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Background: Host-cell DNA methylation analysis can be used to triage women with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive self-collected cervicovaginal samples, but current data are restricted to under-/never-screened women and referral populations. This study evaluated triage performance in women who were offered primary HPV self-sampling for cervical cancer screening. Methods: Self-collected samples from 593 HPV-positive women who participated in a primary HPV self-sampling trial (IMPROVE study; NTR5078), were tested for the DNA methylation markers ASCL1 and LHX8 using quantitative multiplex methylation-specific PCR (qMSP). The diagnostic performance for CIN3 and cervical cancer (CIN3 +) was evaluated and compared with that of paired HPV-positive clinician-collected cervical samples. Results: Significantly higher methylation levels were found in HPV-positive self-collected samples of women with CIN3 + than control women with no evidence of disease (P values <0.0001). The marker panel ASCL1/LHX8 yielded a sensitivity for CIN3 + detection of 73.3% (63/86; 95% CI 63.9–82.6%), with a corresponding specificity of 61.1% (310/507; 95% CI 56.9–65.4%). The relative sensitivity for detecting CIN3+ was 0.95 (95% CI 0.82–1.10) for self-collection versus clinician-collection, and the relative specificity was 0.82 (95% CI 0.75–0.90). Conclusions: The ASCL1/LHX8 methylation marker panel constitutes a feasible direct triage method for the detection of CIN3 + in HPV-positive women participating in routine screening by self-sampling.

Methylation of host-cell deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) has been proposed as a promising biomarker for triage of high-risk (hr) human papillomavirus (HPV) positive women at screening. Our study aims to validate recently identified host-cell DNA methylation markers for triage in an hrHPV-positive cohort derived from primary HPV-based cervical screening in The Netherlands. Methylation markers ASCL1, LHX8, ST6GALNAC5, GHSR, ZIC1 and SST were evaluated relative to the ACTB reference gene by multiplex quantitative methylation-specific PCR (qMSP) in clinician-collected cervical samples (n = 715) from hrHPV-positive women (age 29-60 years), who were enrolled in the Dutch IMPROVE screening trial (NTR5078). Primary clinical end-point was cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN3) or cancer (CIN3+). The single-marker and bi-marker methylation classifiers developed for CIN3 detection in a previous series of hrHPV-positive clinician-collected cervical samples were applied. The diagnostic accuracy was visualised using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and assessed through area under the ROC curve (AUC). The performance of the methylation markers to detect CIN3+ was determined using the predefined threshold calibrated at 70% clinical specificity. Individual methylation makers showed good performance for CIN3+ detection, with highest AUC for ASCL1 (0.844) and LHX8 (0.830). Combined as a bi-marker panel with predefined threshold, ASCL1/LHX8 yielded a CIN3+ sensitivity of 76.9% (70/91; 95% CI 68.3-85.6%) at a specificity of 74.5% (465/624; 95% CI 71.1-77.9%). In conclusion, our study shows that the individual host-cell DNA methylation classifiers and the bi-marker panel ASCL1/LHX8 have clinical utility for the detection of CIN3+ in hrHPV-positive women invited for routine screening.

Background: The nonavalent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine is indicated for active immunisation of individuals from the age of 9 years against cervical, vulvar, vaginal and anal premalignant lesions and cancers causally related to vaccine HPV high risk types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52 and 58, and to the HPV low risk types 6 and 11, causing genital warts. Objective: To estimate the lifetime risk (up to the age of 75 years) for developing cervical cancer after vaccinating a HPV naïve girl (e.g. 9 to 12 years old) with the 9vHPV vaccine in the hypothetical absence of cervical cancer screening. Methods: We built Monte Carlo simulation models using historical pre-screening age-specific cancer incidence data and current mortality data from Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden and the UK. Estimates of genotype contribution fractions and vaccine efficacy were used to estimate the residual lifetime risk after vaccination assuming lifelong protection. Results: We estimated that, in the hypothetical absence of cervical screening and assuming lifelong protection, 9vHPV vaccination reduced the lifetime cervical cancer and mortality risks 7-fold with a residual lifetime cancer risks ranging from 1/572 (UK) to 1/238 (Denmark) and mortality risks ranging from 1/1488 (UK) to 1/851 (Denmark). After decades of repetitive cervical screenings, the lifetime cervical cancer and mortality risks was reduced between 2- and 4-fold depending on the country. Conclusion: Our simulations demonstrate how evidence can be generated to support decision-making by individual healthcare seekers regarding cervical cancer prevention.

Background: The nonavalent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine is indicated for active immunisation of individuals from the age of 9 years against cervical, vulvar, vaginal and anal premalignant lesions and cancers causally related to vaccine HPV high risk types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52 and 58, and to the HPV low risk types 6 and 11, causing genital warts. Objective: To estimate the lifetime risk (up to the age of 75 years) for developing cervical cancer after vaccinating a HPV naïve girl (e.g. 9 to 12 years old) with the 9vHPV vaccine in the hypothetical absence of cervical cancer screening. Methods: We built Monte Carlo simulation models using historical pre-screening age-specific cancer incidence data and current mortality data from Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden and the UK. Estimates of genotype contribution fractions and vaccine efficacy were used to estimate the residual lifetime risk after vaccination assuming lifelong protection. Results: We estimated that, in the hypothetical absence of cervical screening and assuming lifelong protection, 9vHPV vaccination reduced the lifetime cervical cancer and mortality risks 7-fold with a residual lifetime cancer risks ranging from 1/572 (UK) to 1/238 (Denmark) and mortality risks ranging from 1/1488 (UK) to 1/851 (Denmark). After decades of repetitive cervical screenings, the lifetime cervical cancer and mortality risks was reduced between 2- and 4-fold depending on the country. Conclusion: Our simulations demonstrate how evidence can be generated to support decision-making by individual healthcare seekers regarding cervical cancer prevention.

