20 results on '"Gaertner, M. A."'
Search Results
2. Deutschlands erster Aktionsplan: präventive Maßnahmen gegen die unbeabsichtigte Einbringung und Ausbreitung invasiver gebietsfremder Arten entlang prioritärer Pfade. Germany's first action plan: Preventive measures against the unintentional introduction and spread of invasive alien species along priority pathways
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Mayer, K., Heger, T., Kühn, Ingolf, Tiesmeyer, A., Nehring, S., Gaertner, M., Mayer, K., Heger, T., Kühn, Ingolf, Tiesmeyer, A., Nehring, S., and Gaertner, M.
- Abstract
Gemäß der Verordnung (EU) Nr. 1143/2014 über die Prävention und das Management der Einbringung und Ausbreitung invasiver gebietsfremder Arten erstellt jeder Mitgliedstaat der Europäische Union (EU) einen Aktionsplan mit Maßnahmen, die die nicht vorsätzliche Einbringung und Ausbreitung invasiver gebietsfremder Arten verhindern sollen. Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird der erste deutsche Aktionsplan vorgestellt. Der Aktionsplan stützt sich auf eine vorangegangene Analyse, in der ermittelt wurde, welche Einbringungs- und Ausbreitungspfade invasiver gebietsfremder Arten für Deutschland als prioritär anzusehen sind. Für jeden prioritären Pfad erfolgte eine Literaturrecherche nach möglichen Maßnahmenvorschlägen, die mithilfe bilateraler Gespräche mit Expertinnen und Experten aller verantwortlichen Sektoren weiterentwickelt, gewichtet und konkretisiert wurden. Anhand eines Kriterienkatalogs wurden insgesamt 24 Maßnahmen für den Aktionsplan ausgewählt. Die Schwerpunkte dieser Maßnahmen sind, die Öffentlichkeit und betroffene Fachkreise zu sensibilisieren sowie die Kontaminierung, bspw. von Gütern, Fahrzeugen und Geräten, durch invasive gebietsfremde Arten zu minimieren. 19 verschiedene Sektoren werden bei der Umsetzung der Maßnahmen eingebunden. Für eine möglichst effektive Umsetzung wurden neben 20 pfadspezifischen Maßnahmen zusätzlich 4 sektoren- und pfadübergreifende Maßnahmen entwickelt. Der erste Aktionsplan stellt ein wichtiges Instrument im Naturschutz zur Prävention biologischer Invasionen in Deutschland dar. To implement Regulation (EU) No. 1143/2014, an action plan for the prevention and management of the unintentional introduction and spread of invasive alien species needs to be developed by each EU member state. This paper presents the first German action plan. The action plan is based on a previous analysis of pathways of introduction and spread of invasive alien species which are t
- Published
- 2023
3. Characterization of the wind speed variability and future change in the Iberian Peninsula and the Balearic Islands
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Gómez, G, Cabos, William, Liguori, G, Sein, Dmitry, Lozano-Galeana, S, Fita, L, Fernández, J, Magariño, Mí. E, Jiménez-Guerrero, P, Montávez, J.P., Domínguez, M, Romera, R, Gaertner, M. Á., Gómez, G, Cabos, William, Liguori, G, Sein, Dmitry, Lozano-Galeana, S, Fita, L, Fernández, J, Magariño, Mí. E, Jiménez-Guerrero, P, Montávez, J.P., Domínguez, M, Romera, R, and Gaertner, M. Á.
- Abstract
Wind energy is susceptible to global climate change because it could alter the wind patterns. Then, improvement of our knowledge of wind field variability is crucial to optimize the use of wind resources in a given region. Here, we quantify the effects of climate change on the surface wind speed field over the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands using an ensemble of four regional climate models driven by a global climate model. Regions of the Iberian Peninsula with coherent temporal variability in wind speed in each of the models are identified and analysed using cluster analysis. These regions are continuous in each model and exhibit a high degree of overlap across the models. The models forced by the European Reanalysis Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis are validated against the European Climate Assessment and Dataset wind. We find that regional models are able to simulate with reasonable skill the spatial distribution of wind speed at 10 m in the Iberian Peninsula, identifying areas with common wind variability. Under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B climate change scenario, the wind speed in the identified regions for 2031–2050 is up to 5% less than during the 1980–1999 control period for all models. The models also agree on the time evolution of spatially averaged wind speed in each region, showing a negative trend for all of them. These tendencies depend on the region and are significant at p = 5% or slightly more for annual trends, while seasonal trends are not significant in most of the regions and seasons. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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- 2016
4. Characterization of the wind speed variability and future change in the Iberian Peninsula and the Balearic Islands
- Author
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Gómez, G, Cabos, William, Liguori, G, Sein, Dmitry, Lozano-Galeana, S, Fita, L, Fernández, J, Magariño, Mí. E, Jiménez-Guerrero, P, Montávez, J.P., Domínguez, M, Romera, R, Gaertner, M. Á., Gómez, G, Cabos, William, Liguori, G, Sein, Dmitry, Lozano-Galeana, S, Fita, L, Fernández, J, Magariño, Mí. E, Jiménez-Guerrero, P, Montávez, J.P., Domínguez, M, Romera, R, and Gaertner, M. Á.
