgos que permite obtener un valor cualitativo del riesgo de cada tipo de accidente. Para la elaboración de la matriz es imprescindible la identificación de los peligros y tener claro los criterios de evaluación principales: el de probabilidad, el de gravedad y el de vulnerabilidad Seguidamente, con ayuda de esta matriz, se plantea un procedimiento de actuación frente accidentes. Por último, se plantean nuevas medidas preventivas para la Terminal Marítima del Guadalquivir y se procede a una reevaluación de los riesgos de la terminal., [EN] The main objective pursued by this Master's Final Project consists in the preparation of the Maritime Interior Plan for the Guadalquivir port terminal. First, an introduction to the maritime sector will be made, analyzing and comparing it with other sectors. Secondly, the Maritime Interior Plan is carried out, which mainly evaluates all the possible risks that the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal may present, collected in a risk matrix that allows obtaining a qualitative value of the risk of each type of accident. For the preparation of the matrix, it is essential to identify the hazards and be clear about the main evaluation criteria: probability, severity and vulnerability. Next, with the help of this matrix, a procedure for action against accidents is proposed. Finally, new preventive measures are proposed for the Guadalquivir Maritime Terminal and a re-evaluation of the risks of the terminal are carried out.

This thesis explores how decision makers could use the Monterey Phoenix (MP) behavior modeling tool developed at the Naval Postgraduate School to assess, visualize, and prioritize cyber risk in a supply chain. Assessing supply chain risk is a complex problem because of the inter-relationships among various parts of the system and between the system and its environment. This thesis applies and extends a reusable methodology to analyze risk in MP, developed by Navy LCDR Richard Moebius in 2018, to the use case of a cyber-attack on a jet fuel supply chain, first modeled by student interns from the National Security Agency. It assesses and displays risk for single- and multi-threat use cases, and for the first time, adds the global report to an MP model for assessing risk. It demonstrates how MP can overcome the limitations of existing tools, like the risk table, risk map, and risk matrix. For example, MP automatically generates an exhaustive list of potential risk scenarios; MP sequence diagrams provide context on the system, its environment, and relationships among different risks; MP easily and quickly updates the model to support "what if" questions; and MP displays aggregate and average risk across the system and sorts scenarios by a user-defined risk threshold. Finally, the work describes how decision makers from different backgrounds can interact with the MP model to improve their understanding and prioritization of risk., Outstanding Thesis, Civilian, Department of the Navy, Approved for public release. Distribution is unlimited.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

La minería ha sido una de las actividades económicas más expuesta a riesgos dentro de la economía de un país, debido a la gran complejidad del desarrollo de sus procesos; es por esto, por lo que las comercializadoras internacionales de oro están directamente ligadas a ciertos riesgos de esta actividad económica. Con lo anterior surge la necesidad de identificar y cuantificar los riesgos operativos existentes, y por medio de controles, análisis y seguimiento, minimizar los impactos que afecten directamente la razón de ser de la organización. En este trabajo se hará hincapié en los riesgos operativos del proceso financiero de la compañía, tomando como base los lineamientos de la ISO 31000, teniendo en cuenta que no existe una normatividad de riesgos específica para el sector de la empresa y, de esta forma, proponer un Sistema de Administración de Riesgos Operativos, que permita gestionar los riesgos identificados., Mining has been one of the economic activities most exposed to risks within the economy of a country, due to the great complexity of the development of its processes; this is why international gold trading companies are directly linked to certain risks of this economic activity. With the foregoing, the need arises to identify and quantify the existing operational risks, and through controls, analysis and monitoring, minimize the impacts that directly affect the reason for being of the organization. In this work, emphasis will be placed on the operational risks of the company's financial process, based on the guidelines of ISO 31000, taking into account that there is no specific risk regulation for the company's sector, and in this way propose an Operational Risk Management System, which enables the identified risks to be managed.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

