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Background: Burst suppression (BS) is a specific electroencephalogram (EEG) pattern that may contribute to postoperative delirium and negative outcomes. Few prediction models of BS are available and some factors such as frailty and intraoperative hypotension (IOH) which have been reported to promote the occurrence of BS were not included. Therefore, we look forward to creating a straightforward, precise, and clinically useful prediction model by incorporating new factors, such as frailty and IOH., Materials and Methods: We retrospectively collected 540 patients and analyzed the data from 418 patients. Univariate analysis and backward stepwise logistic regression were used to select risk factors to develop a dynamic nomogram model, and then we developed a web calculator to visualize the process of prediction. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility., Results: According to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the nomogram showed good discriminative ability (AUC = 0.933) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test demonstrated the nomogram had good calibration ( p  = 0.0718). Age, Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) score, midazolam dose, propofol induction dose, total area under the hypotensive threshold of mean arterial pressure (MAP_AUT), and cerebrovascular diseases were the independent risk predictors of BS and used to construct nomogram. The web-based dynamic nomogram calculator was accessible by clicking on the URL: https://eegbsnomogram.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/ or scanning a converted Quick Response (QR) code., Conclusions: Incorporating two distinctive new risk factors, frailty and IOH, we firstly developed a visualized nomogram for accurately predicting BS in non-cardiac surgery patients. The model is expected to guide clinical decision-making and optimize anesthesia management.

Accurate assessment of future liver remnant growth after partial hepatectomy (PH) in patients with different liver backgrounds is a pressing clinical issue. Amino acid (AA) metabolism plays a crucial role in liver regeneration. In this study, we combined metabolomics and machine learning (ML) to develop a generalized future liver remnant assessment model for multiple liver backgrounds. The liver index was calculated at 0, 6, 24, 48, 72 and 168 h after 70 % PH in healthy mice and mice with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis or liver fibrosis. The serum levels of 39 amino acids (AAs) were measured using UPLC-MS/MS. The dataset was randomly divided into training and testing sets at a 2:1 ratio, and orthogonal partial least squares regression (OPLS) and minimally biased variable selection in R (MUVR) were used to select a metabolite signature of AAs. To assess liver remnant growth, nine ML models were built, and evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R 2 ), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The post-Pareto technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) was employed for ranking the ML algorithms, and a stacking technique was utilized to establish consensus among the superior algorithms. Compared with those of OPLS, the signature AAs set identified by MUVR (Thr, Arg, EtN, Phe, Asa, 3MHis, Abu, Asp, Tyr, Leu, Ser, and bAib) are more concise. Post-Pareto TOPSIS ranking demonstrated that the majority of ML algorithm in combinations with MUVR outperformed those with OPLS. The established SVM-KNN consensus model performed best, with an R 2 of 0.79, an MAE of 0.0029, and an RMSE of 0.0035 for the testing set. This study identified a metabolite signature of 12 AAs and constructed an SVM-KNN consensus model to assess future liver remnant growth after PH in mice with different liver backgrounds. Our preclinical study is anticipated to establish an alternative and generalized assessment method for liver regeneration., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: Postoperative Delirium (POD) has an incidence of up to 65% in older patients undergoing cardiac surgery. We aimed to develop two dynamic nomograms to predict the risk of POD in older patients undergoing cardiac surgery., Methods: This was a single-center retrospective cohort study, which included 531 older patients who underwent cardiac surgery from July 2021 to June 2022 at Nanjing First Hospital, China. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were used to identify the significant predictors used when constructing the models. We evaluated the performances and accuracy, validated, and estimated the clinical utility and net benefit of the models using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), the 10-fold cross-validation, and decision curve analysis (DCA)., Results: A total of 30% of the patients developed POD, the significant predictors in the preoperative model were ASA ( p < 0.001 OR = 3.220), cerebrovascular disease (p < 0.001 OR = 2.326), Alb (p < 0.037 OR = 0.946), and URE (p < 0.001 OR = 1.137), while for the postoperative model they were ASA (p = 0.044, OR = 1.737), preoperative MMSE score (p = 0.005, OR = 0.782), URE (p = 0.017 OR = 1.092), CPB duration (p < 0.001 OR = 1.010) and APACHE II (p < 0.001, OR = 1.353). The preoperative and postoperative models achieved satisfactory predictive performances, with AUC values of 0.731 and 0.799, respectively. The web calculators can be accessed at https://xxh152.shinyapps.io/Pre-POD/ and https://xxh152.shinyapps.io/Post-POD/ ., Conclusion: We established two nomogram models based on the preoperative and postoperative time points to predict POD risk and guide the flexible implementation of possible interventions at different time points., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V.)

Background: Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is the leading cause of mortality in patients undergoing hepatectomy. However, practical models for accurately predicting the risk of PHLF are lacking. This study aimed to develop precise prediction models for clinically significant PHLF., Methods: A total of 226 patients undergoing hepatectomy at a single center were recruited. The study outcome was clinically significant PHLF. Five pre- and postoperative machine learning (ML) models were developed and compared with four clinical scores, namely, the MELD, FIB-4, ALBI, and APRI scores. The robustness of the developed ML models was internally validated using 5-fold cross-validation by calculating the average of the evaluation metrics and was externally validated on an independent temporal dataset, including the area under the curve (AUC) and the area under the precision‒recall curve (AUPRC). SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis was performed to interpret the best performance model., Results: Clinically significant PHLF was observed in 23 of 226 patients (10.2%). The variables in the preoperative model included creatinine, total bilirubin, and Child‒Pugh grade. In addition to the above factors, the extent of resection was also a key variable for the postoperative model. The pre- and postoperative artificial neural network (ANN) models exhibited excellent performance, with mean AUCs of 0.766 and 0.851, respectively, and mean AUPRC values of 0.441 and 0.645, whereas the MELD, FIB-4, ALBI, and APRI scores reached AUCs of 0.714, 0.498, 0.536 and 0.551, respectively, and AUPRC values of 0.204, 0.111, 0.128 and 0.163, respectively. In addition, the AUCs of the pre- and postoperative ANN models were 0.720 and 0.731, respectively, and the AUPRC values were 0.380 and 0.408, respectively, on the temporal dataset., Conclusion: Our online interpretable dynamic ML models outperformed common clinical scores and could function as a clinical decision support tool to identify patients at high risk of PHLF pre- and postoperatively., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Src homology 2 domain-containing tyrosine phosphatase 2 (SHP2) is an essential tyrosine phosphatase that is pivotal in regulating various cellular signaling pathways such as cell growth, differentiation, and survival. The activation of SHP2 has been shown to have a therapeutic effect in colitis and Parkinson's disease. Thus, the identification of SHP2 activators and a complete understanding of their mechanism is required. We used a two-step screening assay to determine a novel allosteric activator of SHP2 that stabilizes it in an open conformation. Oleanolic acid was identified as a suitable candidate. By binding to R362, K364, and K366 in the active center of the PTP domain, oleanolic acid maintained the active open state of SHP2, which facilitated the binding between SHP2 and its substrate. This oleanolic acid-activated SHP2 hindered Th17 differentiation by disturbing the interaction between STAT3 and IL-6R α and inhibiting the activation of STAT3. Furthermore, via the activation of SHP2 and subsequent attenuation of the STAT3-Th17 axis, oleanolic acid effectively mitigated colitis in mice. This protective effect was abrogated by SHP2 knockout or administration of the SHP2 inhibitor SHP099. These findings underscore the potential of oleanolic acid as a promising therapeutic agent for treating inflammatory bowel diseases., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest., (© 2024 The Authors.)