- Abstract
Wind energy is susceptible to global climate change because it could alter the wind patterns. Then, improvement of our knowledge of wind field variability is crucial to optimize the use of wind resources in a given region. Here, we quantify the effects of climate change on the surface wind speed field over the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands using an ensemble of four regional climate models driven by a global climate model. Regions of the Iberian Peninsula with coherent temporal variability in wind speed in each of the models are identified and analysed using cluster analysis. These regions are continuous in each model and exhibit a high degree of overlap across the models. The models forced by the European Reanalysis Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis are validated against the European Climate Assessment and Dataset wind. We find that regional models are able to simulate with reasonable skill the spatial distribution of wind speed at 10 m in the Iberian Peninsula, identifying areas with common wind variability. Under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B climate change scenario, the wind speed in the identified regions for 2031–2050 is up to 5% less than during the 1980–1999 control period for all models. The models also agree on the time evolution of spatially averaged wind speed in each region, showing a negative trend for all of them. These tendencies depend on the region and are significant at p = 5% or slightly more for annual trends, while seasonal trends are not significant in most of the regions and seasons. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
- Published
- 2016
5. Defining the impact of non-native species
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Jeschke, J.M., Bacher, S., Blackburn, T.M., Dick, J.T.A., Essl, F., Evans, T., Gaertner, M., Hulme, P.E., Kühn, Ingolf, Mrugała, A., Pergl, J., Pyšek, P., Rabitsch, W., Ricciardi, A., Richardson, D.M., Sendek, A., Vilà, M., Winter, M., Kumschick, S., Jeschke, J.M., Bacher, S., Blackburn, T.M., Dick, J.T.A., Essl, F., Evans, T., Gaertner, M., Hulme, P.E., Kühn, Ingolf, Mrugała, A., Pergl, J., Pyšek, P., Rabitsch, W., Ricciardi, A., Richardson, D.M., Sendek, A., Vilà, M., Winter, M., and Kumschick, S.
- Abstract
Non-native species cause changes in the ecosystems to which they are introduced. These changes, or some of them, are usually termed impacts; they can be manifold and potentially damaging to ecosystems and biodiversity. However, the impacts of most non-native species are poorly understood, and a synthesis of available information is being hindered because authors often do not clearly define impact. We argue that explicitly defining the impact of non-native species will promote progress toward a better understanding of the implications of changes to biodiversity and ecosystems caused by non-native species; help disentangle which aspects of scientific debates about non-native species are due to disparate definitions and which represent true scientific discord; and improve communication between scientists from different research disciplines and between scientists, managers, and policy makers. For these reasons and based on examples from the literature, we devised seven key questions that fall into 4 categories: directionality, classification and measurement, ecological or socio-economic changes, and scale. These questions should help in formulating clear and practical definitions of impact to suit specific scientific, stakeholder, or legislative contexts.Definiendo el Impacto de las Especies No-NativasResumenLas especies no-nativas pueden causar cambios en los ecosistemas donde son introducidas. Estos cambios, o algunos de ellos, usualmente se denominan como impactos; estos pueden ser variados y potencialmente dañinos para los ecosistemas y la biodiversidad. Sin embargo, los impactos de la mayoría de las especies no-nativas están pobremente entendidos y una síntesis de información disponible se ve obstaculizada porque los autores continuamente no definen claramente impacto. Discutimos que definir explícitamente el impacto de las especies no-nativas promoverá el progreso hacia un mejor entendimiento de las implicaciones de los cambios a la biodiversidad y los eco
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- 2014
6. Ecological impacts of alien species: quantification, scope, caveats, and recommendations
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Kumschick, S., Gaertner, M., Vilà, M., Essl, F., Jeschke, J.M., Pyšek, P., Ricciardi, A., Bacher, S., Blackburn, T.M., Dick, J.T.A., Evans, T., Hulme, P.E., Kühn, Ingolf, Mrugała, A., Pergl, J., Rabitsch, W., Richardson, D.M., Sendek, Agnieszka, Winter, M., Kumschick, S., Gaertner, M., Vilà, M., Essl, F., Jeschke, J.M., Pyšek, P., Ricciardi, A., Bacher, S., Blackburn, T.M., Dick, J.T.A., Evans, T., Hulme, P.E., Kühn, Ingolf, Mrugała, A., Pergl, J., Rabitsch, W., Richardson, D.M., Sendek, Agnieszka, and Winter, M.