Thesis presents a study of the fatigue life of welded steel tubes made of API J55 steel, using the parameters of the fracture mechanics obtained on the basis of experimental research. At the same time, analyses the integrity using a FAD diagram and estimates the remaining life of welded tubes made of API J55 steel, based on experimental data, using the extended finite element method (XFEM) as one of the new calculation techniques integrated into the Abaqus software package. For simple geometries analytical methods are developed and applied., Teza predstavalja studiju procene zamornog veka zavarenih cevi napravljenih od API J55 čelika, koristeći parametre i svojstva mehanike loma, određenih eksperimentalno. Integritet cevi je određen primenom FAD dijagrama, na osnovu koga je procenjen i rizik od loma, koristeći originalnu metodu preko matrice rizika. Preostali vek je određen takođe na osnovu eksperimentalnih podataka o koeficijnetima Parisov zakona za čelik API J55, primenom relativno nove numeričke metode, tzv. proširene Metode Konalnih Elemenata (pMKE), ugrađene u ABAQUS softver. Za slučaj jednostavne geometrije razrađena je i primenjena analitička metoda.

El presente proyecto busca implementar las buenas prácticas de la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018 Gestión del Riesgo en la organización Fundación Universidad de América para los procesos implicados en la certificación de la norma NTC-ISO 9001:2015 Sistemas de gestión de la calidad y la norma NTC-ISO 45001:2018 Sistemas de gestión de seguridad y salud en el trabajo. En primera instancia, se realizó un diagnóstico para conocer el cumplimiento de los procesos en referencia a lo exigido por la norma NTC-ISO 31000:2018; con este análisis se identificó la necesidad de implementar la gestión del riesgo bajo la metodología de la norma, dentro de este plan de implementación se especifica que se debe sensibilizar y formar al personal en la gestión del riesgo.

During a public emergency, which possibly evolves into a major public crisis, it is critical to quickly identify the main risk factors and assess the levels of risk, in order to efficiently manage the risks. In this study, about 40 000 emergencies in China over the past decade are investigated. Then, the five different types of risk factors are identified of these emergencies using the 5W1H methodology, including risk time (When), risk location (Where), risk population (Who), risk psychology (Why) and risk element (What), which lead to a risk matrix that is suitable for China’s national conditions. Based on this risk matrix, combined with expert knowledge, the Borda count and the analytic hierarchy process analysis, risk levels can be precisely assessed, solving ‘how to provide a solution’ (How), which provides decision-making guidance and facilitates prompt risk responses.

During a public emergency, which possibly evolves into a major public crisis, it is critical to quickly identify the main risk factors and assess the levels of risk, in order to efficiently manage the risks. In this study, about 40 000 emergencies in China over the past decade are investigated. Then, the five different types of risk factors are identified of these emergencies using the 5W1H methodology, including risk time (When), risk location (Where), risk population (Who), risk psychology (Why) and risk element (What), which lead to a risk matrix that is suitable for China’s national conditions. Based on this risk matrix, combined with expert knowledge, the Borda count and the analytic hierarchy process analysis, risk levels can be precisely assessed, solving ‘how to provide a solution’ (How), which provides decision-making guidance and facilitates prompt risk responses.

Introduction: Risk assessment in quality and safety management allows the continuous improvement of the medical services in Cuba. In Therapeutic Nuclear Medicine, it is a regulatory requirement which allows the continuity of these services to the population. Objective: To assess radiological risks with an integrated approach focused on underlying causes of failure in the mentioned practice. Material and Methods: The generic risk model was reviewed and adapted for each case study. The prospective methods of risk assessment matrix of failure modes and effects and incident learning lessons from the events registered were used applying the Cuban code SECURE MR-FMEA version 3.0. The inherent risk, treatment, and residual risk in the practice were determined. The stages of the process, measurements, and the main contributing causes were identified.Results: There was no risk higher than the high level. Radiosynoviorthesis and the radioactive treatment of the Polycythemia Vera had the greatest amount of modifications to the generic model. The most significant stages are clinical prescription, preparation of the radiopharmaceutical formulation and administration. The most important preventive measures are to maintain a moderate workload for the personnel, and the training of the nuclear physicians and the technician who performs the administration.Conclusions: There is a non-uniformity in the level of quality and safety among the NTM services in Cuba. For change, decision-making is benefited in terms of effectiveness and efficiency by integrating prospective and reactive risk assessment methods., Introducción: El análisis de riesgo en la gestión de la calidad y seguridad permite la mejora continua de los servicios médicos en Cuba. En Medicina Nuclear Terapéutica es requisito regulador que permite la continuidad de estos servicios a la población.Objetivo: Analizar los riesgos radiológicos con enfoque integrador dirigido a causas básicas de fallo en la práctica citada.Material y métodos: Se revisó y adaptó el modelo genérico de riesgo para cada caso de estudio. Los métodos prospectivos de matriz de riesgo y análisis de modos y efectos de fallo y reactivo de aprendizaje de las lecciones de sucesos registrados fueron utilizados con el código cubano SECURE MR-FMEA versión 3.0. Se determinó el riesgo inherente, su tratamiento y el riesgo residual por práctica. Se identificaron las etapas del proceso, las medidas y las causas básicas más contribuyentes.Resultados: No se obtuvo riesgo superior al del nivel alto. La radiosinoviortesis y el tratamiento radiactivo de la policitemia vera tuvieron la mayor cantidad de modificaciones al modelo genérico. Las etapas más significativas son prescripción clínica, preparación del radiofármaco y administración. Las medidas preventivas de mayor importancia son mantener una carga de trabajo moderada para el personal, las capacitaciones de los médicos nucleares y del técnico que realiza la administración.Conclusiones: Existe una no uniformidad en el nivel de calidad y seguridad entre los servicios analizados. Para el cambio, la adopción de decisiones se ve beneficiada en su eficacia y eficiencia, al integrarse los métodos prospectivos y reactivos de análisis de riesgo.