Background: This study aims to implement a validated prediction model and application medium for postoperative pneumonia (POP) in elderly patients with hip fractures in order to facilitate individualized intervention by clinicians., Methods: Employing clinical data from elderly patients with hip fractures, we derived and externally validated machine learning models for predicting POP. Model derivation utilized a registry from Nanjing First Hospital, and external validation was performed using data from patients at the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. The derivation cohort was divided into the training set and the testing set. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable logistic regression were used for feature screening. We compared the performance of models to select the optimized model and introduced SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to interpret the model., Results: The derivation and validation cohorts comprised 498 and 124 patients, with 14.3% and 10.5% POP rates, respectively. Among these models, Categorical boosting (Catboost) demonstrated superior discrimination ability. AUROC was 0.895 (95%CI: 0.841-0.949) and 0.835 (95%CI: 0.740-0.930) on the training and testing sets, respectively. At external validation, the AUROC amounted to 0.894 (95% CI: 0.821-0.966). The SHAP method showed that CRP, the modified five-item frailty index (mFI-5), and ASA body status were among the top three important predicators of POP., Conclusion: Our model's good early prediction ability, combined with the implementation of a network risk calculator based on the Catboost model, was anticipated to effectively distinguish high-risk POP groups, facilitating timely intervention., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Objective: Amino acid (AA) metabolism plays a vital role in liver regeneration. However, its measuring utility for post-hepatectomy liver regeneration under different conditions remains unclear. We aimed to combine machine learning (ML) models with AA metabolomics to assess liver regeneration in health and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)., Methods: The liver index (liver weight/body weight) was calculated following 70% hepatectomy in healthy and NASH mice. The serum levels of 39 amino acids were measured using ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry analysis. We used orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis to determine differential AAs and disturbed metabolic pathways during liver regeneration. The SHapley Additive exPlanations algorithm was performed to identify potential AA signatures, and five ML models including least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, random forest, K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector regression, and extreme gradient boosting were utilized to assess the liver index., Results: Eleven and twenty-two differential AAs were identified in the healthy and NASH groups, respectively. Among these metabolites, arginine and proline metabolism were commonly disturbed metabolic pathways related to liver regeneration in both groups. Five AA signatures were identified, including hydroxylysine, L-serine, 3-methylhistidine, L-tyrosine, and homocitrulline in healthy group, and L-arginine, 2-aminobutyric acid, sarcosine, beta-alanine, and L-cysteine in NASH group. The KNN model demonstrated the best evaluation performance with mean absolute error, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination values of 0.0037, 0.0047, 0.79 and 0.0028, 0.0034, 0.71 for the healthy and NASH groups, respectively., Conclusion: The KNN model based on five AA signatures performed best, which suggests that it may be a valuable tool for assessing post-hepatectomy liver regeneration in health and NASH., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Yan, Chen, Dai, Xiang, Long, Wu, Jiang, Zou, Wang and Zhu.)

Estimation of knee contact force (KCF) during gait provides essential information to evaluate knee joint function. Machine learning has been employed to estimate KCF because of the advantages of low computational cost and real-time. However, the existing machine learning models do not adequately consider gait-related data's temporal-dependent, multidimensional, and highly heterogeneous nature. This study is aimed at developing a multisource fusion recurrent neural network to predict the medial condyle KCF. First, a multisource fusion long short-term memory (MF-LSTM) model was established. Then, we developed a transfer learning strategy based on the MF-LSTM model for subject-specific medial KCF prediction. Four subjects with instrumented tibial prostheses were obtained from the literature. The results showed that the MF-LSTM model could predict medial KCF to a certain high level of accuracy (the mean of ρ = 0.970). The transfer learning model improved the prediction accuracy (the mean of ρ = 0.987). This study shows that the MF-LSTM model is a powerful and accurate computational tool for medial KCF prediction. Introducing transfer learning techniques could further improve the prediction performance for the target subject. This coupling strategy can help clinicians accurately estimate and track joint contact forces in real time., (© 2024. International Federation for Medical and Biological Engineering.)

The polar oceans play a vital role in regulating atmospheric CO 2 concentrations (pCO 2 ) during the Pleistocene glacial cycles. However, despite being the largest modern reservoir of respired carbon, the impact of the subarctic Pacific remains poorly understood due to limited records. Here, we present high-resolution, 230 Th-normalized export productivity records from the subarctic northwestern Pacific covering the last five glacial cycles. Our records display pronounced, glacial-interglacial cyclicity superimposed with precessional-driven variability, with warm interglacial climate and high boreal summer insolation providing favorable conditions to sustain upwelling of nutrient-rich subsurface waters and hence increased export productivity. Our transient model simulations consistently show that ice sheets and to a lesser degree, precession are the main drivers that control the strength and latitudinal position of the westerlies. Enhanced upwelling of nutrient/carbon-rich water caused by the intensification and poleward migration of the northern westerlies during warmer climate intervals would have led to the release of previously sequestered CO 2 from the subarctic Pacific to the atmosphere. Our results also highlight the significant role of the subarctic Pacific in modulating pCO 2 changes during the Pleistocene climate cycles, especially on precession timescale ( ~ 20 kyr)., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

An Exendin-4 analogue that was conjugated with 68 Ga exhibited an excellent diagnostic effect on insulinoma in clinical practice. On account of its low molecular weight and short hydration radius, 68 Ga-Exendin-4 showed high accumulation in kidney tissues. Nanoparticle-mediated strategies have attracted much attention due to polyvalent properties and the size amplification effect. In this study, Exendin-4 derivatives of radionuclide nanodevices were developed and evaluated. The Exendin-4 derivatives consisting of a ternary block recombinant protein were purified by an inverse transition cycle (ITC) and allowed to self-assemble into a nanodevice under physiological conditions. Our results showed that the nanoassemblies of Exendin-4 derivatives formed homogeneous spherical nanoparticles, exhibited outstanding affinity for insulinoma cells, and could be deposited in insulinoma tissues in vivo . The nanoassembly-mediated Exendin-4 derivatives showed fivefold reduced renal retention and exhibited an outstanding tumor-suppression effect., Competing Interests: The authors declare no competing financial interest., (© 2024 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society.)

The dysregulation of lipid metabolism is a critical factor in the initiation and progression of tumors. In this investigation, we aim to characterize the molecular subtypes of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) based on their association with fatty acid metabolism and develop a prognostic risk model. The transcriptomic and clinical data about HNSCC were obtained from public databases. Clustering analysis was conducted on fatty acid metabolism genes (FAMG) associated with prognosis, utilizing the non-negative matrix factorization algorithm. The immune infiltration, response to immune therapy, and drug sensitivity between molecular subtypes were evaluated. Differential expression genes were identified between subtypes, and a prognostic model was constructed using Cox regression analyses. A nomogram for HNSCC was constructed and evaluated. Thirty FAMGs have been found to exhibit differential expression in HNSCC, out of which three are associated with HNSCC prognosis. By performing clustering analysis on these 3 genes, 2 distinct molecular subtypes of HNSCC were identified that exhibit significant heterogeneity in prognosis, immune landscape, and treatment response. Using a set of 7778 genes that displayed differential expression between the 2 molecular subtypes, a prognostic risk model for HNSCC was constructed comprising 11 genes. This model has the ability to stratify HNSCC patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, which exhibit significant differences in prognosis, immune infiltration, and immune therapy response. Moreover, our data suggest that this risk model is negatively correlated with B cells and most T cells, but positively correlated with macrophages, mast cells, and dendritic cells. Ultimately, we constructed a nomogram incorporating both the risk signature and radiotherapy, which has demonstrated exceptional performance in predicting prognosis for HNSCC patients. A molecular classification system and prognostic risk models were developed for HNSCC based on FAMGs. This study revealed the potential involvement of FAMGs in modulating tumor immune microenvironment and response to treatment., Competing Interests: The authors have no funding and conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2024 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background: The current point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) assessment of gastric fluid volume primarily relies on the traditional linear approach, which often suffers from moderate accuracy. This study aimed to develop an advanced machine learning (ML) model to estimate gastric fluid volume more accurately., Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data and POCUS data (D1: craniocaudal diameter, D2: anteroposterior diameter) of 1386 patients undergoing elective sedated gastrointestinal endoscopy (GIE) at Nanjing First Hospital to predict gastric fluid volume using ML techniques, including six different ML models and a stacking model. We evaluated the models using the adjusted Coefficient of Determination (R 2 ), mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to interpret the importance of the variables. Finally, a web calculator was constructed to facilitate its clinical application., Results: The stacking model (Linear regression + Multilayer perceptron) performed best, with the highest adjusted R 2 of 0.718 (0.632 to 0.804). The mean prediction bias was 4 ml (MAE: 4.008 (3.68 to 4.336)), which is better than that of the linear model. D1 and D2 ranked high in the SHAP plot and performed better in the right lateral decubitus (RLD) than in the supine position. The web calculator can be accessed at https://cheason.shinyapps.io/Stacking&#95;regressor/., Conclusion: The stacking model and its web calculator can serve as practical tools for accurately estimating gastric fluid volume in patients undergoing elective sedated GIE. It is recommended that anesthesiologists measure D1 and D2 in the patient's RLD position.