- Abstract
Despite intensive research during the past decade on the effects of alien species, invasion science still lacks the capacity to accurately predict the impacts of those species and, therefore, to provide timely advice to managers on where limited resources should be allocated. This capacity has been limited partly by the context-dependent nature of ecological impacts, research highly skewed toward certain taxa and habitat types, and the lack of standardized methods for detecting and quantifying impacts. We review different strategies, including specific experimental and observational approaches, for detecting and quantifying the ecological impacts of alien species. These include a four-way experimental plot design for comparing impact studies of different organisms. Furthermore, we identify hypothesis-driven parameters that should be measured at invaded sites to maximize insights into the nature of the impact. We also present strategies for recognizing high-impact species. Our recommendations provide a foundation for developing systematic quantitative measurements to allow comparisons of impacts across alien species, sites, and time.
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- 2014
7. Regional climate downscaling over Europe:perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
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Jacob, Daniela, Teichmann, Claas, Sobolowski, Stefan, Katragkou, Eleni, Anders, Ivonne, Belda, Michal, Benestad, Rasmus, Boberg, Fredrik, Buonomo, Erasmo, Cardoso, Rita M., Casanueva, Ana, Christensen, Ole B., Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Coppola, Erika, De Cruz, Lesley, Davin, Edouard L., Dobler, Andreas, Dominguez, Marta, Fealy, Rowan, Fernandez, Jesus, Gaertner, Miguel Angel, Garcia-Diez, Markel, Giorgi, Filippo, Gobiet, Andreas, Goergen, Klaus, Jose Gomez-Navarro, Juan, Gonzalez Aleman, Juan Jesus, Gutierrez, Claudia, Gutierrez, Jose M., Guttler, Ivan, Haensler, Andreas, Halenka, Tomas, Jerez, Sonia, Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro, Jones, Richard G., Keuler, Klaus, Kjellstrom, Erik, Knist, Sebastian, Kotlarski, Sven, Maraun, Douglas, van Meijgaard, Erik, Mercogliano, Paola, Pedro Montavez, Juan, Navarra, Antonio, Nikulin, Grigory, de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie, Panitz, Hans-Juergen, Pfeifer, Susanne, Piazza, Marie, Pichelli, Emanuela, Pietikaeinen, Joni-Pekka, Prein, Andreas F., Preuschmann, Swantje, Rechid, Diana, Rockel, Burkhardt, Romera, Raquel, Sanchez, Enrique, Sieck, Kevin, Soares, Pedro M. M., Somot, Samuel, Srnec, Lidija, Sorland, Silje Lund, Termonia, Piet, Truhetz, Heimo, Vautard, Robert, Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten, Wulfmeyer, Volker, Jacob, Daniela, Teichmann, Claas, Sobolowski, Stefan, Katragkou, Eleni, Anders, Ivonne, Belda, Michal, Benestad, Rasmus, Boberg, Fredrik, Buonomo, Erasmo, Cardoso, Rita M., Casanueva, Ana, Christensen, Ole B., Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Coppola, Erika, De Cruz, Lesley, Davin, Edouard L., Dobler, Andreas, Dominguez, Marta, Fealy, Rowan, Fernandez, Jesus, Gaertner, Miguel Angel, Garcia-Diez, Markel, Giorgi, Filippo, Gobiet, Andreas, Goergen, Klaus, Jose Gomez-Navarro, Juan, Gonzalez Aleman, Juan Jesus, Gutierrez, Claudia, Gutierrez, Jose M., Guttler, Ivan, Haensler, Andreas, Halenka, Tomas, Jerez, Sonia, Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro, Jones, Richard G., Keuler, Klaus, Kjellstrom, Erik, Knist, Sebastian, Kotlarski, Sven, Maraun, Douglas, van Meijgaard, Erik, Mercogliano, Paola, Pedro Montavez, Juan, Navarra, Antonio, Nikulin, Grigory, de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie, Panitz, Hans-Juergen, Pfeifer, Susanne, Piazza, Marie, Pichelli, Emanuela, Pietikaeinen, Joni-Pekka, Prein, Andreas F., Preuschmann, Swantje, Rechid, Diana, Rockel, Burkhardt, Romera, Raquel, Sanchez, Enrique, Sieck, Kevin, Soares, Pedro M. M., Somot, Samuel, Srnec, Lidija, Sorland, Silje Lund, Termonia, Piet, Truhetz, Heimo, Vautard, Robert, Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten, and Wulfmeyer, Volker
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- 2020
8. Regional climate downscaling over Europe:perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community