Underground laboratories provide a unique environment for various industries and are the perfect place for developing new technologies for mining, geophysical surveys, radiation detection as well as many other studies and measurements. Unfortunately working in underground excavations is associated with exposure to many hazards not encountered in the laboratories located on the surface. Water inflow, gas burst, roof fall and even seismic hazards translate into high accident rates in the underground mining industry across the globe. Therefore, to minimise the risk of serious accidents, a lot of research investigations related to the development of effective risk assessment procedures are being carried out. One of the initiatives aimed at improving the work safety in underground laboratories in the Baltic Sea Innovation Network project implemented under the Interreg Baltic Sea Region Programme. This study presents the process of compiling a database on hazards within underground laboratories. Finally, a proposal of unification of the procedure for risk assessment, including methods for determining the likelihood and potential impact of unwanted events has been developed.

Risk based analysis of reverse hydro power plant penstock structural integrity is performed using fracture mechanics parameters. To assess its structural integrity, extensive testing of the full-scale prototype had been performed, including hydrostatic over-pressurizing, during the design phase. More recently, the Failure Assessment Diagram has been used to evaluate probability, whereas phenomenological analysis has been used to estimate consequence, in the scope of common risk estimation. It is shown that over-pressuring has potential detrimental effect on pipeline safety, i.e. structural integrity.

Risk based analysis of reverse hydro power plant penstock structural integrity is performed using fracture mechanics parameters. To assess its structural integrity, extensive testing of the full-scale prototype had been performed, including hydrostatic over-pressurizing, during the design phase. More recently, the Failure Assessment Diagram has been used to evaluate probability, whereas phenomenological analysis has been used to estimate consequence, in the scope of common risk estimation. It is shown that over-pressuring has potential detrimental effect on pipeline safety, i.e. structural integrity.

This article discusses the relationship between the mandates to achieve increased operational safety and the application of risk management strategies. That commercial airlines must operate at the highest level of safety is mandated by statute. FAA regulation, 14 CFR part 5, outlines the FAA response to the requirements of ICAO Annex 19, Safety Management, by establishing requirements for certificate holders to develop a Safety Management System with 4 components: (a) Safety Policy; (b) Safety Risk Management; (c) Safety Assurance; and (d) Safety Promotion. Safety is a tangible and intangible element foundational to the successful commercial airline sector. A structured multi-layered risk analysis is the basis for operational decisions that support that premise. To achieve the next level of safety, this article outlines the multi-layered risk management practices required to support safety goals. At the strategic level, management should implement a predictive risk management process to forecast future potential hazards and allocate organizational financial and materiel resources to mitigate risks. At the intermediate tactical risk level, flight crews should use a Risk Assessment tool or a PAVE or DECIDE mnemonic as a formalized, structured proactive risk management tool. The 3P model provides a more immediate reactive risk management decision tool to analyze rapidly changing conditions and to adjust the course of action required to effect the desired safe outcome. The article posits that this multi-layered approach to analyzing hazards and implementing appropriate risk mitigation strategies is mandatory to achieve a future of continued operational safety improvements in the commercial airline sector.