Intratumoral hypoxia is widely associated with the development of malignancy, treatment resistance, and worse prognoses. This study aims to investigate the role of hypoxia-related genes (HRG) in the immune landscape, treatment response, and prognosis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). The transcriptome and clinical data of HNSCC were downloaded from TCGA and GEO databases, and HNSCC molecular subtypes were identified using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) clustering. Prognostic models were constructed using univariate, Lasso, and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The relationship between HRGs and immune cell infiltration, immune therapy response, and drug sensitivity was evaluated, and a nomogram was constructed. 47 HRGs were differentially expressed in HNSCC, among which 10 genes were significantly associated with HNSCC prognosis. Based on these 10 genes, 2 HNSCC molecular subtypes were identified, which showed significant heterogeneity in terms of prognosis, immune infiltration, and treatment response. A total of 3280 differentially expressed genes were identified between the subtypes. After univariate, Lasso, and multivariate Cox regression analysis, 18 genes were selected to construct a novel prognostic model, which showed a significant correlation with B cells, T cells, and macrophages. Using this model, HNSCC was classified into high-risk and low-risk groups, which exhibited significant differences in terms of prognosis, immune cell infiltration, immune therapy response, and drug sensitivity. Finally, a nomogram based on this model and radiotherapy was constructed, which showed good performance in predicting HNSCC prognosis and guiding personalized treatment strategies. The decision curve analysis demonstrated its better clinical applicability compared to other strategies. HRGs can identify 2 HNSCC molecular subtypes with significant heterogeneity, and the HRG-derived risk model has the potential for prognostic prediction and guiding personalized treatment strategies., Competing Interests: TCGA and GEO belong to public databases. The patients involved in the database have obtained ethical approval. Our study is based on open source data, so there are no ethical issues and other conflicts of interest. The authors have no funding and conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2024 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Background: Gastric contents may contribute to patients' aspiration during anesthesia. Ultrasound can accurately assess the risk of gastric contents in patients undergoing sedative gastrointestinal endoscopy (GIE) procedures, but its efficiency is limited. Therefore, developing an accurate and efficient model to predict gastric contents in outpatients undergoing elective sedative GIE procedures is greatly desirable., Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed 1501 patients undergoing sedative GIE procedures. Gastric contents were observed under direct gastroscopic vision and suctioned through the endoscope. High-risk gastric contents were defined as having solid content or liquid volume > 25 ml and pH < 2.5; otherwise, they were considered low-risk gastric contents. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were used to select the independent risk factors to predict high-risk gastric contents. Based on the selected independent risk factors, we assigned values to each independent risk factor and established a novel nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was verified in the testing cohort by the metrics of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. In addition, an online accessible web calculator was constructed., Results: We found BMI, cerebral infarction, cirrhosis, male, age, diabetes, and gastroesophageal reflux disease were risk factors for gastric contents. The AUROCs were 0.911 and 0.864 in the development and testing cohort, respectively. Moreover, the nomogram showed good calibration ability. Decision curve analysis and Clinical impact curve demonstrated that the predictive nomogram was clinically useful. The website of the nomogram was https://medication.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/., Conclusions: This study demonstrates that clinical variables can be combined with algorithmic techniques to predict gastric contents in outpatients. Nomogram was constructed from routine variables, and the web calculator had excellent clinical applicability to assess the risk of gastric contents accurately and efficiently in outpatients, assist anesthesiologists in assessment and identify the most appropriate patients for ultrasound., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Masson SAS.)

Background: Despite endovascular coiling as a valid modality in treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), there is a risk of poor prognosis. However, the clinical utility of previously proposed early prediction tools remains limited. We aimed to develop a clinically generalizable machine learning (ML) models for accurately predicting unfavorable outcomes in aSAH patients after endovascular coiling., Methods: Functional outcomes at 6 months after endovascular coiling were assessed via the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and unfavorable outcomes were defined as mRS 3-6. Five ML algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, deep neural network, and extreme gradient boosting) were used for model development. The area under precision-recall curve (AUPRC) and receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used as main indices of model evaluation. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was applied to interpret the best-performing ML model., Results: A total of 371 patients were eventually included into this study, and 85.4% of them had favorable outcomes. Among the five models, the DNN model had a better performance with AUPRC of 0.645 (AUROC of 0.905). Postoperative GCS score, size of aneurysm, and age were the top three powerful predictors. The further analysis of five random cases presented the good interpretability of the DNN model., Conclusion: Interpretable clinical prediction models based on different ML algorithms have been successfully constructed and validated, which would serve as reliable tools in optimizing the treatment decision-making of aSAH. Our DNN model had better performance to predict the unfavorable outcomes at 6 months in aSAH patients compared with Yan's nomogram model., (© 2023. Fondazione Società Italiana di Neurologia.)

Objectives: Hypoxemia as a common complication in colonoscopy under sedation and may result in serious consequences. Unfortunately, a hypoxemia prediction model for outpatient colonoscopy has not been developed. Consequently, the objective of our study was to develop a practical and accurate model to predict the risk of hypoxemia in outpatient colonoscopy under sedation., Methods: In this study, we included patients who received colonoscopy with anesthesia in Nanjing First Hospital from July to September 2021. Risk factors were selected through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Prediction models based on logistic regression (LR), random forest classifier (RFC), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), and stacking classifier (SCLF) model were implemented and assessed by standard metrics such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity and specificity. Then choose the best model to develop an online tool for clinical use., Results: We ultimately included 839 patients. After LASSO, body mass index (BMI) (coefficient = 0.36), obstructive sleep apnea-hypopnea syndrome (OSAHS) (coefficient = 1.32), basal oxygen saturation (coefficient = -0.14), and remifentanil dosage (coefficient = 0.04) were independent risk factors for hypoxemia. The XGBoost model with an AUROC of 0.913 showed the best performance among the five models., Conclusion: Our study selected the XGBoost as the first model especially for colonoscopy, with over 95% accuracy and excellent specificity. The XGBoost includes four variables that can be quickly obtained. Moreover, an online prediction practical tool has been provided, which helps screen high-risk outpatients with hypoxemia swiftly and conveniently.