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Jacob, Daniela, Teichmann, Claas, Sobolowski, Stefan, Katragkou, Eleni, Anders, Ivonne, Belda, Michal, Benestad, Rasmus, Boberg, Fredrik, Buonomo, Erasmo, Cardoso, Rita M., Casanueva, Ana, Christensen, Ole B., Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Coppola, Erika, De Cruz, Lesley, Davin, Edouard L., Dobler, Andreas, Dominguez, Marta, Fealy, Rowan, Fernandez, Jesus, Gaertner, Miguel Angel, Garcia-Diez, Markel, Giorgi, Filippo, Gobiet, Andreas, Goergen, Klaus, Jose Gomez-Navarro, Juan, Gonzalez Aleman, Juan Jesus, Gutierrez, Claudia, Gutierrez, Jose M., Guttler, Ivan, Haensler, Andreas, Halenka, Tomas, Jerez, Sonia, Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro, Jones, Richard G., Keuler, Klaus, Kjellstrom, Erik, Knist, Sebastian, Kotlarski, Sven, Maraun, Douglas, van Meijgaard, Erik, Mercogliano, Paola, Pedro Montavez, Juan, Navarra, Antonio, Nikulin, Grigory, de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie, Panitz, Hans-Juergen, Pfeifer, Susanne, Piazza, Marie, Pichelli, Emanuela, Pietikaeinen, Joni-Pekka, Prein, Andreas F., Preuschmann, Swantje, Rechid, Diana, Rockel, Burkhardt, Romera, Raquel, Sanchez, Enrique, Sieck, Kevin, Soares, Pedro M. M., Somot, Samuel, Srnec, Lidija, Sorland, Silje Lund, Termonia, Piet, Truhetz, Heimo, Vautard, Robert, Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten, Wulfmeyer, Volker, Jacob, Daniela, Teichmann, Claas, Sobolowski, Stefan, Katragkou, Eleni, Anders, Ivonne, Belda, Michal, Benestad, Rasmus, Boberg, Fredrik, Buonomo, Erasmo, Cardoso, Rita M., Casanueva, Ana, Christensen, Ole B., Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg, Coppola, Erika, De Cruz, Lesley, Davin, Edouard L., Dobler, Andreas, Dominguez, Marta, Fealy, Rowan, Fernandez, Jesus, Gaertner, Miguel Angel, Garcia-Diez, Markel, Giorgi, Filippo, Gobiet, Andreas, Goergen, Klaus, Jose Gomez-Navarro, Juan, Gonzalez Aleman, Juan Jesus, Gutierrez, Claudia, Gutierrez, Jose M., Guttler, Ivan, Haensler, Andreas, Halenka, Tomas, Jerez, Sonia, Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro, Jones, Richard G., Keuler, Klaus, Kjellstrom, Erik, Knist, Sebastian, Kotlarski, Sven, Maraun, Douglas, van Meijgaard, Erik, Mercogliano, Paola, Pedro Montavez, Juan, Navarra, Antonio, Nikulin, Grigory, de Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathalie, Panitz, Hans-Juergen, Pfeifer, Susanne, Piazza, Marie, Pichelli, Emanuela, Pietikaeinen, Joni-Pekka, Prein, Andreas F., Preuschmann, Swantje, Rechid, Diana, Rockel, Burkhardt, Romera, Raquel, Sanchez, Enrique, Sieck, Kevin, Soares, Pedro M. M., Somot, Samuel, Srnec, Lidija, Sorland, Silje Lund, Termonia, Piet, Truhetz, Heimo, Vautard, Robert, Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten, and Wulfmeyer, Volker
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- 2020
9. The impact of land abandonment on species richness and abundance in the Mediterranean Basin:A meta-analysis
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Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, Huntsinger, Lynn, Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, and Huntsinger, Lynn
- Abstract
Land abandonment is common in the Mediterranean Basin, a global biodiversity hotspot, but little is known about its impacts on biodiversity. To upscale existing case-study insights to the Pan-Mediterranean level, we conducted a metaanalysis of the effects of land abandonment on plant and animal species richness and abundance in agroforestry, arable land, pastures, and permanent crops of the Mediterranean Basin. In particular, we investigated (1) which taxonomic groups (arthropods, birds, lichen, vascular plants) are more affected by land abandonment; (2) at which spatial and temporal scales the effect of land abandonment on species richness and abundance is pronounced; (3) whether previous land use and current protected area status affect the magnitude of changes in the number and abundance of species; and (4) how prevailing landforms and climate modify the impacts of land abandonment. After identifying 1240 potential studies, 154 cases from 51 studies that offered comparisons of species richness and abundance and had results relevant to our four areas of investigation were selected for meta-analysis. Results are that land abandonment showed slightly increased (effect size = 0.2109, P,0.0001) plant and animal species richness and abundance overall, though results were heterogeneous, with differences in effect size between taxa, spatial-temporal scales, land uses, landforms, and climate. In conclusion, there is no "one-size-fits-all" conservation approach that applies to the diverse contexts of land abandonment in the Mediterranean Basin. Instead, conservation policies should strive to increase awareness of this heterogeneity and the potential trade-offs after abandonment. The strong role of factors at the farm and landscape scales that was revealed by the analysis indicates that purposeful management at these scales can have a powerful impact on biodiversity.