Článek se zabývá možnostmi numerického zpracování expertních analýz při použití matice rizik. Pro obvyklý způsob výpočtu rizika není běžná podoba matice rizik odpovídající. Pro často používanou podobu matice rizika je navržen modifkovaný výpočet rizika. V článku jsou popsány varianty numerických výstupů z matice rizik, mimo jiné pomocí nástrojů fuzzy logiky. Příspěvek byl prezentován na konferenci ExFoS 2019 ve dnech 24.–25. ledna 2019., The article deals with possibilities of numerical processing of expert analysis using a risk matrix. The usual form of risk matrix is not corresponding for the ordinary way of the risk rate calculating. A modified rate risk calculation is designed for the frequently used form of risk matrix. Variants of numerical output data form from the risk matrix are described, using fuzzy logic tools, among other things. The paper was presented at the ExFoS 2019 conference, 24–25th January.

Infrastructures have become important for the holistic growth of any country. With the number of such projects being constantly on the rise each year, its efficient maintenance has become a primary requirement for any asset owner. Among the many techniques available, FMECA is widely used for maintenance planning. In this method, different critical components are identified based on their likelihood of failure and impact on the infrastructure. Based on the inferences obtained, maintenance plans are developed where interventions are prioritized based on a component’s criticality within the system. FMECA uses risk matrices to assess criticalities semi-quantitatively. This lacks the required quantifiable information of a component in a system. A component by design can either be individual or exist as a subsystem comprising several components. To analyze criticalities accurately, quantitative information that can provide insights on a component’s state in the system is required. Hence, this thesis develops a new approach that could eliminate subjective errors in conventional criticality analysis. The new and conventional approach was applied to two infrastructures to observe and discuss the variations in results obtained. The comparative study showcased that the new approach provided better quantitative reasonings for criticalities obtained for each component. Using the unique implementation of the obtained quantitative data as done in the current research, developing realistic and accurate maintenance strategies is possible., Civil Engineering | Construction Management and Engineering

The paper deals with risk management in the organization SFINX in the Czech Republic. Firstly, there is a literature review of risk management. Secondly, there is a used methodology part. In this part is discussed SWOT analysis and risk matrix with a modified score method. In the questionnaire, the risks were divided into A) Production risks (technical, social, purchasing, distribution), B) Economic risks, C) Market risks, D) Financial risks, E) Political risks. The probability of the occurrence of the risk was assessed: value one for the lowest occurrence, while value five for the highest, the most probable occurrence. The impact was assessed similar: number one for the least serious impact, while number five for the most severe effect. Based on the questionnaire were evaluated the most critical risks that threaten the organization from the perspective of employees. The resulting risk is determined by the product of the probability and impact of the risk. In this paper, risk was determined by multiplying the average values of probability and impact of the selected risk. The averages of these two quantities were obtained based on a questionnaire survey. Then the selected risks were entered on the map, for the risks placed in the significant risk values quadrant and the critical risk values quadrant, the scoring method recommends making proposals to reduce them. In this work, the technique will be adjusted so that the probability and impact will be evaluated from 1 to 5. In the end of the paper, there are presented the results based on the mentioned methodology - the most severe risks that may threaten the organization. Finally, there is recommendations for the organization.

Organizations develop their activities within a context exposed to considerable risks that threaten their survival over time. The main goal of this research was to make a diagnosis of the risk management related to the supply of strategic inputs in a fertilizer industry located in Bahía Blanca, with the aim of developing a risk matrix that allowed their management. According to the research objectives, a qualitative and descriptive approach was chosen, through the case study. Internal and external risks to which the process was exposed were identified. From the construction of the risk matrix, it was possible to identify graphically the risks that were more critical and required immediate action. Finally, control actions were proposed in order to manage all the risks identified., Las organizaciones desarrollan sus actividades en contextos expuestos a infinidad de riesgos que amenazan su continuidad en el tiempo. El presente trabajo de investigación tiene como objetivo la realización de un diagnóstico de la administración de riesgos vinculados al suministro y gestión de insumos críticos para el proceso de producción de fertilizantes de una empresa industrial de la ciudad de Bahía Blanca, con la finalidad de desarrollar una matriz de riesgos que permita su gestión. En función del objetivo, se optó por un enfoque de carácter cualitativo y con propósito descriptivo a través del estudio de caso. Se identificaron los riesgos internos y externos a los que se encuentra expuesto el proceso analizado. Estos fueron presentados en la matriz de riesgos, lo que permitió detectar aquellos que poseen mayor criticidad y que requieren una acción de corrección inmediata. Finalmente, se propusieron acciones de control para gestionarlos.