Objective: Postoperative delirium (POD) is strongly associated with poor early and long-term prognosis in cardiac surgery patients with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). This study aimed to develop dynamic prediction models for POD after cardiac surgery under CPB using machine learning (ML) algorithms., Methods: From July 2021 to June 2022, clinical data were collected from patients undergoing cardiac surgery under CPB at Nanjing First Hospital. A dataset from the same center (October 2022 to November 2022) was also used for temporal external validation. We used ML and deep learning to build models in the training set, optimized parameters in the test set, and finally validated the best model in the validation set. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was introduced to explain the best models., Results: Of the 885 patients enrolled, 221 (25.0%) developed POD. 22 (22.0%) of 100 validation cohort patients developed POD. The preoperative and postoperative artificial neural network (ANN) models exhibited optimal performance. The validation results demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance of the ANN model, with area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) values of 0.776 and 0.684 for the preoperative and postoperative models, respectively. Based on the ANN algorithm, we constructed dynamic, highly accurate, and interpretable web risk calculators for POD., Conclusions: We successfully developed online interpretable dynamic ANN models as clinical decision aids to identify patients at high risk of POD before and after cardiac surgery to facilitate early intervention or care., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest No conflict of interest exists for any of the authors associated with the manuscript., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Competing Interests: Declaration of Conflicting InterestsThe author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Background: Early identification of elderly patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery who may be at high risk for postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) can increase the chances of prevention for them, as extra attention and limited resources can be allocated more to these patients., Aim: We performed this analysis with the aim of developing a simple, clinically useful machine learning (ML) model to predict the probability of POCD at 3 months in elderly patients after non-cardiac surgery., Methods: We collected information on patients who received surgical treatment at Nanjing First Hospital from May 2020 to May 2021. We used LASSO regression to select key features and built 5 ML models to assess the risk of POCD at 3 months in elderly patients after non-cardiac surgery. The Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and methods were introduced to interpret the best model., Results: A total of 415 patients with non-cardiac surgery were included. The support vector machine (SVM) was the best-performing model of the five ML models. The model showed excellent performance compared to the other four models. The SHAP results showed that VAS score, age, intraoperative hypotension, and preoperative hemoglobin were the four most important features, indicating that the SVM model had good interpretability and reliability. The website of the web-based calculator was https://modricreagan-non-3-pocd-9w2q78.streamlit.app/ ., Conclusion: Based on six important perioperative variables, we successfully established a series of ML models for predicting POCD occurrence at 3 months after surgery in elderly non-cardiac patients, with SVM model being the best-performing model. Our models are expected to serve as decision aids for clinicians to monitor screened high-risk patients more closely or to consider further interventions., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.)

Background: The evidence of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in basilar artery occlusion (BAO) was limited. This study aimed to develop dynamic and visual nomogram models to predict the unfavorable outcome of MT in BAO online., Methods: BAO patients treated with MT were screened. Preoperative and postoperative nomogram models were developed based on clinical parameters and imaging features. An independent dataset was collected to perform external validation. Web-based calculators were constructed to provide convenient access., Results: A total of 127 patients were included in the study, and 117 of them were eventually included in the analysis. The nomogram models showed robust discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) of 0.841 (preoperative) and 0.916 (postoperative). The calibration curves showed good agreement. The preoperative predictors of an unfavorable outcome were previous stroke, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission, and the posterior circulation Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (pc-ASPECTS). The postoperative predictors were previous stroke, NIHSS at 24 h, and pc-ASPECTS., Conclusion: Dynamic and visual nomograms were constructed and validated for the first time for BAO patients treated with MT, which provided precise predictions for the risk of an unfavorable outcome. The preoperative model may assist clinicians in selecting eligible patients, and the postoperative model may facilitate individualized poststroke management., (© 2023 The Authors. Brain and Behavior published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.)

Background: Hypoxemia often occurs in outpatients undergoing anesthesia-assisted esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). However, there is a scarcity in tools to predict the hypoxemia risk. We aimed to solve this problem by developing and validating machine learning (ML) models based on preoperative and intraoperative features., Methods: All data were retrospectively collected from June 2021 to February 2022. The most appropriate predictive features were selected by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, which were incorporated and modelled by 4 ML algorithms. The area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) was used as the main evaluation metric to select the best models, and the selected models were compared with the STOP-BANG score. Their predictive performance was visually interpreted by SHapley Additive exPlanations. The primary endpoint of this study was hypoxemia during the procedure, defined as at least one reading of pulse oximetry < 90% without probes misplacement from the anesthesia induction beginning to the end of EGD, while the secondary endpoint was hypoxemia during induction, from the induction beginning to the start of endoscopic intubation., Results: Of 1160 patients in the derivation cohort, 112 patients (9.6%) developed intraoperative hypoxemia, of which 102 (8.8%) occurred during the induction period. In temporal and external validation, no matter whether based on preoperative variables or still based on preoperative plus intraoperative variables, our models showed excellent predictive performance for the two endpoints, significantly better than STOP-BANG score. In the model interpretation section, preoperative variables (airway assessment indicators, pulse oximeter oxygen saturation and BMI) and intraoperative variables (the induced propofol dose) made the highest contribution to the predictions., To our knowledge, our ML models were the first to predict hypoxemia risk, which achieved excellent overall predictive ability integrating various clinical indicators. These models have the potential to become an effective tool for adjusting sedation strategies flexibly and reducing the workload of anesthesiologists.KEY MESSAGESThis study is the first model employing ML methods based on preoperative and preoperative plus intraoperative variables for predicting the risk of hypoxemia during induction and the whole EGD procedure respectively.Our four models achieved satisfactory predictive performance and outperformed STOP-BANG score in terms of AUPRC in the temporal and external validation cohorts respectively.We found that the relevant variables of airway assessment should be fully taken into account when analyzing the risk factor of hypoxemia, and the effect of patients' age on their hypoxemia risk should be considered in conjunction with the propofol dose.

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is often accompanied with an induction of retinaldehyde dehydrogenase 1 (RALDH1 or ALDH1A1) expression and a consequent decrease in hepatic retinaldehyde (Rald) levels. However, the role of hepatic Rald deficiency in T2D progression remains unclear. In this study, we demonstrated that reversing T2D-mediated hepatic Rald deficiency by Rald or citral treatments, or liver-specific Raldh1 silencing substantially lowered fasting glycemia levels, inhibited hepatic glucogenesis, and downregulated phosphoenolpyruvate carboxykinase 1 (PCK1) and glucose-6-phosphatase (G6PC) expression in diabetic db/db mice. Fasting glycemia and Pck1/G6pc mRNA expression levels were strongly negatively correlated with hepatic Rald levels, indicating the involvement of hepatic Rald depletion in T2D deterioration. A similar result that liver-specific Raldh1 silencing improved glucose metabolism was also observed in high-fat diet-fed mice. In primary human hepatocytes and oleic acid-treated HepG2 cells, Rald or Rald +  RALDH1 silencing resulted in decreased glucose production and downregulated PCK1 / G6PC mRNA and protein expression. Mechanistically, Rald downregulated direct repeat 1-mediated PCK1 and G6PC expression by antagonizing retinoid X receptor α , as confirmed by luciferase reporter assays and molecular docking. These results highlight the link between hepatic Rald deficiency, glucose dyshomeostasis, and the progression of T2D, whilst also suggesting RALDH1 as a potential therapeutic target for T2D., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest., (© 2023 Chinese Pharmaceutical Association and Institute of Materia Medica, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.)

Objective: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is an aggressive disease with higher mortality rate in the elderly population. Unfortunately, the previous models for predicting clinical prognosis are still not accurate enough. Therefore, we aimed to construct and validate a visualized nomogram model to predict online the 3-month mortality in elderly aSAH patients undergoing endovascular coiling., Method: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 209 elderly aSAH patients at People's Hospital of Hunan Province, China. A nomogram was developed based on multivariate logistic regression and forward stepwise regression analysis, then validated using the bootstrap validation method (n = 1000). In addition, the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by various indicators to prove its clinical value., Result: Morbid pupillary reflex, age, and using a breathing machine were independent predictors of 3-month mortality. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.901 (95% CI: 0.853-0.950), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration of the nomogram (p = 0.4328). Besides, the bootstrap validation method internally validated the nomogram with an area under the curve of the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) of 0.896 (95% CI: 0.846-0.945). Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) indicated the nomogram's excellent clinical utility and applicability., Conclusion: An easily applied visualized nomogram model named MAC (morbid pupillary reflex-age-breathing machine) based on three accessible factors has been successfully developed. The MAC nomogram is an accurate and complementary tool to support individualized decision-making and emphasizes that patients with higher risk of mortality may require closer monitoring. Furthermore, a web-based online version of the risk calculator would greatly contribute to the spread of the model in this field., (© 2023. Fondazione Società Italiana di Neurologia.)

Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) causes long-term functional dependence and death. Early prediction of functional outcomes in aSAH patients with appropriate intervention strategies could lower the risk of poor prognosis. Therefore, we aimed to develop pre- and post-operative dynamic visualization nomograms to predict the 1-year functional outcomes of aSAH patients undergoing coil embolization., Methods: Data were obtained from 400 aSAH patients undergoing endovascular coiling admitted to the People's Hospital of Hunan Province in China (2015-2019). The key indicator was the modified Rankin Score (mRS), with 3-6 representing poor functional outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression (MLR)-based visual nomograms were developed to analyze baseline characteristics and post-operative complications. The evaluation of nomogram performance included discrimination (measured by C statistic), calibration (measured by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves), and clinical usefulness (measured by decision curve analysis)., Results: Fifty-nine aSAH patients (14.8%) had poor outcomes. Both nomograms showed good discrimination, and the post-operative nomogram demonstrated superior discrimination to the pre-operative nomogram with a C statistic of 0.895 (95% CI: 0.844-0.945) vs. 0.801 (95% CI: 0.733-0.870). Each was well calibrated with a Hosmer-Lemeshow p -value of 0.498 vs. 0.276. Moreover, decision curve analysis showed that both nomograms were clinically useful, and the post-operative nomogram generated more net benefit than the pre-operative nomogram. Web-based online calculators have been developed to greatly improve the efficiency of clinical applications., Conclusions: Pre- and post-operative dynamic nomograms could support pre-operative treatment decisions and post-operative management in aSAH patients, respectively. Moreover, this study indicates that integrating post-operative variables into the nomogram enhanced prediction accuracy for the poor outcome of aSAH patients.

Telomere dysfunction has been identified as a biological marker of cancer progression in several types of cancer, including Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC). This study aimed to characterize the telomere maintenance genes (TMG)-related signature in prognosis and treatment response in HNSCC. The transcriptome and clinical data of HNSCC were obtained from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus databases, respectively. Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) was used to identify molecular subtypes derived from TMG. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to analyze the differentially expressed pathways between subtypes, and a risk score model derived from TMG was established. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate inter-group prognostic features, and the correlation between TMG-derived molecular subtypes and risk score model with immune infiltration, immunotherapy, and chemosensitivity was assessed. Two HNSCC subtypes were identified based on 59 TMG-related genes, which exhibit significant heterogeneity in prognosis, immune cell infiltration, and treatment response. Additionally, a TMG-derived risk signature containing 9 genes was developed to assess the prognosis of HNSCC patients. The signature had significant predictive ability for HNSCC prognosis and was significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration and immunotherapy response. A nomogram integrating the risk signature, N stage and radiotherapy was constructed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) of HNSCC patients, which had better performance than other prognostic models and included TMG-derived risk score, radiotherapy, and N stage. This study identified TMG-derived molecular subtypes in HNSCC and developed a novel prognostic score model, highlighting the potential value of TMG in HNSCC prognosis and immunotherapy., Competing Interests: The authors have no funding and conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

In this work, a novel environment-friendly dual-emission Rhodamine B modified sulfur quantum dots (RhB-SQDs) sensing platform was established to economically monitor organochlorine pesticide 2,4-dichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4-D) through regulating the activity of alkaline phosphatase (ALP). This dual emission RhB-SQDs exhibited excellent fluorescence and high photostability with emission wavelengths of 455 nm and 580 nm. ALP catalyzed the hydrolysis of the substrate p-nitrophenyl phosphate to p-nitrophenol, which quenched RhB-SQDs fluorescence at 455 nm due to the internal filtration effect, but had no effect the fluorescence intensity of RhB-SQDs at 580 nm. When 2,4-D was present, the activity of ALP was specifically inhibited and enzymatic reaction was interrupted, leading to the reduction of p-nitrophenol production, so the fluorescence of RhB-SQDs at 455 nm was restored. It demonstrated a good linear relationship between the concentration of 2,4-D and F 455 /F 580 in the range of 0.050-0.500 μg mL -1 , with a detection limit of 17.3 ng mL -1 . The dual-emission fluorescent probe was successfully realized in the identification of 2,4-D in natural water samples and vegetables with the advantages of exceptional accuracy, immunity to interference, and selectivity. The platform offers a fresh look at pesticide monitoring and has the potential to prevent pesticide-related health issues., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Noninvasive monitoring of cancer through circulating tumor cells (CTCs) is hampered long by unsatisfactory CTCs testing techniques. Efficient isolation of CTCs in a rapid and price-favorable way from billions of leukocytes is crucial for testing., Methods: We developed a new method based on the stronger adhesive power of CTCs versus leukocytes to sensitively isolate CTCs. Using a BSA-coated microplate and low-speed centrifuge, this method could easily separate cancer cells within 20 min at a very low cost., Result: The capture ratio can reach 70.7-86.6% in various cancer cell lines (breast/lung/liver/cervical/colorectal cancer) covering different epithelial-mesenchymal transformation (EMT) phenotypes and cell sizes, demonstrating the potential for efficient pan-cancer CTCs detection. Moreover, the label-free process can well preserve cell viability (∼99%) to fit downstream DNA/RNA sequencing., Conclusions: A novel technique for non-destructive and rapid enrichment of CTCs has been devised. It has enabled the successful isolation of rare tumor cells in the patient blood sample and pleural effusion, highlighting a promising future of this method in clinical translation., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Objective: Low awareness of hypertension and diabetes is a public health concern in Ghana. Assessing the general population's behaviour via knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) will be invaluable in these diseases, where prevention and control need a lifelong commitment to a healthy lifestyle. Hence, our goal was to assess the behaviour of Akatsi South residents towards the diseases to assist health providers in implementing tailored intervention programs., Methods: This was a population-based cross-sectional study with 150 adults (18-70 years) from November to December 2021. A semi-structured questionnaire with face-to-face interviews was used to obtain data. All variables in the model had descriptive statistics. The Chi-square ( χ 2 ) test was used to examine correlations between variables, and a value of p  < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The factors associated with checking blood sugar levels and blood pressure were determined using binary logistic regression., Results: The respondents' mean age and BMI were 32.40 years (± 12.07) and 24.98 kg/m 2 (± 2.36), respectively. Only 46.67% of the respondents frequently monitor their blood pressure and 17.33% their blood glucose (at least once a year). Less than half of those surveyed had a good knowledge of hypertension (42.7%) and diabetes (32.0%), whereas nearly 3/4 had poor attitudes regarding both conditions. A binary logistic regression analysis revealed that having a good attitude toward hypertension (exp B = 2.479, p  = 0.036) and diabetes (exp B = 4.547, p  = 0.009) were the participants' strongest predictor of blood pressure and sugar level checks. However, being overweight (exp B = 0.046, p  = 0.002,) or obese (exp B = 0.144, p  = 0.034) negatively influenced the frequency with which our respondents checked their blood glucose levels., Conclusion: In the study, we found that the population generally has poor knowledge, which affects their behaviour (attitudes and practices) towards the diseases. To enable healthcare practitioners to reduce disease-associated mortality and morbidity in the future, frequent public health education and promotion about the conditions is critical to closing the knowledge gap., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they conducted the research without any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Asante, Dai, Walker, Zhou, Kpogo, Lu, Huang and Zou.)

Background: The hypoxemia risk in adult (18-64) patients treated with esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) under sedation often poses a dilemma for anesthesiologists. We aimed to establish an artificial neural network (ANN) model to solve this problem, and introduce the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm to further improve the interpretability., Methods: The relevant data of patients underwent routine anesthesia-assisted EGD were collected. Elastic network was used to filter the optimal features. Airway-ANN and Basic-ANN models were established based on all collected indicators and remaining variables excluding airway assessment indicators, respectively. The performance of Basic-ANN, Airway-ANN and STOP-BANG was evaluated by the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) on temporal validation set. The SHAP was used for revealing the predictive behavior of our best model., Results: 999 patients were eventually included. The AUPRC value of Airway-ANN model was significantly higher than Basic-ANN model in the temporal validation set (0.532 vs 0.429, P  < 0.05). And the performance of both two ANN models was significantly better than that of STOP-BANG score (both P  < 0.05). The Airway-ANN model was deployed to the cloud (http://njfh-yxb.com.cn:2022/airway&#95;ann)., Conclusion: Our online interpretable Airway-ANN model achieved satisfying ability in identifying the hypoxemia risk in adult (18-64) patients undergoing EGD., Competing Interests: The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article., (© The Author(s) 2023.)