- Published
- 2014
10. The impact of land abandonment on species richness and abundance in the Mediterranean Basin:A meta-analysis
- Author
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Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, Huntsinger, Lynn, Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, and Huntsinger, Lynn
- Abstract
Land abandonment is common in the Mediterranean Basin, a global biodiversity hotspot, but little is known about its impacts on biodiversity. To upscale existing case-study insights to the Pan-Mediterranean level, we conducted a metaanalysis of the effects of land abandonment on plant and animal species richness and abundance in agroforestry, arable land, pastures, and permanent crops of the Mediterranean Basin. In particular, we investigated (1) which taxonomic groups (arthropods, birds, lichen, vascular plants) are more affected by land abandonment; (2) at which spatial and temporal scales the effect of land abandonment on species richness and abundance is pronounced; (3) whether previous land use and current protected area status affect the magnitude of changes in the number and abundance of species; and (4) how prevailing landforms and climate modify the impacts of land abandonment. After identifying 1240 potential studies, 154 cases from 51 studies that offered comparisons of species richness and abundance and had results relevant to our four areas of investigation were selected for meta-analysis. Results are that land abandonment showed slightly increased (effect size = 0.2109, P,0.0001) plant and animal species richness and abundance overall, though results were heterogeneous, with differences in effect size between taxa, spatial-temporal scales, land uses, landforms, and climate. In conclusion, there is no "one-size-fits-all" conservation approach that applies to the diverse contexts of land abandonment in the Mediterranean Basin. Instead, conservation policies should strive to increase awareness of this heterogeneity and the potential trade-offs after abandonment. The strong role of factors at the farm and landscape scales that was revealed by the analysis indicates that purposeful management at these scales can have a powerful impact on biodiversity.
- Published
- 2014
11. The impact of land abandonment on species richness and abundance in the Mediterranean Basin:A meta-analysis
- Author
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Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, Huntsinger, Lynn, Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, and Huntsinger, Lynn
- Abstract
Land abandonment is common in the Mediterranean Basin, a global biodiversity hotspot, but little is known about its impacts on biodiversity. To upscale existing case-study insights to the Pan-Mediterranean level, we conducted a metaanalysis of the effects of land abandonment on plant and animal species richness and abundance in agroforestry, arable land, pastures, and permanent crops of the Mediterranean Basin. In particular, we investigated (1) which taxonomic groups (arthropods, birds, lichen, vascular plants) are more affected by land abandonment; (2) at which spatial and temporal scales the effect of land abandonment on species richness and abundance is pronounced; (3) whether previous land use and current protected area status affect the magnitude of changes in the number and abundance of species; and (4) how prevailing landforms and climate modify the impacts of land abandonment. After identifying 1240 potential studies, 154 cases from 51 studies that offered comparisons of species richness and abundance and had results relevant to our four areas of investigation were selected for meta-analysis. Results are that land abandonment showed slightly increased (effect size = 0.2109, P,0.0001) plant and animal species richness and abundance overall, though results were heterogeneous, with differences in effect size between taxa, spatial-temporal scales, land uses, landforms, and climate. In conclusion, there is no "one-size-fits-all" conservation approach that applies to the diverse contexts of land abandonment in the Mediterranean Basin. Instead, conservation policies should strive to increase awareness of this heterogeneity and the potential trade-offs after abandonment. The strong role of factors at the farm and landscape scales that was revealed by the analysis indicates that purposeful management at these scales can have a powerful impact on biodiversity.
- Published
- 2014
12. The impact of land abandonment on species richness and abundance in the Mediterranean Basin:A meta-analysis
- Author
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Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, Huntsinger, Lynn, Plieninger, Tobias, Hui, Cang, Gaertner, Mirijam, and Huntsinger, Lynn
- Abstract
Land abandonment is common in the Mediterranean Basin, a global biodiversity hotspot, but little is known about its impacts on biodiversity. To upscale existing case-study insights to the Pan-Mediterranean level, we conducted a metaanalysis of the effects of land abandonment on plant and animal species richness and abundance in agroforestry, arable land, pastures, and permanent crops of the Mediterranean Basin. In particular, we investigated (1) which taxonomic groups (arthropods, birds, lichen, vascular plants) are more affected by land abandonment; (2) at which spatial and temporal scales the effect of land abandonment on species richness and abundance is pronounced; (3) whether previous land use and current protected area status affect the magnitude of changes in the number and abundance of species; and (4) how prevailing landforms and climate modify the impacts of land abandonment. After identifying 1240 potential studies, 154 cases from 51 studies that offered comparisons of species richness and abundance and had results relevant to our four areas of investigation were selected for meta-analysis. Results are that land abandonment showed slightly increased (effect size = 0.2109, P,0.0001) plant and animal species richness and abundance overall, though results were heterogeneous, with differences in effect size between taxa, spatial-temporal scales, land uses, landforms, and climate. In conclusion, there is no "one-size-fits-all" conservation approach that applies to the diverse contexts of land abandonment in the Mediterranean Basin. Instead, conservation policies should strive to increase awareness of this heterogeneity and the potential trade-offs after abandonment. The strong role of factors at the farm and landscape scales that was revealed by the analysis indicates that purposeful management at these scales can have a powerful impact on biodiversity.