Organizations develop their activities within a context exposed to considerable risks that threaten their survival over time. The main goal of this research was to make a diagnosis of the risk management related to the supply of strategic inputs in a fertilizer industry located in Bahía Blanca, with the aim of developing a risk matrix that allowed their management. According to the research objectives, a qualitative and descriptive approach was chosen, through the case study. Internal and external risks to which the process was exposed were identified. From the construction of the risk matrix, it was possible to identify graphically the risks that were more critical and required immediate action. Finally, control actions were proposed in order to manage all the risks identified., Las organizaciones desarrollan sus actividades en contextos expuestos a infinidad de riesgos que amenazan su continuidad en el tiempo. El presente trabajo de investigación tiene como objetivo la realización de un diagnóstico de la administración de riesgos vinculados al suministro y gestión de insumos críticos para el proceso de producción de fertilizantes de una empresa industrial de la ciudad de Bahía Blanca, con la finalidad de desarrollar una matriz de riesgos que permita su gestión. En función del objetivo, se optó por un enfoque de carácter cualitativo y con propósito descriptivo a través del estudio de caso. Se identificaron los riesgos internos y externos a los que se encuentra expuesto el proceso analizado. Estos fueron presentados en la matriz de riesgos, lo que permitió detectar aquellos que poseen mayor criticidad y que requieren una acción de corrección inmediata. Finalmente, se propusieron acciones de control para gestionarlos.

Článek se zabývá možnostmi numerického zpracování expertních analýz při použití matice rizik. Pro obvyklý způsob výpočtu rizika není běžná podoba matice rizik odpovídající. Pro často používanou podobu matice rizika je navržen modifkovaný výpočet rizika. V článku jsou popsány varianty numerických výstupů z matice rizik, mimo jiné pomocí nástrojů fuzzy logiky. Příspěvek byl prezentován na konferenci ExFoS 2019 ve dnech 24.–25. ledna 2019., The article deals with possibilities of numerical processing of expert analysis using a risk matrix. The usual form of risk matrix is not corresponding for the ordinary way of the risk rate calculating. A modified rate risk calculation is designed for the frequently used form of risk matrix. Variants of numerical output data form from the risk matrix are described, using fuzzy logic tools, among other things. The paper was presented at the ExFoS 2019 conference, 24–25th January.

This paper presents decision-making model for maintenance strategy selection. Problem of right maintenance strategy selection is one of the most important problem in manufacturing enterprises, process industries or enterprises where failure of equipment has major impact on production flow, people, environment or business costs. Presented decision making model for maintenance strategy selection takes into account risk exposure to mechanical equipment failure, business costs, people health and environmental safety. At the other hand each strategy options has its benefits expressed by cost savings. This decision making model for maintenance strategy selection try to optimize between these opposite influential criteria.

The effect of proof over-pressure on pipeline structural integrity using fracture mechanics parameters is analysed in the case of pipeline in Reversed Hydro Power Plant, made of High Strength Low Alloyed steel with 800 MPa tensile strength due to special design requirements. To assess its structural integrity, extensive testing of the full-scale prototype had been performed, including hydrostatic pressurizing. Since plastic strain was recorded during proof over-pressurizing, special attention is given to the fact that this is actually a mechanism for crack initiation and propagation. To investigate this effect micromechanical modelling is considered, as well as the Failure Assessment Diagramme. It is shown that over-pressuring has potential detrimental effect on pipeline safety, i. e. structural integrity.