Background: Postpartum depression (PPD) is one of the most common psychiatric disorders for women after delivery. The establishment of an effective PPD prediction model helps to distinguish high-risk groups, and verifying whether such high-risk groups can benefit from drug intervention is very important for clinical guidance., Methods: We collected data of parturients that underwent a cesarean delivery. The Control group was divided into a training cohort and a testing cohort. Six different ML models were constructed and we compared their prediction performance in the testing cohort. For model interpretation, we introduced SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Then, training cohort, ketamine group and dexmedetomidine (DEX) group were classified as high or low risk for PPD by the model. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to compare the incidence of PPD between two groups in different risk cohorts., Results: Extreme gradient enhancement (XGB) had the best recognition effect, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.789 (95 % CI 0.742-0.836) in the training cohort and 0.744 (95 % CI 0.655-0.823) in the testing cohort, respectively. A threshold of 21.5 % PPD risk probability was determined. After PSM, the results showed that the incidence of PPD in the two intervention groups was significantly different from the control group in the high-risk cohort (P < 0.001) but not in the low-risk cohort (P > 0.001)., Conclusion: Our study demonstrated that the XGB algorithm provided a more accurate in prediction of PPD risk, and it was beneficial to receive early intervention for the high-risk groups distinguished by the model., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest The authors report no declarations of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Aim: Pyrotinib (an irreversible pan-ErbB small-molecular tyrosine kinase inhibitor) was approved in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer and showed great antitumor activity in preclinical studies of gastric cancer (GC). This study was first designed to prospectively assess pyrotinib in pretreated HER2-positive GC., Methods: This multicenter, phase I study followed a standard "3 + 3" design and included two parts. In the pyrotinib part, pyrotinib was administered orally, once per day at dose levels of 240, 320, 400, and 480 mg. In the pyrotinib plus docetaxel part, patients received pyrotinib (qd, d1-21, q3W) combined with docetaxel (60 mg/m 2 , d1, q3W) at dose levels of 240, 320, and 400 mg. Primary endpoints were to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and recommended phase II dose (RP2D) of pyrotinib as monotherapy or coadministered with docetaxel., Results: A total of 25 patients were enrolled and received pyrotinib (n = 15) or pyrotinib plus docetaxel (n = 10). One DLT was observed in pyrotinib monotherapy part (Grade 3 uncontrolled diarrhea after supportive care) and pyrotinib plus docetaxel part (Grade 4 neutropenia and leukopenia). In the pyrotinib monotherapy part, MTD was not reached. Diarrhea, anemia, neutropenia, and leukopenia were the most common treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). The RP2D for pyrotinib monotherapy was recommended as 400 mg. After combining with docetaxel, the risk of leukopenia and neutropenia was increased. Grade ≥3 TRAEs were reported for four patients in the monotherapy part and for eight patients in the combination part. Mean t 1/2 was approximately 20 h. Pyrotinib exposure was dose-dependent with a nonlinear relationship versus dose. There were five patients who had confirmed partial response (monotherapy: one each at 240, 400, and 480 mg dose cohort; combination therapy: two at 240 mg dose cohort), resulting in an objective response rate of 21% and 20%, respectively., Conclusions: Pyrotinib alone and combined with docetaxel showed acceptable toxicities in patients with pretreated HER2-positive GC., Trial Registration: This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02378389., (© 2023 The Authors. Cancer Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Early neurologic deterioration (END) is a common and feared complication for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients treated with mechanical thrombectomy (MT). This study aimed to develop an interpretable machine learning (ML) model for individualized prediction to predict END in AIS patients treated with MT. The retrospective cohort of AIS patients who underwent MT was from two hospitals. ML methods applied include logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was the main evaluation metric used. We also used Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) to interpret the result of the prediction model. A total of 985 patients were enrolled in this study, and the development of END was noted in 157 patients (15.9%). Among the used models, XGBoost had the highest prediction power (AUC = 0.826, 95% CI 0.781-0.871). The Delong test and calibration curve indicated that XGBoost significantly surpassed those of the other models in prediction. In addition, the AUC in the validating set was 0.846, which showed a good performance of the XGBoost. The SHAP method revealed that blood glucose was the most important predictor variable. The constructed interpretable ML model can be used to predict the risk probability of END after MT in AIS patients. It may help clinical decision making in the perioperative period of AIS patients treated with MT.

Background: CPUL1, a phenazine analog, has demonstrated potent antitumor properties against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and indicates a promising prospect in pharmaceutical development. However, the underlying mechanisms remain largely obscure., Methods: Multiple HCC cell lines were used to investigate the in vitro effects of CPUL1. The antineoplastic properties of CPUL1 were assessed in vivo by establishing a xenograft nude mice model. After that, metabolomics, transcriptomics, and bioinformatics were integrated to elucidate the mechanisms underlying the therapeutic efficacy of CPUL1, highlighting an unanticipated involvement of autophagy dysregulation., Results: CPUL1 suppressed HCC cell proliferation in vitro and in vivo, thereby endorsing the potential as a leading agent for HCC therapy. Integrative omics characterized a deteriorating scenario of metabolic debilitation with CPUL1, presenting an issue in the autophagy contribution of autophagy. Subsequent observations indicated that CPUL1 treatment could impede autophagic flow by suppressing autophagosome degradation rather than its formation, which supposedly exacerbated cellular damage triggered by metabolic impairment. Moreover, the observed late autophagosome degradation may be attributed to lysosome dysfunction, which is essential for the final stage of autophagy and cargo disposal., Conclusions: Our study comprehensively profiled the anti-hepatoma characteristics and molecular mechanisms of CPUL1, highlighting the implications of progressive metabolic failure. This could partially be ascribed to autophagy blockage, which supposedly conveyed nutritional deprivation and intensified cellular vulnerability to stress.

Hemorrhagic transformation (HT) is one of the most serious complications after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. The purpose of this study is to develop and validate deep-learning (DL) models based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to automatically predict HT in AIS patients. Multiparametric MRI and clinical data of AIS patients with EVT from two centers (data set 1 for training and testing: n = 338; data set 2 for validating: n = 54) were used in the DL models. The acute infarction area of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and hypoperfusion of perfusion-weighted imaging (PWI) was labeled manually. Two forms of data sets (volume of interest [VOI] data sets and slice data sets) were analyzed, respectively. The models based on single parameter and multiparameter models were developed and validated to predict HT in AIS patients after EVT. Performance was evaluated by area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC), sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value. The results showed that the performance of single parameter model based on MTT (VOI data set: AUC = 0.933, ACC = 0.843; slice data set: AUC = 0.945, ACC = 0.833) and TTP (VOI data set: AUC = 0.916, ACC = 0.873; slice data set: AUC = 0.889, ACC = 0.818) were better than the other single parameter model. The multiparameter model based on DWI & MTT & TTP & Clinical (DMTC) had the best performance for predicting HT (VOI data set: AUC = 0.948, ACC = 0.892; slice data set: AUC = 0.932, ACC = 0.873). The DMTC model in the external validation set achieved similar performance with the testing set (VOI data set: AUC = 0.939, ACC = 0.884; slice data set: AUC = 0.927, ACC = 0.871) (p > 0.05). The proposed clinical, DWI, and PWI multiparameter DL model has great potential for assisting the periprocedural management in the early prediction HT of the AIS patients with EVT., (© 2021 The Authors. Brain Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Neuropathology.)