- Published
- 2014
13. Ensemble methods for seasonal limited area forecasts
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Arritt, Raymond W., Anderson, Christopher J., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., Da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., Taylor, John A., Arritt, Raymond W., Anderson, Christopher J., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., Da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., and Taylor, John A.
- Abstract
The ensemble prediction methods used for seasonal limited area forecasts were examined by comparing methods for generating ensemble simulations of seasonal precipitation. The summer 1993 model over the north-central US was used as a test case. The four methods examined included the lagged-average ensemble, perturbed physics ensemble, mixed physics ensemble, and multi-model ensemble. The results show that the similarity in spread between the mixed-physics and multi-model ensembles raises the possibility that a mixed-physics ensemble approach could be considered as a proxy for a multi-model ensemble. The mixed-physics ensemble performed well in terms of equitable threat score, especially for higher precipitation amounts.
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- 2004
14. Ensemble methods for seasonal limited area forecasts
- Author
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Arritt, Raymond W., Anderson, Christopher J., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., Da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., Taylor, John A., Arritt, Raymond W., Anderson, Christopher J., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., Da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., and Taylor, John A.
- Abstract
The ensemble prediction methods used for seasonal limited area forecasts were examined by comparing methods for generating ensemble simulations of seasonal precipitation. The summer 1993 model over the north-central US was used as a test case. The four methods examined included the lagged-average ensemble, perturbed physics ensemble, mixed physics ensemble, and multi-model ensemble. The results show that the similarity in spread between the mixed-physics and multi-model ensembles raises the possibility that a mixed-physics ensemble approach could be considered as a proxy for a multi-model ensemble. The mixed-physics ensemble performed well in terms of equitable threat score, especially for higher precipitation amounts.
- Published
- 2004
15. Hydrological processes in regional climate model simulations of the central United States flood of June-July 1993
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Anderson, Christopher J., Arritt, Raymond W., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Giorgi, Filippo, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., Taylor, John A., Anderson, Christopher J., Arritt, Raymond W., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Giorgi, Filippo, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., and Taylor, John A.
- Abstract
Thirteen regional climate model (RCM) simulations of June-July 1993 were compared with each other and observations. Water vapor conservation and precipitation characteristics in each RCM were examined for a 10° X 10° subregion of the upper Mississippi River basin, containing the region of maximum 60-day accumulated precipitation in all RCMs and station reports. All RCMs produced positive precipitation minus evapotranspiration (P - E > 0), thought most RCMs produced P - E below the observed range. RCM recycling ratios were within the range estimated from observations. No evidence of common errors of E was found. In contrast, common dry bias of P was found in the simulations. Daily cycles of terms in the water vapor conservation equation were qualitatively similar in most RCMs. Nocturnal maximums of P and C (convergence) occurred in 9 of 13 RCMs, consistent with observations. Three of the four driest simulations failed to couple P and C overnight, producing afternoon maximum P. Further, dry simulations tended to produce a larger fraction of their 60-day accumulated precipitation from low 3-h totals. In station reports, accumulation from high (low) 3-h totals had a nocturnal (early morning) maximum. This time lag occurred, in part, because many mesoscale convective systems had reached peak intensity overnight and had declined in intensity by early morning. None of the RCMs contained such a time lag. It is recommended that short-period experiments be performed to examine the ability of RCMs to simulate mesoscale convective systems prior to generating long-period simulations for hydroclimatology.
- Published
- 2003
16. Hydrological processes in regional climate model simulations of the central United States flood of June-July 1993
- Author
-
Anderson, Christopher J., Arritt, Raymond W., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Giorgi, Filippo, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., Taylor, John A., Anderson, Christopher J., Arritt, Raymond W., Takle, Eugene S., Pan, Zaitao, Gutowski, William J., Otieno, Francis O., da Silva, Renato, Caya, Daniel, Christensen, Jens H., Lüthi, Daniel, Gaertner, Miguel A., Gallardo, Clemente, Giorgi, Filippo, Hong, Song You, Jones, Colin, Juang, H. M.H., Katzfey, J. J., Lapenta, William M., Laprise, René, Larson, Jay W., Liston, Glen E., McGregor, John L., Pielke, Roger A., Roads, John O., and Taylor, John A.