The large financial resources invested in technology in organizations should be evaluated by specific and well-planned audits using appropriate tools. This paper seeks to develop the Information Systems Risk Matrices within the State Executive Branch of Ceará, in order to meet the need for planning the specialized audits of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) of General Comptroller and Ombudsman’s Office (CGE/CE). The methodology used was a quantitative research based on a questionnaire sent by CGE/CE to forty entities of the Ceará State Government, which allowed the evaluation of 611 computerized systems. The result are tools that enables the objective classification of the most critical government systems, as well as which entities have the highest inclination to be audited by the CGE/CE. From this case study, we intend to encourage discussions related to ICT audit planning activities., Os grandes recursos financeiros investidos em tecnologia nas organizações devem ser avaliados por auditorias específicas e bem planejadas por meio de ferramentas apropriadas. Este artigo busca o desenvolvimento de matrizes de risco de Sistemas de Informação no âmbito do Poder Executivo Estadual do Ceará, com o objetivo de atender à necessidade de planejamento das auditorias especializadas de Tecnologia da Informação e Comunicação (TIC) da Controladoria e Ouvidoria Geral do Estado do Ceará (CGE/CE). A metodologia utilizada foi pesquisa quantitativa a partir de questionário enviado pela CGE/CE para quarenta entidades do Governo do Estado do Ceará, possibilitando a avaliação de 611 sistemas informatizados. O resultado são ferramentas que possibilitam classificar de forma objetiva os sistemas governamentais mais críticos, bem como apontar quais entidades possuem maior tendência a serem auditados pela CGE/CE. A partir deste estudo de caso, pretende-se fomentar as discussões relacionadas às atividades de planejamento de auditoria de TIC.

Infrastructures have become important for the holistic growth of any country. With the number of such projects being constantly on the rise each year, its efficient maintenance has become a primary requirement for any asset owner. Among the many techniques available, FMECA is widely used for maintenance planning. In this method, different critical components are identified based on their likelihood of failure and impact on the infrastructure. Based on the inferences obtained, maintenance plans are developed where interventions are prioritized based on a component’s criticality within the system. FMECA uses risk matrices to assess criticalities semi-quantitatively. This lacks the required quantifiable information of a component in a system. A component by design can either be individual or exist as a subsystem comprising several components. To analyze criticalities accurately, quantitative information that can provide insights on a component’s state in the system is required. Hence, this thesis develops a new approach that could eliminate subjective errors in conventional criticality analysis. The new and conventional approach was applied to two infrastructures to observe and discuss the variations in results obtained. The comparative study showcased that the new approach provided better quantitative reasonings for criticalities obtained for each component. Using the unique implementation of the obtained quantitative data as done in the current research, developing realistic and accurate maintenance strategies is possible., Civil Engineering | Construction Management and Engineering

The paper deals with risk management in the organization SFINX in the Czech Republic. Firstly, there is a literature review of risk management. Secondly, there is a used methodology part. In this part is discussed SWOT analysis and risk matrix with a modified score method. In the questionnaire, the risks were divided into A) Production risks (technical, social, purchasing, distribution), B) Economic risks, C) Market risks, D) Financial risks, E) Political risks. The probability of the occurrence of the risk was assessed: value one for the lowest occurrence, while value five for the highest, the most probable occurrence. The impact was assessed similar: number one for the least serious impact, while number five for the most severe effect. Based on the questionnaire were evaluated the most critical risks that threaten the organization from the perspective of employees. The resulting risk is determined by the product of the probability and impact of the risk. In this paper, risk was determined by multiplying the average values of probability and impact of the selected risk. The averages of these two quantities were obtained based on a questionnaire survey. Then the selected risks were entered on the map, for the risks placed in the significant risk values quadrant and the critical risk values quadrant, the scoring method recommends making proposals to reduce them. In this work, the technique will be adjusted so that the probability and impact will be evaluated from 1 to 5. In the end of the paper, there are presented the results based on the mentioned methodology - the most severe risks that may threaten the organization. Finally, there is recommendations for the organization.