Human 8-oxoguanine DNA glycosylase (hOGG1) and flap endonuclease 1 (FEN1) are recognized as potential biomarkers in lung cancer investigations. Developing analytical platforms of simultaneously targeting hOGG1 and FEN1 with high selectivity, sensitivity, especially programmability and universality is highly valuable for clinical research. Herein, we established a signal-amplified platform for simultaneously detecting hOGG1 and FEN1 on the basis of cleavage-induced ligation of DNA dumbbell probes, rolling circle transcription (RCT) and CRISPR-Cas12a. A hOGG1 cleavable site and FEN1 cleavable flap were dexterously designed at the 5' end of DNA flapped dumbbell probes (FDP) for hOGG1 and FEN1. After cleavage, the resulting nick sites with juxtaposition of 5' phosphate and 3' hydroxyl terminus could be linked to closed DNA dumbbell probes (CDP) by DNA ligase. The CDP served as a template for RCT, producing plentiful crRNA repeats to activate the trans-cleavage activity of CRISPR-Cas12a which could cleave fluorophores (TAMRA and FAM) and quenchers (BHQ2 and BHQ1) double-labeled ssDNA reporters. Then, hOGG1 and FEN1 could be detected by the recovered fluorescence signal, allowing for the highly sensitive calculated detection limits of 0.0013 and 0.0052 U/mL, respectively. Additionally, this method made it possible to evaluate the inhibitory effects, even to measure hOGG1 and FEN1 activities at the single-cell level. This novel target enzyme-initiated, circles-transcription without promoters, real-time generation, and self-assembly features of FDP-RCT-Cas12a system suppressed nonspecific background remarkably and relieved rigorous requirement of protospacer adjacent motif site. Hence, the universality of FDP-RCT-Cas12a system toward various disease-related non-nucleic acid targets which are tested without using aptamers was extremely improved., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: As a prodrug of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), orally administrated capecitabine (CAP) undergoes preliminary conversion into active metabolites in the liver and then releases 5-FU in the gut to exert the anti-tumor activity. Since metabolic changes of CAP play a key role in its activation, a single kind of intestinal or hepatic cell can never be used in vitro to evaluate the pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) nature. Hence, we aimed to establish a novel in vitro system to effectively assess the PK and PD of these kinds of prodrugs., Methods: Co-culture cellular models were established by simultaneously using colorectal cancer (CRC) and hepatocarcinoma cell lines in one system. Cell Counting Kit-8 (CCK-8) and flow cytometric analysis were used to evaluate cell viability and apoptosis, respectively. Apoptosis-related protein expression levels were measured using western blot analysis. A selective liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) method was developed for cellular PK in co-culture models., Results: CAP had little anti-proliferative effect on the five monolayer CRC cell lines (SW480, LoVo, HCT-8, HCT-116 and SW620) or the hepatocarcinoma cell line (HepG2). However, CAP exerted marked anti-tumor activities on each of the CRC cell lines in the co-culture models containing both CRC and hepatocarcinoma cell lines, although its effect on the five CRC cell lines varied. Moreover, after pre-incubation of CAP with HepG2 cells, the culture media containing the active metabolites of CAP also showed an anti-tumor effect on the five CRC cell lines, indicating the crucial role of hepatic cells in the activation of CAP., Conclusion: The simple and cost‑effective co-culture models with both CRC and hepatocarcinoma cells could mimic the in vivo process of a prodrug dependent on metabolic conversion to active metabolites in the liver, providing a valuable strategy for evaluating the PK and PD characteristics of CAP-like prodrugs in vitro at the early stage of drug development., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality throughout the world. Dynamic nomogram to predict the prognosis of elderly aSAH patients after endovascular coiling has not been reported. Thus, we aimed to develop a clinically useful dynamic nomogram to predict the risk of 6-month unfavorable outcome in elderly aSAH patients after endovascular coiling., Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including 209 elderly patients admitted to the People's Hospital of Hunan Province for aSAH from January 2016 to June 2021. The main outcome measure was 6-month unfavorable outcome (mRS ≥ 3). We used multivariable logistic regression analysis and forwarded stepwise regression to select variables to generate the nomogram. We assessed the discriminative performance using the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver-operating characteristic and the risk prediction model's calibration using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The decision curve analysis (DCA) and the clinical impact curve (CIC) were used to measure the clinical utility of the nomogram., Results: The cohort's median age was 70 (interquartile range: 68-74) years and 133 (36.4%) had unfavorable outcomes. Age, using a ventilator, white blood cell count, and complicated with cerebral infarction were predictors of 6-month unfavorable outcome. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.882 and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration of the nomogram ( p = 0.3717). Besides, the excellent clinical utility and applicability of the nomogram had been indicated by DCA and CIC. The eventual value of unfavorable outcome risk could be calculated through the dynamic nomogram., Conclusion: This study is the first visual dynamic online nomogram that accurately predicts the risk of 6-month unfavorable outcome in elderly aSAH patients after endovascular coiling. Clinicians can effectively improve interventions by taking targeted interventions based on the scores of different items on the nomogram for each variable., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Lu, Tong, Zhang, Xiang, Xiang, Chen, Guo, Shan, Li, Zhao, Pan, Zhao and Zou.)

Background and Aims: Assessment of the patient's gastric contents is the key to avoiding aspiration incidents, however, there is no effective method to determine whether elective painless gastrointestinal endoscopy (GIE) patients have a full stomach or an empty stomach. And previous studies have shown that preoperative oral carbohydrates (POCs) can improve the discomfort induced by fasting, but there are different perspectives on their safety. This study aimed to develop a convenient, accurate machine learning (ML) model to predict full stomach. And based on the model outcomes, evaluate the safety and comfort improvements of POCs in empty- and full stomach groups., Methods: We enrolled 1386 painless GIE patients between October 2022 and January 2023 in Nanjing First Hospital, and 1090 patients without POCs were used to construct five different ML models to identify full stomach. The metrics of discrimination and calibration validated the robustness of the models. For the best-performance model, we further interpreted it through SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and constructed a web calculator to facilitate clinical use. We evaluated the safety and comfort improvements of POCs by propensity score matching (PSM) in the two groups, respectively., Results: Random Forest (RF) model showed the greatest discrimination with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.837 [95% confidence interval (CI): 79.1-88.2], F1 71.5%, and best calibration with a Brier score of 15.2%. The web calculator can be visited at https://medication.shinyapps.io/RF&#95;model/. PSM results demonstrated that POCs significantly reduced the full stomach incident in empty stomach group ( p  < 0.05), but no differences in full stomach group ( p  > 0.05). Comfort improved in both groups and was more significant in empty stomach group., Conclusions: The developed convenient RF model predicted full stomach with high accuracy and interpretability. POCs were safe and comfortably improved in both groups, with more benefit in empty stomach group. These findings may guide the patients' gastrointestinal preparation.

Background: Medication safety among children represents an underrecognized public health concern worldwide, yet little evidence was found in China. This study aimed to examine trends in rates of pediatric adverse drug reaction (ADR) reports in Jiangsu Province of China with a catchment population of more than 11 million children., Methods: Data for children aged under 15 years were extracted from the spontaneous reporting system of ADR surveillance in Jiangsu Province. Suspected therapeutic agents for ADRs were coded using the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification system. We used the Chinese modification of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, to group primary diseases, and the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities to classify the manifestation of ADRs. We used Joinpoint to estimate age-adjusted ADR rates stratified by sex from July 2010 to June 2019, and further by specific features, including patient characteristics, main suspected therapeutic medications, primary diseases, and ADRs. We used the percentage change annualized estimator to evaluate trends over time., Results: A total of 79,903 ADR reports were identified among children aged under 15 years, which accounted for 11.4% of all ADRs reported in Jiangsu Province during the same period. The age-adjusted ADR report rates increased significantly from 66.20 to 96.76 per 100,000 children during the period July 2010-June 2019, with an annual increase of 4.9% (95% confidence interval 1.3-8.5%; p value 0.014). Of all ADR reports, there were 47,774 (59.8%) boys and 32,129 (40.2%) girls. Children aged 0-4 years accounted for more than half of the ADR reports (n = 47,680, 59.7%). Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders were the most frequently reported ADRs (45,773, 57.3%). Respiratory diseases were the most commonly observed medical conditions in relation to pediatric ADRs, accounting for 68.8% (n = 54,940) of all ADR reports, and anti-infectives for systemic use consistently represented over time the most common medication group, contributing to 69.8% of all reports. A reduction in ADR report rates was observed for vaccines, with an annual decrease of 19% in children., Conclusions: ADRs remain a public health challenge among the vulnerable pediatric populations. Findings from the present study call for continuing efforts in ADR prevention and medication safety improvement in children., (© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.)