- Abstract
Thirteen regional climate model (RCM) simulations of June-July 1993 were compared with each other and observations. Water vapor conservation and precipitation characteristics in each RCM were examined for a 10° X 10° subregion of the upper Mississippi River basin, containing the region of maximum 60-day accumulated precipitation in all RCMs and station reports. All RCMs produced positive precipitation minus evapotranspiration (P - E > 0), thought most RCMs produced P - E below the observed range. RCM recycling ratios were within the range estimated from observations. No evidence of common errors of E was found. In contrast, common dry bias of P was found in the simulations. Daily cycles of terms in the water vapor conservation equation were qualitatively similar in most RCMs. Nocturnal maximums of P and C (convergence) occurred in 9 of 13 RCMs, consistent with observations. Three of the four driest simulations failed to couple P and C overnight, producing afternoon maximum P. Further, dry simulations tended to produce a larger fraction of their 60-day accumulated precipitation from low 3-h totals. In station reports, accumulation from high (low) 3-h totals had a nocturnal (early morning) maximum. This time lag occurred, in part, because many mesoscale convective systems had reached peak intensity overnight and had declined in intensity by early morning. None of the RCMs contained such a time lag. It is recommended that short-period experiments be performed to examine the ability of RCMs to simulate mesoscale convective systems prior to generating long-period simulations for hydroclimatology.
- Published
- 2003
17. Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea
- Author
-
Gutiérrez‐Fernández, Jesús, González‐Alemán, Juan J., Vara, Alba, Cabos, William, Sein, Dmitry V., Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, Gutiérrez‐Fernández, Jesús, González‐Alemán, Juan J., Vara, Alba, Cabos, William, Sein, Dmitry V., and Gaertner, Miguel Ángel
- Abstract
Cyclones with tropical characteristics called medicanes (“Mediterranean Hur-ricanes”) eventually develop in the Mediterranean Sea. They have large harm-ful potential and a correct simulation of their evolution in climate projections is important for an adequate adaptation to climate change. Different studies suggest that ocean–atmosphere coupled models provide a better representation of medicanes, especially in terms of intensity and frequency. In this work, we use the regionally-coupled model ROM to study how air-sea interactions affect the evolution of medicanes in future climate projections. We find that under the RCP8.5 scenario our climate simulations show an overall frequency decrease which is more pronounced in the coupled than in the uncoupled con-figuration, whereas the intensity displays a different behaviour depending on the coupling. In the coupled run, the relative frequency of higher-intensity medicanes increases, but this is not found in the uncoupled simulation. Also, this study indicates that the coupled model simulates better the summer mini-mum in the occurrence of medicanes, avoiding the reproduction of unrealisti-cally intense events that can be found in summer in the uncoupled model.
- Published
- 2021
18. Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea
- Author
-
Gutiérrez‐Fernández, Jesús, González‐Alemán, Juan J., Vara, Alba, Cabos, William, Sein, Dmitry V., Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, Gutiérrez‐Fernández, Jesús, González‐Alemán, Juan J., Vara, Alba, Cabos, William, Sein, Dmitry V., and Gaertner, Miguel Ángel
- Abstract
Cyclones with tropical characteristics called medicanes (“Mediterranean Hur-ricanes”) eventually develop in the Mediterranean Sea. They have large harm-ful potential and a correct simulation of their evolution in climate projections is important for an adequate adaptation to climate change. Different studies suggest that ocean–atmosphere coupled models provide a better representation of medicanes, especially in terms of intensity and frequency. In this work, we use the regionally-coupled model ROM to study how air-sea interactions affect the evolution of medicanes in future climate projections. We find that under the RCP8.5 scenario our climate simulations show an overall frequency decrease which is more pronounced in the coupled than in the uncoupled con-figuration, whereas the intensity displays a different behaviour depending on the coupling. In the coupled run, the relative frequency of higher-intensity medicanes increases, but this is not found in the uncoupled simulation. Also, this study indicates that the coupled model simulates better the summer mini-mum in the occurrence of medicanes, avoiding the reproduction of unrealisti-cally intense events that can be found in summer in the uncoupled model.