– Национална студија брзе процене квалитета воде за пиће у руралним срединама има за циљ да према методологији Светске здравстве не организације испита квалитет воде и водних објеката у брдско-планин ским крајевима Србије који до сада нису били предмет стручних и научних истраживања. Истраживање је спроведено у току 2016. године у Моравичком и Златиборском округу. Обухваћене су две врсте објеката за водоснабдевање, и то тзв. мали водоводни системи односно изворишта са дистрибутивном мрежом (укупно 267 објеката) и индивидуални водни објекти односно извори, бунари или бушотине без мреже (укупно 14 објеката). Квалитет воде процењен је на основу микробиолошких и хемијских параметара. Резултати студије пока зују да вода у брдско-планинским крајевима има одличан хемијски квалитет, али да највећи проблем и велики ризик по здравље људи представља микроби олошка загађеност воде. С обзиром на озбиљност проблема, неопходно је што пре започети систематски третман воде неким дезинфекционим средством и санирати оне објекте на којима су уочени пропусти у току санитарне инспек ције. Поред тога, направљене су матрице ризика по загађење воде на основу санитарног надзора над водним објектима. Анализа матрица показује да се у око осамдесет процената испитиваних водних објеката морају хитно примени ти мере за смањење ризика по квалитет воде. Ова ситуација може се сматрати алармантном јер изискује хитно планирање и спровођење техничких и техно лошких поступака за санирање или поправку водних објеката у сарадњи са одговорним лицима, власницима објеката, јавним комуналним предузећима и локалном самоуправом. При решавању приказаних проблема није довољ но само радити на здравственом или хигијенском просвећивању станов ништва нити препустити ситуацију личном залагању појединаца, већ пред ност треба дати јавно-здравственим мерама које су спровеле шире друштвене заједнице, односно у договору са заводима за јавно здравље, локалном само управом и власницима водовода. На тај начин утицаће се на см, The National study within the project “Rapid assessment of drinking water quality in rural areas in Serbia” was conducted in order to analyze the quality of drinking water from small-scale water supply system in mountainous areas in Serbia using the methodology of the World Health Organization. The study was conducted in 2016 in Zlatiborski and Moravički district which belong to mountainous areas in Serbia. The following two types of water supply technologies were included in the study: piped systems – consisting of a water source with the distribution network (total of 267 water supply facilities) and individual systems – including protected water sources, wells or boreholes (total of 14 water supply facilities). Water quality was evaluated on the basis of the selected microbiological indicators (Esherichia coli number per 100 ml of water), chemical parameters – ammonia, nitrates, manganese, arsenic, residual chlorine, pH value, and physical characteristics – temperature, colour odour, turbidity and conductivity. The results of the study revealed the following: first, drinking water from both types of water supply technologies is of excellent chemical quality and almost all water samples (95% of all piped systems and 90% of all individual systems) comply with national guidelines in terms of physical and chemical characteristics. This reduces the need for investment in expensive technical and technological processes for water treatment in these supply facilities. Only the long-term water pollution with high concentrations of any of these hazards would require the application of some water treatment methods. Second, the main problem in the investigated water supply systems is bacteriological contamination of water, probably of fecal origin. The number of Esherichia coli ranges from zero to more than two thousand per 100 ml of water. Water from about a half of all piped systems, and from about two-thirds of the individual systems does not comply with national guidelin

Risk management frameworks offer excellent tools to identify and manage risks in supply chains. Existing tools can be used to evaluate impacts of countermeasures, however, analysts struggle with modelling how disruptions escalate in complex supply chain systems within a certain amount of time and across several stakeholders. On the contrary, the resilience discipline offers the possibility to understand how a supply chain reacts to disruptions as a function of time. Hence, this paper integrates the concepts of resilience with risk management techniques and develops a risk based resilience assessment framework in a multi-actor context. Further, the framework is operationalized by developing a computer based tool that is tested in case of fruit import in Netherlands., Information and Communication Technology, Energy & Industry

Welded joints are analysed as critical regions in a pressure vessel in respect to structural failure due to the elastic-plastic fracture/crack growth. To assess structural integrity of pressure vessels used in chemical industry the risk based procedure has been introduced and applied in the case of a large spherical pressure vessel used as a vinyl ¬chloride monomer (VCM) storage tank in HIP Azotara Pančevo. The risk matrix has been used, taking into account the basic definition of risk, being the product of the probability and consequence, and applied to different regions of welded joints, having different mechanical properties, i.e. crack resistance. To estimate probability, the failure assessment diagram (FAD) has been used, as an engineering tool, defined according to the position of the operating point for different regions of the welded joint, relative to the critical point on the limit curve. Generally speaking, consequence is estimated based on pressure vessel parameters, or by detailed analysis of health, safety, business and security issues, but in the analysed case, the worst case scenario is assumed, with the highest consequence due to potential disaster for environment and fatalities.