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication after the repair of Type A acute aortic dissection (TA-AAD). However, previous models have failed to account for the impact of blood pressure fluctuations on predictive performance. This study aims to develop machine learning (ML) models combined with intraoperative medicine and blood pressure time-series data to improve the accuracy of early prediction for postoperative AKI risk., Methods: Indicators reflecting the duration and depth of hypotension were obtained by analyzing continuous mean arterial pressure (MAP) monitored intraoperatively with multiple thresholds (<65, 60, 55, 50) set in the study. The predictive features were selected by logistic regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and 4 ML models were built based on the above features. The performance of the models was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to explain the prediction models., Results: Among the indicators reflecting intraoperative hypotension, 65 mmHg showed a statistically superior difference to other thresholds in patients with or without AKI ( p  < .001). Among 4 models, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated the highest AUROC: 0.800 (95% 0.683-0.917) and sensitivity: 0.717 in the testing set and was verified the best-performing model. The SHAP summary plot indicated that intraoperative urine output, cumulative time of mean arterial pressure lower than 65 mmHg outside cardiopulmonary bypass (OUT&#95;CPB&#95;MAP&#95;65 time), autologous blood transfusion, and smoking were the top 4 features that contributed to the prediction model., Conclusion: With the introduction of intraoperative blood pressure time-series variables, we have developed an interpretable XGBoost model that successfully achieve high accuracy in predicting the risk of AKI after TA-AAD repair, which might aid in the perioperative management of high-risk patients, particularly for intraoperative hemodynamic regulation.

Objective: Low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) is a severe complication after valve surgery, with no uniform standard for early identification. We developed interpretative machine learning (ML) models for predicting LCOS risk preoperatively and 0.5 h postoperatively for intervention in advance., Methods: A total of 2218 patients undergoing valve surgery from June 2019 to Dec 2021 were finally enrolled to construct preoperative and postoperative models. Logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), random forest classifier, extreme gradient boosting, and deep neural network were executed for model construction, and the performance of models was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves. Our models were interpreted through SHapley Additive exPlanations, and presented as an online tool to improve clinical operability., Results: The SVM algorithm was chosen for modeling due to better AUC and calibration capability. The AUCs of the preoperative and postoperative models were 0.786 (95% CI 0.729-0.843) and 0.863 (95% CI 0.824-0.902), and the Brier scores were 0.123 and 0.107. Our models have higher timeliness and interpretability, and wider coverage than the vasoactive-inotropic score, and the AUC of the postoperative model was significantly higher. Our preoperative and postoperative models are available online at http://njfh-yxb.com.cn:2022/lcos., Conclusions: The first interpretable ML tool with two prediction periods for online early prediction of LCOS risk after valve surgery was successfully built in this study, in which the SVM model has the best performance, reserving enough time for early precise intervention in critical care.

Background: Pyrotinib (an irreversible pan-ErbB inhibitor) plus capecitabine has survival benefits and acceptable tolerability in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. We further assessed addition of pyrotinib to trastuzumab and docetaxel in the neoadjuvant setting., Methods: In this multicenter, double-blind, phase 3 study (PHEDRA), treatment-naive women with HER2-positive early or locally advanced breast cancer were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive four neoadjuvant cycles of oral pyrotinib or placebo (400 mg) once daily, plus intravenous trastuzumab (8 mg/kg loading dose, followed by 6 mg/kg) and docetaxel (100 mg/m 2 ) every 3 weeks. The primary endpoint was the total pathological complete response (tpCR; ypT0/is and ypN0) rate per independent central review., Results: Between Jul 23, 2018, and Jan 8, 2021, 355 patients were randomly assigned, 178 to the pyrotinib group and 177 to the placebo group. The majority of patients completed four cycles of neoadjuvant treatment as planned (92.7% and 97.7% in the pyrotinib and placebo groups, respectively). The tpCR rate was 41.0% (95% CI 34.0 to 48.4) in the pyrotinib group compared with 22.0% (95% CI 16.6 to 28.7) in the placebo group (difference, 19.0% [95% CI 9.5 to 28.4]; one-sided P < 0.0001). The objective response rate per investigator was 91.6% (95% CI 86.6 to 94.8) in the pyrotinib group and 81.9% (95% CI 75.6 to 86.9) in the placebo group after the neoadjuvant treatment, resulting in an increase of 9.7% (95% CI 2.7 to 16.6). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were diarrhea (79 [44.4%] in the pyrotinib group and nine [5.1%] in the placebo group), neutropenia (33 [18.5%] and 36 [20.3%]), and decreased white blood cell count (29 [16.3%] and 24 [13.6%]). No deaths were reported during neoadjuvant treatment., Conclusions: The primary endpoint of the study was met. Neoadjuvant pyrotinib, trastuzumab, and docetaxel significantly improved the tpCR rate compared with placebo, trastuzumab, and docetaxel, with manageable toxicity, providing a new option for HER2-positive early or locally advanced breast cancer., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03588091., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Purpose: Patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer have limited treatment options after platinum-containing treatment. We initiated a phase I study to assess SHR-1701, a novel bifunctional fusion protein composed of a mAb against programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) fused with the extracellular domain of TGFβ receptor II, in solid tumors (NCT03774979). Here, results from the cervical cancer cohort are presented., Patients and Methods: Patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer who progressed during or after platinum-based therapy were enrolled to receive SHR-1701 at 30 mg/kg every 3 weeks. Primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR) per RECIST v1.1., Results: In total, 32 patients were recruited. ORR was 15.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 5.3-32.8], and disease control rate was 50.0% (95% CI, 31.9-68.1). Responses were still ongoing in 80.0% of the responders; 6-month duration of response rate was 80.0% (95% CI, 20.4-96.9). Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 2.7 months (95% CI, 1.4-4.1). Of note, as assessed by immune-modified RECIST, median PFS was 4.1 months (95% CI, 1.6-4.3). Overall survival rate at 12 months was 54.6% (95% CI, 31.8-72.7). Treatment-related adverse events of grade 3 or 4 were reported in 11 (34.4%) patients. No treatment-related deaths occurred. No difference in ORR was found between patients with PD-L1 combined positive score ≥1 or <1; patients with high phosphorylated SMAD2 level in immune cells or tumor cells had numerically higher ORR., Conclusions: SHR-1701 exhibits encouraging antitumor activity and controllable safety in patients with recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer after platinum-based regimens, and therefore might provide another treatment option for this population. See related commentary by Miller and Friedman, p. 5238., (©2022 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Background: Even undergoing mechanical thrombectomy (MT), patients with acute vertebrobasilar artery occlusion (AVBAO) still have a high rate of mortality. Tirofiban is a novel antiplatelet agent which is now widely empirically used in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). In this study, we aimed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of tirofiban as adjunctive therapy for MT in AVBAO., Methods: From October 2016 to July 2021, consecutive AVBAO patients receiving MT were included in the prospective stroke registry. The short-term outcomes were (1) symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH); (2) in-hospital death; (3) National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at discharge. The Long-term outcomes were: (1) modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 months; (2) death at 3 months., Results: A total of 130 eligible patients were included in the study, 64 (49.2%) patients received tirofiban. In multivariate regression analysis, no significant differences were observed in all outcomes between the tirofiban and non-tirofiban group [sICH (adjusted OR 0.96; 95% CI, 0.12-7.82, p = 0.97), in-hospital death (adjusted OR 0.57; 95% CI, 0.17-1.89, p = 0.36), NIHSS at discharge (95% CI, -2.14-8.63, p = 0.24), mRS (adjusted OR 1.20; 95% CI, 0.40-3.62, p = 0.75), and death at 3 months (adjusted OR 0.83; 95% CI, 0.24-2.90, p = 0.77)]., Conclusions: In AVBAO, tirofiban adjunctive to MT was not associated with an increased risk of sICH. Short-term (in-hospital death, NIHSS at discharge) and long-term outcomes (mRS and death at 3 months) seem not to be influenced by tirofiban use., (© 2022. The Author(s).)