High-risk types of human papillomaviruses (hrHPVs) may be a necessary cause in cervical cancer and in some subtype of anal, vulvar, and penile cancers. Large studies aimed at characterizing hrHPV-associated and non- hrHPV-associated subtypes of anal carcinomas are, however, lacking. We searched for human papillomavirus type 16 and 13 other hrHPVs in tumor tissue by PCR and performed a systematic histological evaluation of specimens from 386 patients with anal cancer (86% invasive; 302 women and 84 men). Cancers in women and homosexual men were more often hrHPV positive (P < 0.01) and located in the anal canal (P ≤ 0.01) than were cancers in heterosexual men. In both women and men, anal canal cancers contained hrHPV clearly more often than did perianal skin cancers, and increasing hrHPV positivity was seen with higher localization in the anal canal. Indeed, 95 and 83% of cancers involving the anal canal in women and menD respectively, were hrHPV positive versus 80 and 28% of perianal skin cancers (P-trend < 0.001). Basaloid feature, adjacent anal intraepithelial neoplasia, poor or absent keratinization, and a predominance of small or medium neoplastic cells were all strongly positively associated with hrHPV status. Like cancer of the uterine cervix, the development of cancer of the anal canal may require infection with hrHPV, whereas a dual etiology of perianal skin cancers bears parallels to vulvar and penile cancers.

High-risk types of human papillomaviruses (hrHPVs) may be a necessary cause in cervical cancer and in some subtype of anal, vulvar, and penile cancers. Large studies aimed at characterizing hrHPV-associated and non- hrHPV-associated subtypes of anal carcinomas are, however, lacking. We searched for human papillomavirus type 16 and 13 other hrHPVs in tumor tissue by PCR and performed a systematic histological evaluation of specimens from 386 patients with anal cancer (86% invasive; 302 women and 84 men). Cancers in women and homosexual men were more often hrHPV positive (P < 0.01) and located in the anal canal (P ≤ 0.01) than were cancers in heterosexual men. In both women and men, anal canal cancers contained hrHPV clearly more often than did perianal skin cancers, and increasing hrHPV positivity was seen with higher localization in the anal canal. Indeed, 95 and 83% of cancers involving the anal canal in women and menD respectively, were hrHPV positive versus 80 and 28% of perianal skin cancers (P-trend < 0.001). Basaloid feature, adjacent anal intraepithelial neoplasia, poor or absent keratinization, and a predominance of small or medium neoplastic cells were all strongly positively associated with hrHPV status. Like cancer of the uterine cervix, the development of cancer of the anal canal may require infection with hrHPV, whereas a dual etiology of perianal skin cancers bears parallels to vulvar and penile cancers.

High-risk types of human papillomaviruses (hrHPVs) may be a necessary cause in cervical cancer and in some subtype of anal, vulvar, and penile cancers. Large studies aimed at characterizing hrHPV-associated and non- hrHPV-associated subtypes of anal carcinomas are, however, lacking. We searched for human papillomavirus type 16 and 13 other hrHPVs in tumor tissue by PCR and performed a systematic histological evaluation of specimens from 386 patients with anal cancer (86% invasive; 302 women and 84 men). Cancers in women and homosexual men were more often hrHPV positive (P < 0.01) and located in the anal canal (P ≤ 0.01) than were cancers in heterosexual men. In both women and men, anal canal cancers contained hrHPV clearly more often than did perianal skin cancers, and increasing hrHPV positivity was seen with higher localization in the anal canal. Indeed, 95 and 83% of cancers involving the anal canal in women and menD respectively, were hrHPV positive versus 80 and 28% of perianal skin cancers (P-trend < 0.001). Basaloid feature, adjacent anal intraepithelial neoplasia, poor or absent keratinization, and a predominance of small or medium neoplastic cells were all strongly positively associated with hrHPV status. Like cancer of the uterine cervix, the development of cancer of the anal canal may require infection with hrHPV, whereas a dual etiology of perianal skin cancers bears parallels to vulvar and penile cancers.

This report presents the unusual occurrence of metachronous perianal and penile carcinomas in a young, imntunosuppressed man. Both anogenital cancers were HPV-16-DNA-positive by the polymerase chain reaction. DNA in situ hybridization analysis of the penile carcinoma revealed HPV-16 in most neoplastic cells. HPV-16 appears to have played a central role in both anogenital cancers in this patient, suggesting that, like in immunologically susceptible women, a carcinogenic 'field effect' may exist in the anogenital area of the immunosuppressed male.

This report presents the unusual occurrence of metachronous perianal and penile carcinomas in a young, imntunosuppressed man. Both anogenital cancers were HPV-16-DNA-positive by the polymerase chain reaction. DNA in situ hybridization analysis of the penile carcinoma revealed HPV-16 in most neoplastic cells. HPV-16 appears to have played a central role in both anogenital cancers in this patient, suggesting that, like in immunologically susceptible women, a carcinogenic 'field effect' may exist in the anogenital area of the immunosuppressed male.