1. Establishing Criteria for Tumor Necrosis as Prognostic Indicator in Colorectal Cancer.
- Author
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Kastinen M, Sirniö P, Elomaa H, Äijälä VK, Karjalainen H, Tapiainen VV, Pohjanen VM, Kemppainen J, Sliashynskaya K, Ahtiainen M, Rintala J, Meriläinen S, Rautio T, Saarnio J, Mattila TT, Lindgren O, Wirta EV, Helminen O, Seppälä TT, Böhm J, Mecklin JP, Tuomisto A, Mäkinen MJ, and Väyrynen JP
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Male, Aged, Reproducibility of Results, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Predictive Value of Tests, Risk Factors, Aged, 80 and over, Observer Variation, Colorectal Neoplasms pathology, Colorectal Neoplasms mortality, Necrosis
- Abstract
Tumor necrosis has been reported to represent an independent prognostic factor in colorectal cancer, but its evaluation methods have not been described in sufficient detail to introduce tumor necrosis evaluation into clinical use. To study the potential of tumor necrosis as a prognostic indicator in colorectal cancer, criteria for 3 methods for its evaluation were defined: the average percentage method (tumor necrosis percentage of the whole tumor), the hotspot method (tumor necrosis percentage in a single hotspot), and the linear method (the diameter of the single largest necrotic focus). Cox regression models were used to calculate cancer-specific mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for tumor necrosis categories in 2 colorectal cancer cohorts with more than 1800 cases. For reproducibility assessment, 30 cases were evaluated by 9 investigators, and Spearman's rank correlation coefficients and Cohen's kappa coefficients were calculated. We found that all 3 methods predicted colorectal cancer-specific survival independent of other prognostic parameters, including disease stage, lymphovascular invasion, and tumor budding. The greatest multivariable HRs were observed for the average percentage method (cohort 1: HR for ≥ 40% vs. <3% 3.03, 95% CI, 1.93-4.78; cohort 2: HR for ≥ 40% vs. < 3% 2.97; 95% CI, 1.63-5.40). All 3 methods had high reproducibility, with the linear method showing the highest mean Spearman's correlation coefficient (0.91) and Cohen's kappa (0.70). In conclusion, detailed criteria for tumor necrosis evaluation were established. All 3 methods showed good reproducibility and predictive ability. The findings pave the way for the use of tumor necrosis as a prognostic factor in colorectal cancer., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest and Source of Funding: This study was funded by Cancer Foundation Finland (59-5619 to J.P.V.), Finnish Medical Foundation (6021 to J.P.V.; 6259 to M.K.), Oulu Medical Research Foundation (to M.K.), Sigrid Jusélius Foundation (230229 to J.P.V.), and Finnish State Research Funding (to M.J.M. and J.P.V.). T.T. Seppälä reports consultation fees from Amgen Finland, Tillots Pharma, and Nouscom, being a co-owner and CEO of Healthfund Finland Ltd, and a position in the Clinical Advisory Board and a minor shareholder of LS Cancer Diag Ltd. For the remaining authors, none were declared., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)
- Published
- 2024
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