- Published
- 2021
19. Simulation of medicanes over the Mediterranean Sea in a regional climate model ensemble: impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling and increased resolution
- Author
-
Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, González-Alemán, Juan Jesús, Romera, Raquel, Domínguez, Marta, Gil, Victoria, Sánchez, Enrique, Gallardo, Clemente, Miglietta, Mario Marcello, Walsh, Kevin J. E., Sein, Dmitry V., Somot, Samuel, Dell’Aquila, Alessandro, Teichmann, Claas, Ahrens, Bodo, Buonomo, Erasmo, Colette, Augustin, Bastin, Sophie, van Meijgaard, Eric, Nikulin, Grigory, Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, González-Alemán, Juan Jesús, Romera, Raquel, Domínguez, Marta, Gil, Victoria, Sánchez, Enrique, Gallardo, Clemente, Miglietta, Mario Marcello, Walsh, Kevin J. E., Sein, Dmitry V., Somot, Samuel, Dell’Aquila, Alessandro, Teichmann, Claas, Ahrens, Bodo, Buonomo, Erasmo, Colette, Augustin, Bastin, Sophie, van Meijgaard, Eric, and Nikulin, Grigory
- Abstract
Medicanes are cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea having a tropical-like structure but a rather small size, that can produce significant damage due to the combination of intense winds and heavy precipitation. Future climate projections, performed generally with individual atmospheric climate models, indicate that the intensity of the medicanes could increase under climate change conditions. The availability of large ensembles of high resolution and ocean–atmosphere coupled regional climate model (RCM) simulations, performed in MedCORDEX and EURO-CORDEX projects, represents an opportunity to improve the assessment of the impact of climate change on medicanes. As a first step towards such an improved assessment, we analyze the ability of the RCMs used in these projects to reproduce the observed characteristics of medicanes, and the impact of increased resolution and air-sea coupling on their simulation. In these storms, air-sea interaction plays a fundamental role in their formation and intensification, a different mechanism from that of extra-tropical cyclones, where the baroclinic instability mechanism prevails. An observational database, based on satellite images combined with high resolution simulations (Miglietta et al. in Geophys Res Lett 40:2400–2405, 2013), is used as a reference for evaluating the simulations. In general, the simulated medicanes do not coincide on a case-by-case basis with the observed medicanes. However, observed medicanes with a high intensity and relatively long duration of tropical characteristics are better replicated in simulations. The observed spatial distribution of medicanes is generally well simulated, while the monthly distribution reveals the difficulty of simulating the medicanes that first appear in September after the summer minimum in occurrence. Increasing the horizontal resolution has a systematic and generally positive impact on the frequency of simulated medicanes, while the general underestimation of their intensity is n
- Published
- 2016
20. Simulation of medicanes over the Mediterranean Sea in a regional climate model ensemble: impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling and increased resolution
- Author
-
Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, González-Alemán, Juan Jesús, Romera, Raquel, Domínguez, Marta, Gil, Victoria, Sánchez, Enrique, Gallardo, Clemente, Miglietta, Mario Marcello, Walsh, Kevin J. E., Sein, Dmitry V., Somot, Samuel, Dell’Aquila, Alessandro, Teichmann, Claas, Ahrens, Bodo, Buonomo, Erasmo, Colette, Augustin, Bastin, Sophie, van Meijgaard, Eric, Nikulin, Grigory, Gaertner, Miguel Ángel, González-Alemán, Juan Jesús, Romera, Raquel, Domínguez, Marta, Gil, Victoria, Sánchez, Enrique, Gallardo, Clemente, Miglietta, Mario Marcello, Walsh, Kevin J. E., Sein, Dmitry V., Somot, Samuel, Dell’Aquila, Alessandro, Teichmann, Claas, Ahrens, Bodo, Buonomo, Erasmo, Colette, Augustin, Bastin, Sophie, van Meijgaard, Eric, and Nikulin, Grigory
- Abstract
Medicanes are cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea having a tropical-like structure but a rather small size, that can produce significant damage due to the combination of intense winds and heavy precipitation. Future climate projections, performed generally with individual atmospheric climate models, indicate that the intensity of the medicanes could increase under climate change conditions. The availability of large ensembles of high resolution and ocean–atmosphere coupled regional climate model (RCM) simulations, performed in MedCORDEX and EURO-CORDEX projects, represents an opportunity to improve the assessment of the impact of climate change on medicanes. As a first step towards such an improved assessment, we analyze the ability of the RCMs used in these projects to reproduce the observed characteristics of medicanes, and the impact of increased resolution and air-sea coupling on their simulation. In these storms, air-sea interaction plays a fundamental role in their formation and intensification, a different mechanism from that of extra-tropical cyclones, where the baroclinic instability mechanism prevails. An observational database, based on satellite images combined with high resolution simulations (Miglietta et al. in Geophys Res Lett 40:2400–2405, 2013), is used as a reference for evaluating the simulations. In general, the simulated medicanes do not coincide on a case-by-case basis with the observed medicanes. However, observed medicanes with a high intensity and relatively long duration of tropical characteristics are better replicated in simulations. The observed spatial distribution of medicanes is generally well simulated, while the monthly distribution reveals the difficulty of simulating the medicanes that first appear in September after the summer minimum in occurrence. Increasing the horizontal resolution has a systematic and generally positive impact on the frequency of simulated medicanes, while the general underestimation of their intensity is n
- Published
- 2016
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